predictclaw

name	predictclaw
description	Predict.fun skill with a PolyClaw-style CLI for markets, wallet funding, trading, positions, and hedging.
metadata	{"openclaw":{"emoji":"🔮","homepage":"https://predict.fun","requires":{"bins":["uv"],"env":["PREDICT_ENV","PREDICT_WALLET_MODE"]},"install":[{"id":"uv-brew","kind":"brew","formula":"uv","bins":["uv"],"label":"Install uv (brew)"}]}}

PredictClaw

PredictClaw is the predict.fun-native OpenClaw skill for browsing markets, checking wallet readiness, viewing deposit addresses, withdrawing funds, placing buys, inspecting positions, and scanning hedge opportunities.

PredictClaw's version source of truth is predict/pyproject.toml. When checking GitHub or packaging metadata, use the predict/ subdirectory; the repository root is the Foundry workspace and does not define a PredictClaw pyproject.toml.

Install

ClawHub / packaged install

clawhub install predictclaw
cd ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw
uv sync
cp template.env .env

In packaged installs, the skill base directory is usually ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw. In OpenClaw manifests and examples, this same location may appear as {baseDir}.

Manual install

1. Copy or symlink the repo’s predict/ folder into ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw/
2. From the installed skill directory, run:

cd {baseDir} && uv sync
cd {baseDir} && cp template.env .env

How configuration actually works

PredictClaw only reads standard environment variables. The supported, tested inputs are:

• the process environment, for example export PREDICT_ENV=testnet
• a local {baseDir}/.env file, auto-loaded by scripts/predictclaw.py when present

If both are present, exported environment variables win and .env only fills missing values.

If your OpenClaw host version injects environment variables into the skill process, that also works because PredictClaw receives normal env vars either way. Older docs used skills.entries.predictclaw.env; treat that as a host-version-specific convenience, not the canonical PredictClaw config surface.

The SKILL frontmatter metadata intentionally lists only the universal entry variables: PREDICT_ENV and PREDICT_WALLET_MODE. OpenClaw's runtime metadata is flat rather than mode-aware, so listing every optional signer or vault variable there would incorrectly imply they are all required at the same time. The mode-specific requirements are documented below and enforced by the runtime config validator.

Mode reminders

1. Run uv sync in the installed skill directory.
2. Pick a bootstrap file:
   • template.env -> secret-free local fixture bootstrap
   • template.readonly.env -> live read-only market reads
   • template.eoa.env -> direct private-key trading
   • template.predict-account.env -> Predict Account trading
   • template.mandated-vault.env -> advanced vault control-plane / overlay
3. Copy the chosen file to .env inside ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw/.
4. Fill only the variables required for that mode.
5. Verify with:

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py --help
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py markets trending

wallet status requires signer configuration. For read-only, start with markets trending or market <id> --json instead.

mainnet market reads require PREDICT_API_KEY. For unauthenticated non-mainnet reads, use PREDICT_ENV=testnet with https://api-testnet.predict.fun.

test-fixture only knows the bundled local market IDs (123, 456, 789, 101, 202). Switch to the live read-only template before querying a real production market ID.

For signer-backed modes, the next verification step is:

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet status --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet deposit --json

Configuration examples

The snippets below are .env examples. Put them in {baseDir}/.env or export the same names in your shell.

OPENROUTER_API_KEY appears in the signer examples only for optional hedge scan / hedge analyze usage. It is not required for market, wallet, or buy flows and is only needed for non-fixture hedge analysis.

bootstrap-safe fixture mode

PREDICT_ENV=test-fixture
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=read-only

Use this for secret-free CLI verification and local market browsing only. It does not hit the live API.

live read-only mode

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=read-only
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY

If you want unauthenticated non-mainnet reads instead, set PREDICT_ENV=testnet and PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api-testnet.predict.fun.

eoa mode

PREDICT_ENV=testnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=eoa
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api-testnet.predict.fun
PREDICT_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY

predict-account mode

PREDICT_ENV=testnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=predict-account
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api-testnet.predict.fun
PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_PREDICT_ACCOUNT
PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_PRIVY_EXPORTED_KEY

mandated-vault mode (explicit deployed vault)

