| name | fengliu-reverse-weakhand |
| description | Use when evaluating stocks through Feng Liu's weak-hand (弱者体系) reverse investing lens: assume you have less information, seek asymmetric risk/reward, buy at points of maximum pessimism, and manage position by probability. |
| invest | ./invest.md |
Feng Liu Reverse Weak-Hand
Use this skill to apply Feng Liu / 冯柳-style judgment.
When To Use
Use this skill when the user asks for:
- 弱者体系 analysis
- reverse/contrarian A-share decision
- asymmetric risk/reward setup
- whether consensus is wrong and downside is limited
Trigger phrases include 冯柳, Feng Liu, 弱者体系, reverse investing, consensus divergence, asymmetric, 逆向投资.
Do Not Use When
- Another skill fits better.
- Critical data for this model is missing.
- The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded leverage.
- The request is generic chatter with no decision.
Inputs Needed
- Asset, sector, market, or macro context
- Relevant financial, technical, policy, or sentiment data
- Time horizon and risk constraints
- Portfolio context if sizing is requested
Process
- Identify where consensus is strongest and potentially wrong.
- Check if downside is already priced in (跌不动).
- Assess asymmetry: upside if wrong consensus breaks vs cost if it doesn't.
- Size by probability, not by conviction. Add as evidence improves.
Output Format
# Feng Liu Reverse Weak-Hand View: [Subject]
## Verdict
Asymmetric Long / Watch / Consensus Still Right / Pass
## Thesis
## Evidence
## Risks
## Action Plan
## Invalidation
## Missing Data
Guardrails
- Follow the skill process; do not free-style.
- Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.
- Define invalidation before sizing.
- Not financial advice.
Questflow Use
Use as a judgment module inside Questflow-style agent workflows. Reference readings/podcasts/videos after loading the skill.
