causal-tree-building

name	causal-tree-building
description	Build logical causal trees from symptoms to root causes — list UDEs, connect causal chains, validate logic, locate root causes. Combines ishikawa-decomposition, current-reality-tree, and clr-validation SOPs.
execution	tactic
dependencies	{"sops":["clr-validation","current-reality-tree","deep-insight-paper-search","five-whys-drilling","ishikawa-decomposition"]}

Causal Tree Building

Build formal causal trees from symptoms to root causes.

Operations

• ishikawa-decomposition — multi-factor decomposition (6M categories)
• current-reality-tree — sufficient-cause logic tree
• clr-validation — validate every causal link

Available SOPs

Subagent: five-whys-drilling, ishikawa-decomposition, current-reality-tree, clr-validation Import: paper-search

Execution Guidance

Decompose via Ishikawa (6M categories adapted for research: Methodology, Data, Theory, Measurement, Researchers, Environment). Build formal CRT with sufficient-cause logic. Validate every causal link with CLR 8-check.

Minimum Yield

<HARD-GATE>
- ishikawa diagrams: >= 1
- CRT constructed: >= 1
- CLR validations: >= 3 links validated
- root causes identified: >= 1
</HARD-GATE>

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOP	When to use
clr-validation	Apply Goldratt's 8 Categories of Legitimate Reservation to validate causal claims. Tests clarity, existence, sufficiency, and logical integrity.
current-reality-tree	Build TOC Current Reality Trees — connect Undesirable Effects via sufficient-cause logic to identify 1-3 root causes.
deep-insight-paper-search	AI-powered paper summary and search. Import of literature-engine/literature-search skill. AI summary level — cite as "AI-extracted" not "paper states".
five-whys-drilling	Iterative "Why?" questioning (5+ levels) to drill from surface phenomenon to actionable root cause. Each level verified against evidence.
ishikawa-decomposition	Decompose problems into 6M categories (Methodology, Data, Theory, Measurement, Researchers, Environment) via fishbone diagram analysis.