PREDICT_ENV=testnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=mandated-vault
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_DEPLOYED_VAULT
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND=erc-mandated-mcp
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID=97

Add ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY when your current MCP path needs the single-key preflight signer.

mandated-vault mode (predicted / undeployed vault)

PREDICT_ENV=testnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=mandated-vault
ERC_MANDATED_FACTORY_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_FACTORY
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_ASSET
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_NAME=Mandated Vault
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SYMBOL=MVLT
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY=0xYOUR_AUTHORITY
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SALT=0xYOUR_SALT
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND=erc-mandated-mcp
ERC_MANDATED_CONTRACT_VERSION=v0.3.0-agent-contract
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID=97

ERC_MANDATED_EXECUTOR_PRIVATE_KEY is optional. When it is unset, PredictClaw reuses ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY as the executor signer for the current Preflight MVP contract.

In that path, PredictClaw asks the MCP to predict the vault address and, when the vault is still undeployed, returns create-vault preparation guidance only. It does not auto-broadcast.

predict-account + vault overlay (recommended advanced funding route)

PREDICT_ENV=testnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=predict-account
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api-testnet.predict.fun
PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_PREDICT_ACCOUNT
PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_PRIVY_EXPORTED_KEY
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_DEPLOYED_VAULT
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_ASSET
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY=0xYOUR_AUTHORITY
ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_VAULT_AUTHORITY_KEY
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND=erc-mandated-mcp
ERC_MANDATED_CONTRACT_VERSION=v0.3.0-agent-contract
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID=97

In the overlay route, Predict Account remains the deposit/trading account while Vault funds the Predict Account through MCP-backed session and asset-transfer planning.

If you do not have an explicit deployed vault address yet, keep the same Predict Account pair and replace ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS with the full derivation tuple: ERC_MANDATED_FACTORY_ADDRESS, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_NAME, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SYMBOL, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY, and ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SALT.

The optional ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_* envs cap Vault→Predict transfers by per-tx amount, per-window cumulative amount, and window duration. On BSC mainnet USDT, 5U = 5000000000000000000 and 10U = 10000000000000000000.

Wallet-mode contract

• read-only — browse market data only; no signer-backed wallet actions.
• eoa — direct signer path for wallet, trade, and funding flows.
• predict-account — smart-wallet funding/trading path using PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS plus PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY.
• mandated-vault — advanced explicit opt-in control-plane path for protected vault-only status/deposit flows.

First-time setup

• Default local posture is test-fixture or testnet.
• mainnet market reads require PREDICT_API_KEY.
• testnet market reads use https://api-testnet.predict.fun.
• read-only is browse-only. Start with markets ..., not signer-backed wallet or trade commands.
• wallet status requires signer configuration.
• eoa requires PREDICT_PRIVATE_KEY and rejects Predict Account or mandated-vault inputs.
• predict-account requires both PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS and PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY.
• wallet deposit shows the funding address for the active signer mode.
• wallet withdraw performs safety validation before any transfer logic.
• In pure mandated-vault, wallet status and wallet deposit are the intended v1 entry points.
• In predict-account + ERC_MANDATED_* overlay, wallet status / wallet deposit expose vault-to-predict-account funding semantics while Predict Account remains the trade identity.
• Overlay buy can proceed when the Predict Account balance is sufficient; otherwise it returns deterministic funding-required guidance that points to wallet deposit --json.
• Pure mandated-vault needs a working ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND; overlay mode also needs ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS and ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY for funding orchestration.
• Hedge analysis uses OpenRouter; OPENROUTER_API_KEY is only required for non-fixture hedge analysis, and fixture mode stays secret-free.

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py --help
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet status --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet deposit --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet withdraw usdt 1 0xb30741673D351135Cf96564dfD15f8e135f9C310 --json

Command surface

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py markets trending
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py markets search "election"
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py market 123 --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet status --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet approve --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet deposit --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet withdraw usdt 1 0xb30741673D351135Cf96564dfD15f8e135f9C310 --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet withdraw bnb 0.1 0xb30741673D351135Cf96564dfD15f8e135f9C310 --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py buy 123 YES 25 --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py positions --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py position pos-123-yes --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py hedge scan --query election --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py hedge analyze 101 202 --json

