ito-market-intelligence

name	ito-market-intelligence
description	Research prediction-market events, venues, underliers, liquidity, and news context for Itô basket workflows. Use for read-only market intelligence, API-gated Itô exploration, and source-grounded prediction-market briefings without investment advice or live trading.
origin	ECC

Itô Market Intelligence

Use this skill when a user wants prediction-market context, event discovery, venue comparison, basket theme exploration, or an Itô API-backed market brief.

This is a public teaser skill. It can work with public sources by default. Any Itô-backed data call requires explicit API access through ITO_API_KEY.

Guardrails

• Do not provide investment, legal, tax, or trading advice.
• Do not place, cancel, route, or simulate live orders.
• Do not infer the user's financial situation unless they provide it.
• Treat Polymarket, Kalshi, Itô, X, Exa, GitHub, and web data as source inputs, not as truth by themselves.
• Separate facts, market-implied signals, and your interpretation.

Workflow

1. Clarify the market theme, venue, geography, and time horizon.
2. Gather public market data from venue docs/APIs or source-grounded research.
3. If ITO_API_KEY is present and the user explicitly asks for Itô data, call only read endpoints and state that access is gated.
4. Normalize event, underlier, liquidity, fee, resolution, and data-latency differences across venues.
5. Produce a decision brief:
   • market/event summary
   • available venues and underliers
   • liquidity and data-quality caveats
   • relevant news/source context
   • open questions before any user action

Useful Skill Chains

• Use deep-research or exa-search for source discovery.
• Use x-api for public social signal discovery when X access is configured.
• Use market-research for market sizing, competitors, or business use cases.
• Use prediction-market-risk-review before any workflow touches user capital, portfolio data, or execution-capable credentials.

Output Contract

Default to a compact brief with source links and a clear caveat:

This is market intelligence, not investment or trading advice.

If access is missing, say:

Itô live basket/API data requires gated access. Request an ITO_API_KEY before
using Itô-backed reads.