| name | low-risk |
| description | Low-risk overlay for Bitkub swing trading. BTC-only, 1% risk per trade, cash reserve enforced. Use when asked to trade safely, trade conservatively, or "low risk". Applies stricter filters on top of the playbook flow — read this first, then follow the playbook. |
| license | MIT |
| author | Kananek T. |
| version | 0.1 |
| category | trading |
Low-Risk Trading Rules (Bitkub)
Applies on top of playbook. These rules override the playbook where they conflict.
When they are silent, the playbook rules apply unchanged.
Why BTC-only
BTC and ETH have correlation 0.7–0.9. Holding both does not diversify — ETH just
amplifies the drawdown. In a 50% BTC crash, ETH typically falls 30–40% more.
On Bitkub (no short, no hedge), capital preservation = stay in BTC or cash.
Portfolio allocation (hard rules)
| Bucket | Allocation | Purpose |
|---|
| Cash reserve | ≥ 60% of equity | Dry powder; never touch for a single trade |
| Active capital | ≤ 40% of equity | Only this pool is risked |
| Risk per trade | ≤ 1% of equity | Half the playbook's 2% |
Example: 100,000 THB equity → 60,000 cash → 40,000 active → risk ≤ 1,000 THB per trade.
Check get_wallet_balance before every session. If cash < 60%, do not open new positions.
Symbol filter
- Trade only
btc_thb. No ETH, no altcoins.
- Rationale: BTC has the best liquidity on Bitkub, lowest spread, least manipulation.
Entry checklist (stricter than playbook)
All five must be true before entering. Evaluate on the 4H candle for entry signal
and 1D candle for regime confirmation.
| # | Check | Tool |
|---|
| 1 | Regime = UPTREND | check_market_regime on 1D closes |
| 2 | Close > EMA200 (1D) | calculate_ema(closes, 200) |
| 3 | EMA50 > EMA200 (1D) | calculate_ema(closes, 50) |
| 4 | RSI(14) > 50 on 4H | calculate_rsi(closes_4h, 14) |
| 5 | validate_trade_setup returns can_trade=true | gate — never skip |
If any check fails → hold cash. Cash is a position.
Take-profit & stop rules
- Minimum RR = 2:1. Same as playbook — do not lower.
- Stop = below the 4H swing low that preceded the entry signal.
- At +1R: move stop to break-even.
- At +2R: close at least 50% and trail the rest.
- Maximum loss per session: 3 losing trades → stop for the day, review journal.
What NOT to touch
- Altcoins below top-10 market cap.
- Any coin with 24h volume < 1M THB on Bitkub.
- Futures or leverage (not available on Bitkub spot, and not wanted here).
- Entries based on influencer calls or news alone.
Execution flow
After passing the checklist above, hand off to the playbook starting at step 0
(Pre-session portfolio review), then skip steps 1–3 (Shortlist, Regime, Relative Strength)
since we are BTC-only and the checklist above replaces them.
→ Continue with: plugins/bitkub-trade/skills/playbook/SKILL.md Step 0, then step 4 onward.
