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edge
Find mispriced markets by comparing to external models and data sources
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Find mispriced markets by comparing to external models and data sources
Install with Codex or Claude Copy this prompt, paste it into Codex, Claude, or another assistant, and let it review the skill page and install it for you.
Based on SOC occupation classification
Autonomous Financial Trading Agent for High-Frequency Execution
Automatically copy trades from successful wallets on Polymarket and crypto
Secure credential management for trading platforms
User pairing, authentication, and trust management
Execute trades on Polymarket using py_clob_client - full API access for market data, orders, positions
AI Strategy - natural language to trades
| name | edge |
| description | Find mispriced markets by comparing to external models and data sources |
| emoji | 🎯 |
Compare prediction market prices to external models, polls, and data sources to find potential edge.
/edge
/edge politics
/edge fed
/compare "Trump 2028" 538 betting-odds
/kelly 0.45 0.55 1000
# market price, your estimate, bankroll
User: "Find me some edge" → Scan markets where price differs >10% from models → Return top opportunities with confidence levels
User: "Is the Fed market fairly priced?" → Compare to CME FedWatch probabilities → Show discrepancy and confidence
User: "What size should I bet if I think Trump is 55% to win but market says 45%?" → Kelly criterion: (0.55 * 0.55 - 0.45 * 0.45) / 0.55 = 18% of bankroll
🎯 EDGE DETECTED
Market: "Fed cuts rates in March 2026"
Platform: Polymarket
Current Price: 23¢
External Sources:
• CME FedWatch: 41%
• Bloomberg Consensus: 38%
• Historical base rate: 35%
Estimated Fair Value: 38¢
Edge: +15¢ (+65%)
Confidence: Medium
Kelly Suggestion:
• Conservative (half-Kelly): 8% of bankroll
• Aggressive (full-Kelly): 16% of bankroll