القائمة
Strategic reasoning frameworks for decision-making and problem-solving. Use when: "options", "decision", "trade-offs", "scenario", "strategy", "what should I do"
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| name | strategic-thinking |
| description | Strategic reasoning frameworks for decision-making and problem-solving. Use when: "options", "decision", "trade-offs", "scenario", "strategy", "what should I do" |
Frameworks for reasoning through decisions, exploring options, and strategic planning.
| Framework | Use When |
|---|---|
| Options Framework | Evaluating a decision with multiple paths |
| Scenario Planning | Uncertain outcomes, need contingencies |
| Second-Order Thinking | Understanding downstream effects |
| Reasoning Techniques | Stress-testing ideas |
When facing a decision, structure thinking this way:
## The Question
[Restate what we're actually deciding]
## Option A: [Name]
- What it is: ...
- Pros: ...
- Cons: ...
- Best if: [conditions where this wins]
## Option B: [Name]
- What it is: ...
- Pros: ...
- Cons: ...
- Best if: [conditions where this wins]
## Option C: [Wild Card]
- What it is: [something non-obvious]
- Why consider it: ...
## My Lean
[Recommendation with reasoning]
## What Would Change My Mind
[Conditions that would flip the recommendation]
For uncertainty, think in scenarios:
| Scenario | Probability | Impact | Response |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best case | X% | ... | What we'd do |
| Expected case | Y% | ... | What we'd do |
| Worst case | Z% | ... | What we'd do |
Always ask:
"It's 6 months from now and this failed. What went wrong?"
Run this before major commitments to surface risks.
"What would guarantee failure? Now avoid that."
Instead of asking "how do we succeed?", ask "how do we definitely fail?"
"What is fundamentally true here, ignoring what others do?"
Strip away assumptions and conventions.
"If we do X, what can't we do? Is that trade-off worth it?"
Every yes is a no to something else.
"What's the smallest experiment that could disprove our assumption?"
Test before you build.
Don't jump to one answer. Instead: