| name | macro-analysis |
| description | Analyze macro, rates, FX, commodities, policy, liquidity, and cross-asset transmission for investment workflows. |
Macro Analysis
Use this skill when an investment workflow depends on macro, rates, FX, commodities, policy shocks, liquidity, inflation, funding, central banks, sector read-throughs, or cross-asset transmission.
Universe method:
- Identify the macro universe and instrument/channel: rates, FX, commodities, inflation, labor, growth, liquidity, fiscal policy, central bank policy, sector/macro shock, or cross-asset overlay.
- Treat macro evidence as an input to thesis, valuation, risk, or portfolio fit.
- State data source, region, period, release date, as-of timestamp, and whether the series is revised, delayed, or preliminary.
- Do not pretend that macro research support implies futures, FX, commodity, options, or rates execution support.
Expected output:
- Universe, region, and transmission channel
- Source/as-of posture and key data releases
- Macro facts versus policy/market interpretation
- Cross-asset read-through to the requested security, sector, asset, or portfolio
- Scenario path and what would falsify it
- Confidence, stale data, and missing source gaps
- Open macro questions and missing support
Decision quality fields when applicable:
evidence_grade, source_freshness, source_quality
conflict_status, decision_readiness, confidence
scenario_cases, contrary_evidence, update_triggers
invalidation_conditions and forecast permission fields when relevant
Quality floor:
- Apply the shared artifact quality floor.
- Tag material narrative claims as
[factual], [inference], or [assumption].
- Distinguish economic data, policy statements, market pricing, user assumptions, and analyst inference.
- State when evidence is suggestive rather than conclusive, especially around regime shifts and small samples.
- Use
screen-grade or not-decision-ready when market anchors, source dates, or instrument-specific inputs are missing.
- Do not fabricate economic releases, policy dates, market levels, source timestamps, or tool output.
Write outputs under trading/reports/macro/.