| name | supplier-risk |
| description | Monitors ongoing risk signals and produces risk briefs for known vendors with QCC MCP integration. Activate for: supplier risk monitoring, vendor risk alert, supply risk, risk brief, supplier financial risk, credit rating downgrade, supplier operational risk, supplier compliance risk, geopolitical risk, Tier 2 risk, sub-supplier disruption, supply disruption, risk monitor, risk rating change, risk alert, distress signal, supplier news, country risk, supply chain resilience, CVA, administration, insolvency. USE THIS when a KNOWN risk event has occurred (credit downgrade, financial distress, disruption, regulatory action) and you need to assess its impact on Chinese suppliers. NOT for: classifying or scoring a vendor (use vendor-assessment), vendor onboarding or approval (use vendor-assessment), vendor Kraljic classification (use vendor-assessment), invoice processing (use invoice-reconciliation), carrier performance (use logistics-brief).
|
| license | Apache-2.0 |
| metadata | {"author":"Panaversity (Enhanced with QCC MCP)","version":"2.0","plugin-commands":"/supplier-risk","mcp-integrations":"QCC MCP (Risk Control/Enterprise), Web Search, ERP, QMS, News APIs"} |
UNIVERSAL RULES (apply to every risk task)
- NEVER classify a sole-source supplier as low risk based on spend alone --
always assess operational dependency separately from spend volume
- NEVER accept a vendor risk assessment that contains fabricated financial
data -- label all estimates and flag where primary data is unavailable
- ALWAYS flag when a vendor's Tier 2 sub-supplier shows distress signals
that could affect Tier 1 supply continuity
- ALWAYS include specific recommended actions with deadlines in every output --
observations without actions are not acceptable
- FOR CHINESE SUPPLIERS: ALWAYS use QCC MCP as primary monitoring source --
real-time official data from SAMR, Courts, Tax authorities
- NEVER rely on Western data sources for Chinese entities --
Companies House, Creditsafe have ZERO coverage
MANDATORY OUTPUT HEADER
TASK: [e.g. Supplier Risk Brief -- Vendor X]
VENDOR TIER: [Strategic / Tactical / Commodity / Bottleneck / Unclassified]
CONFIGURATION: [Loaded: supply-chain.local.md / Not configured]
DATA SOURCES: [QCC MCP Risk Control / QCC MCP Enterprise / Web Search / ERP / Manual input]
QCC MCP RISK MONITORING (Chinese Suppliers)
Real-Time Risk Signal Monitoring (Supply Chain Focus)
QCC MCP provides continuous monitoring capabilities through 4 Server integration.
Supply Chain Priority: Focus on signals that directly impact supply continuity.
| Risk Signal | QCC MCP Server | Supply Chain Impact | Alert Level | Response Time |
|---|
| SUPPLY INTERRUPTION HOT SIGNALS | | | | |
| Bankruptcy filing | Risk Control | Immediate supply termination | 🔴 CRITICAL | < 4 hours |
| New dishonest被执行人 | Risk Control | Credit collapse, stop payment | 🔴 CRITICAL | < 24 hours |
| Environmental penalty (停产) | Risk Control | Production halt possible | 🔴 CRITICAL | < 24 hours |
| Major equity freeze | Enterprise Base | Control instability | 🔴 HIGH | < 48 hours |
| OPERATIONAL DISRUPTION SIGNALS | | | | |
| Abnormal operation added | Enterprise Base | Regulatory intervention | 🔴 HIGH | < 48 hours |
| Serious violation | Enterprise Base | License revocation risk | 🔴 HIGH | < 48 hours |
| Cancellation filing | Enterprise Base | Intentional wind-down | 🔴 HIGH | < 48 hours |
| FINANCIAL STRESS SIGNALS | | | | |
| Tax arrears announced | Risk Control | Cash flow crisis | 🟡 MEDIUM | < 7 days |
| Abnormal tax status | Risk Control | Compliance breakdown | 🟡 MEDIUM | < 7 days |
| Multiple equity pledges | Enterprise Base | Over-leverage | 🟡 MEDIUM | < 30 days |
| COMPLIANCE SIGNALS | | | | |
| Administrative penalty | Risk Control | General compliance | 🟡 LOW | < 30 days |
| Environmental penalty (non-停产) | Risk Control | Fine only | 🟡 LOW | < 30 days |
Supply Chain Monitoring Extensions (监控扩展)
CAPACITY MONITORING (产能监控)
QCC MCP Server: Operation + Company
| Signal | Source | Frequency | Action |
|---|
| License expiration | Administrative license | Daily | AMBER if < 90 days |
| Qualification lapse | Qualifications | Daily | RED if expired |
| Production site changes | Change records | Weekly | Review BCP impact |
| Bidding activity drop | Bidding info | Weekly | Assess business health |
| Credit rating change | Credit evaluation | Monthly | Review supplier tier |
Note: Tier 1 Strategic suppliers require monthly capacity verification via Operation Server.
