// Use when analyzing risks for M&A deals, evaluating risk severity, quantifying financial impact of risks, or building risk matrices. Provides the 246-category institutional risk taxonomy with forensic QoE methodology.
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| name | risk-analysis |
| description | Use when analyzing risks for M&A deals, evaluating risk severity, quantifying financial impact of risks, or building risk matrices. Provides the 246-category institutional risk taxonomy with forensic QoE methodology. |
Market position, competitive dynamics, customer concentration (top 10 revenue share), revenue sustainability (recurring vs one-time), pricing power, channel dependency, regulatory exposure, supply chain, geographic concentration.
Industry overlays:
Liquidity (current ratio, quick ratio), debt capacity (leverage, coverage), profitability (margin trends, quality), revenue quality (recognition policy, deferrals), working capital (DSO/DIO/DPO trends), off-balance-sheet items.
Contract enforceability, change-of-control provisions, IP ownership, pending/threatened litigation, compliance (FCPA, GDPR, SOX), environmental liability, employee agreements.
Key person dependency, management depth, retention risk (turnover trends), compensation benchmarking, cultural integration, union exposure, pending employment claims.
Architecture (monolith vs microservices), technical debt, security posture, scalability constraints, platform dependency, open-source licensing, data privacy compliance.
When evaluating financial risks, apply these deterministic tests:
| Score | Label | Criteria |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Critical | Deal-killer. >20% probability of >25% EV impact. Requires structural mitigation or deal restructuring. |
| 4 | High | Material. >30% probability of 10-25% EV impact. Requires price adjustment or contractual protection. |
| 3 | Medium | Significant. Manageable with standard protections (reps & warranties, indemnification). |
| 2 | Low | Minor. Identifiable but unlikely to materially affect valuation or deal structure. |
| 1 | Minimal | Negligible. Standard industry risk, no specific mitigation needed. |
Before assessing risks, check historical patterns:
find_similar_deals to see which risk categories materialized in similar past deals