ice-score

name	ICE Score
description	Score ideas on Impact, Confidence, and Ease using evidence-guided methodology. Computes ICE Score = Impact x Confidence x Ease with priority bucket assignment.
argument-hint	[idea-title-or-description]

ICE Score

Score an idea on Impact, Confidence, and Ease to propose execution priority.

When to use

• To quickly order an idea backlog and select items for exploration
• When you have at least some explicit evidence and a rough effort estimate
• Before drafting experiment plans for a leaf opportunity

Input

• Idea title and description: goal, target metric, scope, and working hypothesis
• Idea analysis and current state: data/user/market/test evidence, risks, and effort estimate
• Optional: target metric change (%), estimated effort (person-weeks)

Output

• Format: Markdown (.md)
• Location: initiatives/[initiative]/solutions/
• Filename: ice-[YYYY-MM-DD]-[slugified-idea-title].md

Scoring quick reference

• Impact: Map expected metric change (%) to 0-10 scale
• Ease: Map estimated effort (person-weeks) to 10-1 scale
• Confidence: Sum weighted evidence contributions with group caps
• ICE Score = Impact x Confidence x Ease

Priority buckets

Score	Guidance
>= 250	Consider immediate execution (high expected ROI)
150-249	Promising; recommend additional precision testing
100-149	Proceed with mitigations or phase-two testing
< 100	On hold or needs strengthening

Guardrails

• Do not invent or infer evidence
• Exclude evidence not directly tied to Impact from Confidence
• When uncertain, apply conservative caps
• Prevent duplicate counting of the same source

For the full scoring model, evidence types, confidence calculation, and report format, see references/ice-scoring-model.md.

Follow the writing standards in _shared/writing-standards.md for all outputs.