ir-causal-explanation-skill

Construct causal explanations for international relations research according to Chapter 5 "构建因果解释" of 《国际关系研究实用方法》, with enhanced guidance for distinguishing mediating variables, moderating variables, and domestic variables in IR theory. Use when the user needs to clarify causal relations, distinguish variables, draw causal diagrams, build counterfactuals or causal mechanisms, formulate causal hypotheses, or revise hypotheses after empirical anomalies. Keep outputs faithful to the chapter, topic-sensitive, and non-template-driven.