| name | polymarket-analyzer |
| description | Use this skill whenever the user wants to find trading opportunities, detect arbitrage, analyze a market, perform edge detection, find mispricing, do probability analysis, evaluate orderbook depth, find momentum signals, or assess Polymarket market quality. Triggers: "find opportunities", "detect arbitrage", "analyze market", "edge detection", "mispricing", "probability analysis", "orderbook analysis", "momentum scanner", "market inefficiency", "price gap", "volume surge", "trading edge", "market analysis".
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Polymarket Analyzer Skill
Detect trading edges and opportunities across Polymarket prediction markets using
real-time data from the Gamma and CLOB APIs. Zero authentication required -- all
analysis is read-only.
Available Scripts
1. Find Arbitrage Edges (scripts/find_edges.py)
Scans all active markets for pricing inefficiencies:
- Underpriced: YES + NO < $1.00 (guaranteed profit if you buy both sides)
- Overpriced: YES + NO > $1.02 (sell opportunity)
- Calculates profit after fees for each opportunity
- Outputs market name, prices, sum, potential profit, and fee impact
python scripts/find_edges.py
python scripts/find_edges.py --min-edge 0.02 --limit 500
2. Analyze Order Book (scripts/analyze_orderbook.py)
Deep analysis of a single market's order book:
- Spread, mid-price, bid/ask depth (top N levels)
- Bid-ask imbalance ratio (signals directional pressure)
- Thin vs thick book classification
- Liquidity concentration analysis
python scripts/analyze_orderbook.py --token-id <TOKEN_ID>
python scripts/analyze_orderbook.py --token-id <TOKEN_ID> --depth 10
3. Momentum Scanner (scripts/momentum_scanner.py)
Detect markets with unusual activity:
- Volume surges: 24h volume significantly exceeds 7-day average
- Price momentum: recent price moves in one direction
- Liquidity changes: markets gaining or losing depth
- Ranked output by signal strength
python scripts/momentum_scanner.py
python scripts/momentum_scanner.py --min-volume 10000 --limit 300
4. Correlation Tracker (scripts/correlation_tracker.py)
Detect hidden correlated exposure in your portfolio:
- Groups positions by topic (crypto, politics, sports, geopolitics, etc.)
- Detects shared qualifiers ("insider trading", "FIFA World Cup", etc.)
- Warns when correlated clusters exceed concentration limits
- Outputs diversification score (0-100)
python scripts/correlation_tracker.py
python scripts/correlation_tracker.py --json
python scripts/correlation_tracker.py --threshold 0.10
Workflow
- Run
find_edges.py to scan for arbitrage across all active markets
- For interesting markets, run
analyze_orderbook.py to check if the edge is executable
- Run
momentum_scanner.py to find markets with directional momentum
- Combine findings to identify the best opportunities
Fee Awareness
Most Polymarket markets are fee-free. Crypto 5-min/15-min markets have dynamic taker
fees: fee = baseRate * min(price, 1 - price) * size. See references/fee-model.md
for the full fee calculator and breakeven analysis.
Strategy Reference
See references/viable-strategies.md for the four strategies that still work in 2026
with win rates, expected returns, and risk profiles.
Important Disclaimers
- This skill performs read-only analysis only -- no trades are executed
- Past patterns do not guarantee future results
- Always verify opportunities manually before trading
- Not financial advice
