opportunity

name	opportunity
description	Find and execute cross-platform arbitrage opportunities across prediction markets
emoji	🎯
gates	{"envs":{"anyOf":["POLY_API_KEY","KALSHI_API_KEY"]}}

Opportunity Finder - Complete API Reference

Discover and execute cross-platform arbitrage opportunities across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, and Drift.

Based on arXiv:2508.03474 which found $40M+ in realized arbitrage on Polymarket.

Opportunity Types

Type	Description	Example
Internal	YES + NO < $1 on same platform	Buy both for guaranteed profit
Cross-Platform	Same market priced differently	Buy low on A, sell high on B
Combinatorial	Logical violations (P(A) > P(B) when A implies B)	Trump > Republican
Edge	Market vs external model (538, polls)	Market 45%, model 52%

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Chat Commands

Scanning

/opportunities scan                         # Scan all platforms for opportunities
/opportunities scan "trump"                 # Scan with keyword filter
/opportunities scan --min-edge 2            # Min 2% edge
/opportunities scan --min-liquidity 1000    # Min $1000 liquidity

/opportunities active                       # View active opportunities
/opportunities active --sort edge           # Sort by edge size
/opportunities active --sort liquidity      # Sort by liquidity