Environment variables

Variable	Purpose
PREDICT_STORAGE_DIR	Local journal and position storage
PREDICT_ENV	Defaults to testnet in code; template.env intentionally bootstraps test-fixture; accepted values are testnet, mainnet, or test-fixture
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE	Explicit mode override: read-only, eoa, predict-account, or mandated-vault
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL	Optional REST base override; leave empty to use the env-specific default (api-testnet.predict.fun for testnet, ignored in test-fixture, api.predict.fun for mainnet)
PREDICT_API_KEY	Mainnet-authenticated predict.fun API access; required for mainnet market reads and trading
PREDICT_PRIVATE_KEY	EOA trading and funding path
PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS	Predict Account smart-wallet address
PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY	Privy-exported signer for Predict Account mode
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS	Explicit deployed mandated vault address
ERC_MANDATED_FACTORY_ADDRESS	Factory address used to predict a vault when no explicit vault address is supplied
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS	ERC-4626 asset used in mandated-vault prediction/create preparation
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_NAME	Vault name used in mandated-vault prediction/create preparation
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SYMBOL	Vault symbol used in mandated-vault prediction/create preparation
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY	Authority address and create-vault from address for manual preparation
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SALT	Deterministic salt used for vault prediction/create preparation
ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY	Preflight Vault signer key for the current single-key MVP contract
ERC_MANDATED_EXECUTOR_PRIVATE_KEY	Optional dedicated executor signer; falls back to ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY when unset
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND	MCP launcher command (defaults to erc-mandated-mcp)
ERC_MANDATED_CONTRACT_VERSION	Passed through to the mandated-vault MCP client
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID	Optional explicit chain selection for the MCP bridge
ERC_MANDATED_ALLOWED_ADAPTERS_ROOT	Optional 32-byte hex allowedAdaptersRoot used for Vault execution mandates; defaults to 0x11…11 for the current single-key MVP / PoC path
ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_MAX_AMOUNT_PER_TX	Optional Vault→Predict funding-policy maxAmountPerTx in raw token units
ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_MAX_AMOUNT_PER_WINDOW	Optional Vault→Predict funding-policy maxAmountPerWindow in raw token units
ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_WINDOW_SECONDS	Optional Vault→Predict funding-policy windowSeconds
OPENROUTER_API_KEY	Optional OpenRouter credential; only required for non-fixture hedge analysis
PREDICT_MODEL	OpenRouter model override
PREDICT_SMOKE_ENV	Enables the smoke suite
PREDICT_SMOKE_API_BASE_URL	Optional smoke REST base override
PREDICT_SMOKE_PRIVATE_KEY	Enables signer/JWT smoke checks
PREDICT_SMOKE_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS	Predict Account smoke mode
PREDICT_SMOKE_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY	Predict Account smoke signer
PREDICT_SMOKE_API_KEY	Smoke REST auth

Architecture note

• SDK for chain-aware/signed flows
• REST for auth, data, order submission, and query

Safety notes

• Do not treat fixture mode as proof of funded-wallet behavior.
• Do not assume live liquidity from testnet or mainnet docs alone.
• Keep only limited funds on automation keys.
• Withdrawal commands are public; transfer validation happens before chain interaction, but users still own the operational risk.
• mandated-vault is an advanced explicit opt-in mode. Only enable it when you intentionally want MCP-assisted vault control-plane behavior.
• predict-account + ERC_MANDATED_* is the recommended advanced trading route when you want Vault to fund the Predict Account while keeping the official Predict Account order model.
• Explicit-vs-predicted vault semantics: ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS targets an existing vault directly; otherwise PredictClaw uses the derivation tuple to ask the MCP for the predicted vault address.
• If a predicted vault is undeployed, wallet deposit can return create-vault preparation details (predictedVault, transaction summary, manual-only) without broadcasting.
• Trust boundary: the MCP orchestrates transport and preparation; the vault contract policy authorizes what the vault can actually execute.
• Pure mandated-vault does not provide predict.fun trading parity. wallet approve, wallet withdraw, buy, positions, position, hedge scan, and hedge analyze fail closed with unsupported-in-mandated-vault-v1.
• Overlay funding currently plans the vault leg and surfaces deterministic funding-required guidance when buy needs top-up; it does not auto-execute the funding leg in the current local signer context.