Five Risk Dimensions (QCC MCP Enhanced)
DIMENSION 1: FINANCIAL RISK (QCC MCP Risk Control)
Monitor for:
-
Equity Restrictions (股权受限):
- New equity freeze (股权冻结新增) - RED
- Multiple equity pledges (频繁股权出质) - AMBER
- Large chattel mortgages (大额动产抵押) - AMBER
-
Tax Status Changes (税务异动):
- Tax arrears announcement (欠税公告发布) - RED
- Abnormal tax status (非正常户认定) - RED
- Tax violation records (税收违法) - RED
-
Bankruptcy Signals (破产信号):
- Bankruptcy reorganization filing (破产重整申请) - RED
- Liquidation information (清算信息) - RED
-
Financial Data Availability:
- Non-listed companies: Request annual audited accounts
- QCC MCP provides property/tax indicators as proxies
Risk levels:
- RED HIGH: Bankruptcy/liquidation, tax abnormal status, equity freeze
- AMBER MEDIUM: Equity pledge >2 within 12 months, tax arrears < 90 days
- GREEN LOW: No equity restrictions, tax normal, no bankruptcy signals
DIMENSION 2: OPERATIONAL RISK (ERP + QCC MCP)
Monitor from ERP data (updated continuously):
- OTD rate: 13-week rolling average + trend direction
- Quality rejection rate: 13-week rolling average + trend direction
- Lead time variance: increasing variance = capacity or process strain
- Missed delivery pattern: same day of week? Same product? (capacity signals)
- Partial deliveries increasing? (material shortage signal)
Monitor from QCC MCP Enterprise Base (daily):
- Abnormal operation status (经营异常名录)
- Serious violation records (严重违法失信)
- Administrative penalties (行政处罚)
- Environmental penalties (环保处罚)
Risk levels:
- RED HIGH: Abnormal operation status active; OTD < critical threshold
- AMBER MEDIUM: Declining trend even if above threshold; recent penalty (<12 months)
- GREEN LOW: Stable; above threshold; no adverse trend; no operational penalties
DIMENSION 3: REGULATORY & COMPLIANCE RISK (QCC MCP Risk Control)
Monitor for:
- Certification expiry (ISO, sector-specific, data protection)
- Regulatory enforcement action via QCC MCP:
- Administrative penalties (行政处罚新增)
- Environmental penalties (环保处罚新增)
- Serious violation status (严重违法失信企业)
- Sanctions list changes
- Trade compliance issues
Risk levels:
- RED HIGH: Serious violation status; certification lapsed
- AMBER MEDIUM: Certification expiring within 90 days; penalty within 12 months
- GREEN LOW: All certifications current; no adverse regulatory signals
DIMENSION 4: GEOPOLITICAL RISK
Monitor for:
- Political instability in vendor's operating country
- Trade restrictions, tariffs, or export controls affecting category
- Currency volatility affecting contract economics
- Infrastructure disruption (port strikes, border closures, natural disaster)
- Conflict affecting supply routes
For Chinese suppliers:
- Policy changes affecting industry sector
- Regional trade restriction updates
- Entity list additions
Risk levels:
- RED HIGH: Active disruption to supply route or vendor operations
- AMBER MEDIUM: Elevated country risk; currency movement >5% since contract
- GREEN LOW: Stable environment; no material currency exposure
DIMENSION 5: TIER 2 / SUB-SUPPLIER RISK
Monitor for:
- Financial distress at critical Tier 2 suppliers (via QCC MCP if Chinese)
- Tier 2 supplier capacity constraints affecting Tier 1 output
- Single-geography concentration at Tier 2 level
- Tier 2 supplier relationship with Tier 1 deteriorating
Requirement: Tier 2 mapping must exist for all Tier 1 Strategic vendors.
If mapping does not exist: flag as UNASSESSED RISK; request Tier 2 data
from Tier 1 supplier as priority action.
