dcf-valuation

name	dcf-valuation
description	Portable discounted-cash-flow workflow for public companies. Use when asked for intrinsic value, fair value, price target support, undervalued/overvalued analysis, or a DCF sensitivity table.

DCF Valuation Skill

This is a generic public-company DCF workflow. It is adapted as original guidance for this harness and does not copy or require Dexter's runtime tools.

Checklist

1. Gather five years of operating cash flow, capital expenditures, revenue, margins, debt, cash, shares, market cap, enterprise value, and current price.
2. Derive free cash flow when needed: operating cash flow minus capital expenditures.
3. Select a forecast growth rate from historical FCF/revenue trends, current guidance, and business quality; haircut unusually high growth.
4. Estimate a discount rate from sector risk, leverage, rates, and company-specific risk. Explain the assumption rather than pretending precision.
5. Project five years of FCF, fade growth toward a mature rate, and calculate a terminal value with a conservative perpetual growth rate.
6. Discount projected FCF and terminal value, subtract net debt, divide by diluted shares, and compare to current price.
7. Run a small sensitivity grid around WACC and terminal growth.
8. Validate the result against market EV, FCF yield, and terminal-value share of total value. Revise or caveat if sanity checks fail.

Output

Return a compact valuation summary, assumptions table, FCF projection, sensitivity matrix, and caveats. State that a DCF is an estimate sensitive to assumptions.