| name | macro-regime-detector |
| version | 1.0.0 |
| description | Detect the current macro regime (Risk-On, Risk-Off, Inflationary, Deflationary, Stagflation) using multi-source intelligence. Combines Fear & Greed, DXY, yield curve, VIX, gold/BTC ratio, Reddit sentiment, and major news events. Use when you need macro regime analysis, risk-on vs risk-off determination, portfolio positioning advice, or crypto market context. |
| author | JamieRossouw |
| tags | ["macro","regime","risk-on","risk-off","sentiment","inflation","crypto","investing"] |
Macro Regime Detector
Real-time macro regime classification for crypto and traditional asset positioning.
Regimes Detected
| Regime | Description | Crypto Positioning |
|---|
| A — Risk-On Bull | VIX <15, F&G >60, DXY falling | Max long, leverage OK |
| B — Neutral/Cooling | Mixed signals, consolidation | Selective longs, tighter stops |
| C — Risk-Off Bear | VIX >25, F&G <25, DXY rising | Reduce exposure, hedge |
| D — Inflationary Spike | CPI surprise, Gold/BTC spike | BTC as inflation hedge |
| E — Stagflation | High inflation + recession fears | Defensive: BTC, gold, cash |
| F — Liquidity Crisis | Credit spreads explode, correlation 1 | Exit all risk, stablecoin only |
Signal Sources
- Fear & Greed (
alternative.me/fng): 0-100 score, regime anchor
- Reddit pulse: r/CryptoCurrency, r/investing hot posts, bearish/bullish ratio
- DXY proxy: BTC/USD inverse correlation check
- News NLP: major economic event detection (Fed, CPI, NFP, SEC)
- On-chain: BTC exchange flows, miner capitulation signals
How to Use
Ask: "What macro regime are we in?" or "Should I be long or short crypto right now?"
Returns: current regime letter + confidence % + 3 supporting signals + positioning recommendation.
Regime History (current session)
- Feb 21 2026: Regime B (Neutral/Cooling) | F&G=8, "Extreme Fear" | Contrarian bullish signal active
