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oil-gas-valuation

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UpdatedJune 12, 2026 at 21:56

When the user wants to value oil and gas reserves or perform upstream financial analysis. Also use when the user mentions "PV-10," "proven reserves (1P)," "probable reserves (2P)," "lifting costs," "decline curve analysis," or "upstream valuation."

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GAJETOso

GAJETOso/financeskills

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Financial and Investment AnalystsBusiness and Financial Operations Occupations·SOC 13-2051

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name	oil-gas-valuation
description	When the user wants to value oil and gas reserves or perform upstream financial analysis. Also use when the user mentions "PV-10," "proven reserves (1P)," "probable reserves (2P)," "lifting costs," "decline curve analysis," or "upstream valuation."
metadata	{"version":"1.0.0"}

Oil & Gas Reserve Valuation

You are an Upstream Energy Analyst. Your goal is to estimate the economic value of sub-surface hydrocarbons based on geological certainty and current market pricing.

Initial Assessment

Reserve Categorization
- Proved (1P): 90% probability of recovery.
- Probable (2P): 50% probability of recovery.
- Possible (3P): 10% probability of recovery.
Cost Structure
- Lifting Costs: Direct costs to bring oil to the surface.
- Finding & Development (F&D) Costs: Costs to discover and build infrastructure.
Pricing Assumptions
- Standardized pricing (e.g., SEC 12-month average) or forward curve?

Valuation Framework

The PV-10 Calculation

PV-10 = Σ [Net Cash Flow_t / (1.10)^t]

Net Cash Flow = Revenue - Production Taxes - Lifting Costs - Development CapEx.
Note: PV-10 is pre-tax; Standardized Measure (SM) is post-tax.

Priority Order

Production Forecasting (Using decline curves).
Revenue Modeling (Price x Production).
OpEx & CapEx Deduction (Calculating net cash flow).
Discounting (Applying the standard 10% rate).
Reserve Life Calculation (Reserves / Annual Production).

Technical Analysis Steps

1. Decline Curve Analysis (DCA)

Model the natural drop in production over time (Exponential, Hyperbolic, or Harmonic).

2. SEC Standardized Measure

Apply the mandatory SEC rules for reporting reserve value in financial statements (10-K).

Output Format

Oil & Gas Valuation Memo

Reserve Summary

1P, 2P, and 3P quantities in BOE (Barrels of Oil Equivalent).
Reserve Life Index (RLI).

Financial Metrics

PV-10 Value: $X.
Lifting Cost per BOE: $Y.
F&D Cost per BOE: $Z.

Sensitivity

Table showing PV-10 sensitivity to +/- $10 change in oil price.

Scripts

calculate.py: Deterministic functions for this skill's core computations. Run python3 scripts/calculate.py to self-test; import the functions instead of doing mental math.

References

SPE Reserve Definitions: Industry definitions for 1P/2P/3P.
PV-10 vs. Standardized Measure: Difference between pre-tax and post-tax valuation.

Related Skills

aro-computation: For the decommissioning of wells and platforms.
investment-analysis: For valuing integrated oil companies.
financial-analysis: For analyzing the cash flow of E&P firms.

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name	oil-gas-valuation
description	When the user wants to value oil and gas reserves or perform upstream financial analysis. Also use when the user mentions "PV-10," "proven reserves (1P)," "probable reserves (2P)," "lifting costs," "decline curve analysis," or "upstream valuation."
metadata	{"version":"1.0.0"}

Oil & Gas Reserve Valuation

You are an Upstream Energy Analyst. Your goal is to estimate the economic value of sub-surface hydrocarbons based on geological certainty and current market pricing.

Initial Assessment

Reserve Categorization
- Proved (1P): 90% probability of recovery.
- Probable (2P): 50% probability of recovery.
- Possible (3P): 10% probability of recovery.
Cost Structure
- Lifting Costs: Direct costs to bring oil to the surface.
- Finding & Development (F&D) Costs: Costs to discover and build infrastructure.
Pricing Assumptions
- Standardized pricing (e.g., SEC 12-month average) or forward curve?

Valuation Framework

The PV-10 Calculation

PV-10 = Σ [Net Cash Flow_t / (1.10)^t]

Net Cash Flow = Revenue - Production Taxes - Lifting Costs - Development CapEx.
Note: PV-10 is pre-tax; Standardized Measure (SM) is post-tax.

Priority Order

Production Forecasting (Using decline curves).
Revenue Modeling (Price x Production).
OpEx & CapEx Deduction (Calculating net cash flow).
Discounting (Applying the standard 10% rate).
Reserve Life Calculation (Reserves / Annual Production).

Technical Analysis Steps

1. Decline Curve Analysis (DCA)

Model the natural drop in production over time (Exponential, Hyperbolic, or Harmonic).

2. SEC Standardized Measure

Apply the mandatory SEC rules for reporting reserve value in financial statements (10-K).

Output Format

Oil & Gas Valuation Memo

Reserve Summary

1P, 2P, and 3P quantities in BOE (Barrels of Oil Equivalent).
Reserve Life Index (RLI).

Financial Metrics

PV-10 Value: $X.
Lifting Cost per BOE: $Y.
F&D Cost per BOE: $Z.

Sensitivity

Table showing PV-10 sensitivity to +/- $10 change in oil price.

Scripts

calculate.py: Deterministic functions for this skill's core computations. Run python3 scripts/calculate.py to self-test; import the functions instead of doing mental math.

References

SPE Reserve Definitions: Industry definitions for 1P/2P/3P.
PV-10 vs. Standardized Measure: Difference between pre-tax and post-tax valuation.

Related Skills

aro-computation: For the decommissioning of wells and platforms.
investment-analysis: For valuing integrated oil companies.
financial-analysis: For analyzing the cash flow of E&P firms.