Risk Rating Change Rules
ESCALATE overall rating if ANY dimension reaches RED
ELEVATE to MEDIUM-HIGH if TWO dimensions reach AMBER simultaneously
REDUCE rating only after confirmed remediation (not just vendor assurance)
QCC MCP RISK BRIEF OUTPUT FORMAT
SUPPLIER RISK BRIEF: [Vendor Name]
Assessment date: [Date] | Next scheduled review: [Date]
================================================================
OVERALL RISK RATING: [GREEN LOW / AMBER MEDIUM / AMBER MEDIUM-HIGH / RED HIGH / RED CRITICAL]
Change since last review: [No change / Elevated / Reduced]
-- QCC MCP RISK SIGNALS (Last 90 Days) --
🔴 NEW CRITICAL SIGNALS:
[Date] [Signal Type] [Description] [Source: QCC MCP]
🟡 NEW MODERATE SIGNALS:
[Date] [Signal Type] [Description] [Source: QCC MCP]
FINANCIAL RISK: [GREEN / AMBER / RED] [Rating]
Property Restrictions:
- Equity Freeze: [Active since / None]
- Equity Pledge: [Count in last 12 months]
- Chattel Mortgage: [Count/Amount]
Tax Status:
- Tax Arrears: [Amount/Type/Date or None]
- Abnormal Status: [Yes - date/office / No]
Bankruptcy:
- Proceedings: [Yes - type/status / No]
[QCC MCP Trace: Risk Control Server, Enterprise Base Server]
OPERATIONAL RISK: [GREEN / AMBER / RED] [Rating]
[OTD trend, quality trend, lead time data from ERP]
QCC MCP Signals:
- Abnormal Operation: [Status/Date or Clear]
- Administrative Penalties: [Count in last 12m]
- Environmental Penalties: [Count in last 12m]
[QCC MCP Trace: Enterprise Base Server]
COMPLIANCE RISK: [GREEN / AMBER / RED] [Rating]
Certification status: [Details]
QCC MCP Compliance:
- Serious Violation: [Yes/No]
- Recent Penalties: [List]
[QCC MCP Trace: Risk Control Server]
GEOPOLITICAL RISK:[GREEN / AMBER / RED] [Rating]
[Country, currency, route findings]
TIER 2 RISK: [GREEN / AMBER / RED / NOT MAPPED]
[Sub-supplier findings or mapping gap flag]
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS -- RANKED BY URGENCY
RED [IMMEDIATE -- this week]: [Action] -- [Owner]
AMBER [SHORT-TERM -- 30 days]: [Action] -- [Owner]
GREEN [PLANNED -- 90 days]: [Action] -- [Owner]
QCC MCP MONITORING CONFIG
Refresh Frequency: Daily for Strategic/Bottleneck; Weekly for Tactical/Commodity
Data Sources: 企查查MCP-风控大脑, 企查查MCP-企业基座
Last QCC MCP Sync: [Timestamp]
Next Auto-Refresh: [Date]
================================================================
Executive Brief Format (for CPO weekly summary)
VENDOR RISK SUMMARY -- Week of [Date]
---------------------------------------------------------
[Vendor] [Overall] [Change] [Key QCC Signal] [Action required]
[Vendor] [Overall] [Change] [Key QCC Signal] [Action required]
---------------------------------------------------------
New alerts this week: [N]
Escalations to CPO: [N]
Contingency plans live: [N]
QCC MCP New Signals: [N judicial / N operational / N financial]
HOT SIGNAL PROTOCOL
HOT SIGNALS override the review schedule
When QCC MCP detects any of the following, trigger immediate assessment:
| HOT Signal | QCC MCP Source | Action |
|---|
| New equity freeze | Risk Control | Immediate escalation to CPO |
| Bankruptcy filing | Risk Control | Activate contingency plan |
| Abnormal tax status | Risk Control | Suspend new POs, assess exposure |
| Abnormal operation added | Enterprise Base | Request immediate explanation |
| New dishonest被执行人 | Risk Control | Legal review required |
| Limit high consumption | Risk Control | Assess payment risk |
NEVER DO THESE
- NEVER rate a vendor as LOW risk in any dimension without verified data --
absence of negative data does not equal low risk; label as UNASSESSED if no data
- NEVER rely on vendor self-assessment alone for financial risk --
always cross-reference with QCC MCP independent sources
- NEVER downgrade a risk rating based on vendor assurance alone --
require evidence (updated accounts, certification renewal, remediation proof)
- NEVER omit the Tier 2 risk section -- mark as NOT MAPPED if absent, not LOW RISK
- NEVER wait for the scheduled review to act on a HOT signal --
HOT signals override the review schedule
- NEVER use Companies House/Creditsafe for Chinese suppliers --
QCC MCP is the authoritative source for Chinese entities
- NEVER fabricate QCC MCP data -- if MCP unavailable,
flag as "QCC MCP: UNCONFIGURED - manual monitoring required"
ALL OUTPUTS REQUIRE REVIEW BY A QUALIFIED PROFESSIONAL BEFORE USE IN BUSINESS DECISIONS.
