kanchi-dividend-review-monitor

name	kanchi-dividend-review-monitor
description	Monitor dividend portfolios with Kanchi-style forced-review triggers (T1-T5) and convert anomalies into OK/WARN/REVIEW states without auto-selling. Use when users ask for 減配検知, 8-Kガバナンス監視, 配当安全性モニタリング, REVIEWキュー自動化, or periodic dividend risk checks.

Kanchi Dividend Review Monitor

Overview

Detect abnormal dividend-risk signals and route them into a human review queue. Treat automation as anomaly detection, not automated trade execution.

When to Use

Use this skill when the user needs:

• Daily/weekly/quarterly anomaly detection for dividend holdings.
• Forced review queueing for T1-T5 risk triggers.
• 8-K/governance keyword scans tied to portfolio tickers.
• Deterministic OK/WARN/REVIEW output before manual decision making.

Prerequisites

Provide normalized input JSON that follows:

• references/input-schema.md

If upstream data is unavailable, provide at least:

• ticker
• instrument_type
• dividend.latest_regular
• dividend.prior_regular

Non-Negotiable Rule

Never auto-sell based only on machine triggers. Always create WARN or REVIEW evidence for human confirmation first.

State Machine

• OK: no action.
• WARN: add to next check cycle and pause optional adds.
• REVIEW: immediate human review ticket + pause adds.

Use references/trigger-matrix.md for trigger thresholds and actions.

Flat-dividend cadence caveat

When T6 is driven only by freeze_flag / latest regular dividend equal to prior regular dividend, treat it as a WARN for cadence confirmation, not as proof of dividend deterioration. Many quarterly dividend payers repeat the same dividend for several quarters between annual raise cycles. In reports, phrase this as “confirm next dividend-growth cadence / pause optional adds until checked” and avoid implying a cut or broken thesis unless T1/T2/T3/T4/T5 evidence also supports escalation.

Monitoring Cadence

• Daily:
  • T1 dividend cut/suspension.
  • T4 SEC filing keyword scan (8-K oriented).
• Weekly:
  • T3 proxy credit stress checks.
• Quarterly:
  • T2 coverage deterioration and T5 structural decline scoring.

Workflow

1) Normalize input dataset

Collect per ticker fields in one JSON document:

• Dividend points (latest regular, prior regular, missing/zero flag).
• Coverage fields (FCF or FFO or NII, dividends paid, ratio history).
• Balance-sheet trend fields (net debt, interest coverage, buybacks/dividends).
• Filing text snippets (especially recent 8-K or equivalent alert text).
• Operations trend fields (revenue CAGR, margin trend, guidance trend).

Use references/input-schema.md for field definitions and sample payload.

2) Run the rule engine

Run:

python3 skills/kanchi-dividend-review-monitor/scripts/build_review_queue.py \
  --input /path/to/monitor_input.json \
  --output-dir reports/

The script maps each ticker to OK/WARN/REVIEW based on T1-T5. Output files are saved to the specified directory with dated filenames (e.g., review_queue_20260227.json and .md).

3) Prioritize and deduplicate

If multiple triggers fire:

• Keep all findings for audit trail.
• Escalate final state to highest severity only.
• Store trigger reasons as single-line evidence.

4) Generate human review tickets

For each REVIEW ticker, include:

• Trigger IDs and evidence.
• Suspected failure mode.
• Required manual checks for next decision.

Use references/review-ticket-template.md output format.

SEC Filing Guardrail

When implementing live SEC fetchers:

• Include a compliant User-Agent string (name + email).
• Use caching and throttling.
• Respect SEC fair-access guidance.
• In scheduled portfolio reviews where upstream filing snippets are empty, use SEC company_tickers.json plus https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK##########.json to enumerate recent 8-K / 8-K/A filings for each holding, then scan primary filing documents for the T4 keyword family (Item 4.02, non-reliance, restatement, material weakness, SEC investigation, subpoena, going concern, auditor resignation, internal control). Record the scan window, recent 8-K count, and whether hits were found. Treat "no keyword hits" as a narrow T4 scan result, not a full governance clearance.

Output Contract

Always return:

1. Queue JSON with summary counts and ticker-level findings.
2. Markdown dashboard for quick triage.
3. List of immediate REVIEW tickets.

Multi-Skill Handoff

• Consume ticker universe and baseline assumptions from kanchi-dividend-sop.
• Feed REVIEW results back to kanchi-dividend-sop for re-underwriting and position-size review.
• Share account-type context with kanchi-dividend-us-tax-accounting when risk events imply account relocation decisions.

Resources

• scripts/build_review_queue.py: local rule engine for T1-T5.
• scripts/tests/test_build_review_queue.py: unit tests for T1-T5 and report rendering.
• references/trigger-matrix.md: trigger definitions, cadence, and actions.
• references/input-schema.md: normalized input schema and sample JSON.
• references/review-ticket-template.md: standardized manual-review ticket layout.