trend-radar

name	trend-radar
description	Use when evaluating whether a trend is relevant, identifying emerging trends, or advising on trend participation timing.

Trend Radar

Every social media trend follows a lifecycle. Knowing where a trend sits in that lifecycle is more valuable than knowing the trend exists.

Trend Lifecycle

Emergence — small creators, niche communities. The format is still rough and evolving. Few people have seen it. This is where trend-spotters live.

Growth — mid-tier creators adopt it. The format solidifies into a repeatable template. Daily volume is climbing. This is the best time to participate — algorithmic boost is highest, the audience isn't tired of it yet.

Peak — everyone's doing it, including brand accounts. Your non-social-media friends have seen it. Maximum visibility but diminishing returns for new entries.

Saturation — "enough with this trend" comments appear. Engagement rates on new entries drop. Late entries feel like they're behind.

Ironic revival — parodies, meta-commentary, "remember when we all did this?" Can be a second window for creators who do meta-humor well.

Most trends spend 1-3 weeks in the growth-to-peak window. Some (especially sound-driven TikTok trends) move faster. YouTube topic trends move slower and last longer.

Reading Lifecycle Signals

• Only in niche communities, no major creators yet → emergence
• Clear repeatable format, mid-tier creators posting versions, volume climbing → growth
• Brand accounts participating, mainstream awareness → peak
• "Stop doing this" commentary, dropping engagement on new entries → saturation
• Parodies and meta-commentary outnumber sincere entries → ironic revival

Template Extraction

Every trend has a template (the repeatable structure) and instances (specific executions). To participate well, extract the template — what stays the same across every version? What's the fill-in-the-blank?

A creator should fill the template with their own niche and voice, not copy someone else's instance. The template is the trend. The instance is the creator's contribution.

Niche Relevance

Not every trend fits every creator. Before participating, ask:

• Does my audience care about this topic or format?
• Can I connect this to my content pillars naturally, or would it feel forced?
• Does participating align with my voice, or would I be performing someone else's style?
• Is there a genuine angle from my niche, or am I just jumping on it for reach?

A fitness creator doing a cooking trend needs a fitness angle. A finance creator doing a dance trend needs to be funny enough to pull it off. If the connection is forced, skip it.

Timing

Early participation (growth phase) gets the most algorithmic boost. Peak phase still works but needs a strong unique angle to stand out. Saturation is too late unless you're doing meta-commentary or parody.

Rule of thumb: if you have to ask "is this still trending?" — you're probably late.

Platform-Specific Mechanics

Load the relevant platform reference from {repo}/references/platforms/{platform}.md (read .root for repo path). Key differences: TikTok trends are often sound-driven, Instagram trends are format/template-driven, YouTube trends are topic/challenge-driven and move slower. X trends are conversation-driven and move fastest but burn out within hours.