| name | polymarket-weather-trader |
| displayName | Polymarket Weather Trader |
| description | Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's $2M+ strategy. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets, automate weather bets, check NOAA forecasts, or run gopfan2-style trading. |
| metadata | {"clawdbot":{"emoji":"🌡️","requires":{"env":["SIMMER_API_KEY"]},"cron":null,"autostart":false}} |
| authors | ["Simmer (@simmer_markets)"] |
| attribution | Strategy inspired by gopfan2 |
| version | 1.7.2 |
| published | true |
Polymarket Weather Trader
Trade temperature markets on Polymarket using NOAA forecast data.
When to Use This Skill
Use this skill when the user wants to:
- Trade weather markets automatically
- Set up gopfan2-style temperature trading
- Buy low on weather predictions
- Check their weather trading positions
- Configure trading thresholds or locations
What's New in v1.2.0
- Max Trades Per Run: New
SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES config to limit trades per scan cycle (default: 5)
v1.1.1
- Status Script: New
scripts/status.py for quick balance and position checks
- API Reference: Added Quick Commands section with API endpoints
v1.1.0
- Source Tagging: All trades tagged with
sdk:weather for portfolio tracking
- Smart Sizing: Position sizing based on available balance (
--smart-sizing)
- Context Safeguards: Checks for flip-flop warnings, slippage, time decay
- Price Trend Detection: Detects recent price drops for stronger signals
Setup Flow
When user asks to install or configure this skill:
-
Ask for Simmer API key
- They can get it from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab
- Store in environment as
SIMMER_API_KEY
-
Ask about settings (or confirm defaults)
- Entry threshold: When to buy (default 15¢)
- Exit threshold: When to sell (default 45¢)
- Max position: Amount per trade (default $2.00)
- Locations: Which cities to trade (default NYC)
-
Save settings to environment variables
-
Set up cron (disabled by default — user must enable scheduling)
Configuration
| Setting | Environment Variable | Default | Description |
|---|
| Entry threshold | SIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY | 0.15 |