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Record an explicit predicted observation before a side-effecting tool call. Use whenever you are about to run a command, edit a file, or invoke any tool whose outcome you have not already observed. Upholds the predict-before-act invariant.
기본적으로 소스를 먼저 확인하는 Prompt가 선택됩니다. 직접 명령으로 전환하거나 로컬 사본을 다운로드할 수도 있습니다.
설치 여부를 결정하기 전에 SKILL.md와 SkillsMP에 표시된 보조 파일을 읽어 보세요.
Codex 또는 Claude로 설치 이 Prompt를 복사해 Codex, Claude 또는 다른 어시스턴트에 붙여 넣으면 Skill 페이지를 검토하고 설치를 진행할 수 있습니다.
직접 명령은 검토 Prompt를 거치지 않습니다. 실행하기 전에 소스를 확인하세요.
npx skills add https://github.com/jason-hchsieh/predictive-mind --skill predict명령은 한 줄로 유지됩니다. 복사하기 전에 가로로 스크롤해 전체 내용을 확인하세요.
로컬 사본을 원하시나요? SkillsMP에서 현재 제공할 수 있는 파일을 다운로드하세요.
Snapshot the current belief state (and optionally git-stash the working tree) under a label, so a risky action can be rolled back if it produces high surprise or breaks acceptance tests.
Given a goal and a set of candidate next actions, rank them by Expected Free Energy (pragmatic + epistemic value) using past similar episodes, and pick the winner. Delegates scoring to the policy-selector subagent.
Run a cheap, reversible real probe to ground a belief instead of hallucinating. Use when dreamer confidence is low or when you catch yourself guessing about repository state.
SKILL.md 표시 중
SOC 직업 분류 기준
| name | predict |
| description | Record an explicit predicted observation before a side-effecting tool call. Use whenever you are about to run a command, edit a file, or invoke any tool whose outcome you have not already observed. Upholds the predict-before-act invariant. |
Before running the next side-effecting tool call, write down what you expect to observe. The prediction is recorded in the belief-store and reconciled with the actual observation after the tool runs.
Bash, Edit, Write, NotebookEdit, or any tool
with side effects.Read / Grep / Glob if the expected content
materially affects your plan (e.g. "I expect this file to contain
function foo"). For pure exploration reads, skip.action — short description ("Edit src/auth.ts: add null-check on line 42")expected — the specific, FALSIFIABLE observation you predictconfidence — 0..1, ordinal (not probabilistic)belief-store.store_prediction MCP tool with those fields,
plus:
task_id — the current task card's id (from the Cartographer)tool_name — the exact tool name you will invoke ("Bash", "Edit", …)tool_input_hash — optional; lets the hook disambiguate when
multiple predictions target the same toolThe PostToolUse hook automatically reconciles your prediction with the
actual result and computes a surprise score. You do NOT need to call
record_observation yourself.
| Bad (unfalsifiable) | Good (falsifiable) |
|---|---|
| "The tests will pass." | "pytest -q prints 14 passed and exits 0 in under 5s." |
| "The file will have my changes." | "grep -n 'null-check' src/auth.ts matches line 42." |
| "It should work." | "tsc --noEmit prints no errors." |
| "Something will be returned." | "The function returns {ok: true, id: string} with id length 36." |
If you cannot state a falsifiable prediction, your confidence should be
low and you should consider /probe first to ground the belief before
committing to the action.
$ARGUMENTS — the action you are about to take (free text).Your response should:
belief-store.store_prediction with the structured fields.action_id so downstream reconciliation can cite it.