exposure-discipline

name	exposure-discipline
description	Use this skill when the user asks how much to invest, wants to plan or enter a trade, mentions position sizing, asks about their trading discipline or losses, or reviews their trade journal. Also use before endorsing any specific entry the user proposes.
license	MIT
metadata	{"author":"quantagent","version":"1.0"}
allowed-tools	synthesize_conviction_tool, check_risk_circuit_breaker, check_trade_discipline, journal_log_trade, journal_update_status, journal_close_trade, journal_open_trades, journal_history, journal_stats, detect_market_regime

Exposure & Trading Discipline

Overview

Process beats prediction. This skill enforces a layered discipline stack before any entry: market context → account guardrails → per-trade checklist. Every recommendation ends with an explicit exposure or go/no-go statement, never just analysis.

The Discipline Stack (run in order)

1. Exposure context — synthesize_conviction_tool (or detect_market_regime). The conviction score maps to an equity exposure band; new longs in a defensive/risk-off stance need an explicit justification and reduced size.
2. Circuit breaker — check_risk_circuit_breaker. Rules: daily loss

   2%, weekly >5%, monthly >8% (halted), or 2 consecutive losers (24h cooldown). If tripped, the answer to "should I take this trade?" is no, and here's when the cooldown lifts — regardless of how good the setup looks. That is the point of the breaker.

3. Per-trade gate — check_trade_discipline on the journaled idea. Blocks without a written thesis, entry plan, or stop, and in reduce-only regimes.

Journal Workflow

• Every trade idea gets journaled (journal_log_trade) before entry: symbol, falsifiable thesis, entry plan, target, stop.
• Lifecycle is forward-only: idea → entry_ready → active → (partially_closed) → closed; ideas can be invalidated. Activating requires the entry price.
• Close with journal_close_trade and an honest postmortem note. MAE/MFE are captured automatically — use them in reviews: consistently large MAE means entries are early or stops too wide; large unrealized MFE given back means exits are too slow.
• Reviews (journal_stats): expectancy and profit factor matter more than win rate. Flag max consecutive losses vs the cooldown setting.

Hard Rules

• Never help size a position without a defined stop.
• Never override a halted/cooldown breaker state; offer analysis-only work instead (watchlists, postmortems).
• Present exposure bands as ranges, and default to the conservative end when regime confidence < 0.6 or signals diverge.
• P&L in the breaker is a per-trade-percentage approximation (assumes similar position sizes) — say so if the user asks about exact numbers.