all-polymarket-skill

Polymarket CLOB API 自动交易执行层。非交互式、指令驱动，支持买入/卖出（市价/限价）、撤单、余额查询、持仓查询、订单簿读取与智能定价。可被 orchestrator 或其他 skill 直接调用执行真实交易。当需要在 Polymarket 上执行实盘交易、查询余额、查看持仓、读取订单簿时使用此技能。

Backtest Polymarket recommendation history. Fetches current market prices, computes P&L for each historical recommendation, evaluates returns by category and direction, and generates a strategy reflection report. Use when the user asks to backtest, evaluate performance, review returns, or analyze P&L of their Polymarket recommendations.

回测 Polymarket 推荐历史。获取当前市价，计算每笔历史推荐的盈亏，按类别和方向评估收益，并生成策略反思报告。当用户要求回测、评估表现、查看收益、分析 Polymarket 推荐盈亏时使用此技能。

DANGER: Polymarket 全自动交易编排器。无需人工确认，AI 自主完成市场扫描、概率评估、仓位计算和实盘下单。一句话触发完整交易链路。当用户要求自动交易、全自动下单、danger trade、auto trade Polymarket 时使用此技能。

Monitor Polymarket positions and open orders for specific wallet addresses. Detects price anomalies, volume spikes, whale activity, and position changes across held markets, with alerts via terminal, Telegram, and email. Use when the user wants to monitor their Polymarket positions, track wallet activity, set up position alerts, or watch for market anomalies on held markets.

监控 Polymarket 持仓和挂单。检测价格异常、成交量暴涨、巨鲸活动和仓位变化，通过终端、Telegram 和邮件发送告警。当用户要求监控 Polymarket 持仓、追踪钱包活动、设置持仓告警、或监视持仓市场异动时使用此技能。

Track Polymarket markets by monitoring their resolution data sources. Fetches event data, parses resolution criteria, assesses trackability, scrapes the resolution source for current state, and runs continuous terminal monitoring with color-coded alerts for score changes, leader changes, and market/data misalignment. Use when the user wants to track a specific Polymarket market's resolution, monitor resolution data sources, or set up alerts for market resolution changes.

追踪 Polymarket 市场的结算数据源。获取事件数据，解析结算条件，评估可追踪性，抓取数据源当前状态，并运行终端持续监控，以颜色编码的告警提示分数变化、领先者变化和市场/数据偏差。当用户要求追踪特定 Polymarket 市场的结算、监控结算数据源、或设置市场结算变化告警时使用此技能。

Discover profitable prediction markets on Polymarket by comparing AI-estimated probabilities against market-implied odds. Identifies the top 3 markets with the highest edge, analyzes information flow, resolution clarity, liquidity, and volatility, and provides position sizing recommendations. Use when the user asks about Polymarket opportunities, prediction market bets, daily market pulse, market recommendations, or finding mispriced markets.

发现 Polymarket 上有利可图的预测市场。通过 AI 概率估算与市场隐含赔率的对比，识别定价偏差最大的前 3 个市场，从信息流、结算清晰度、流动性和波动性四个维度进行分析，并给出仓位建议。当用户提到 Polymarket 机会、预测市场推荐、每日市场脉搏、市场分析、找到错误定价的市场时使用此技能。

Polymarket 交易回测与组合管理。读取 market-pulse 报告推荐，交互式询问下单方式（市价/智能限价/自定义限价/跳过），执行资金管理与仓位计算，自动追踪持仓损益，生成收益分析与反思报告。支持纸上交易和实盘两种模式。当用户提到 Polymarket 回测、纸上交易、下单、组合管理、收益分析、仓位回顾时使用此技能。

Review Polymarket portfolio using EV-maximizing framework. Fetches current positions, updates probabilities via web research, applies hold/sell/rotate logic. Use when user asks to review portfolio, evaluate positions, or optimize holdings.

审查 Polymarket 持仓组合，使用 EV 最大化框架。获取当前持仓，通过网络研究更新概率，应用 hold/sell/rotate 决策逻辑。当用户要求审查组合、评估仓位、优化持仓时使用此技能。