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financial-researcher

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更新时间2026年2月16日 23:45

Professional-grade autonomous financial analyst leveraging 9 legendary investor perspectives (Buffett, Graham, Lynch, Wood, Soros, Dalio, Burry, Simons, Shiller). Features Python processing layer for institutional-grade composite scores (Piotroski, Altman, Beneish). Guided by DRIVER methodology. For internal use - provides bold, forward-looking analysis.

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CinderZhang

CinderZhang/FAskills

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Financial Researcher Skill

Quick Reference

/financial-researcher AAPL          # Analyze Apple (prompts for mode)
/financial-researcher NVDA --full   # Force full analysis
/financial-researcher TSLA --quick  # Force quick lookup

ORCHESTRATION OVERVIEW

This skill operates in two modes and follows the DRIVER methodology:

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  USER: /financial-researcher {TICKER}                       │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  1. MODE SELECTION                                          │
│     └─> Quick lookup OR Full 9-guru analysis                │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  2. [DISCOVER] - Data Fetching                              │
│     ├─> Calculate data union based on mode                  │
│     ├─> Fetch from financialdatasets-mcp                    │
│     ├─> Fetch from tavily-mcp                               │
│     └─> Fetch 13-F holdings for relevant gurus              │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  3. [PROCESS] - Python Metrics Calculation ⭐ NEW           │
│     ├─> Run processing.run_analysis() on raw data           │
│     ├─> Calculate composite scores (Piotroski, Altman, etc) │
│     ├─> Generate quality flags and warnings                 │
│     └─> Format LLM-ready context for each expert            │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  4. [REPRESENT] - Planning                                  │
│     ├─> Map pre-calculated metrics to each expert           │
│     └─> Prepare dispatch parameters                         │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  5. [IMPLEMENT] - Expert Dispatch (Full mode only)          │
│     └─> Spawn 9 Task subagents IN PARALLEL                  │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  6. [VALIDATE] - Cross-Check                                │
│     └─> Verify all expert outputs, log failures             │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  7. [EVOLVE] - Consolidation                                │
│     ├─> Tally signals                                       │
│     ├─> Build agreement matrix                              │
│     └─> Aggregate risks                                     │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│  8. [REFLECT] - Output                                      │
│     ├─> Generate markdown report                            │
│     └─> Save JSON to ./reports/{ticker}_{date}.json         │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

STEP 1: MODE SELECTION

1.1 Mode Detection

First, check if the user specified a mode flag:

--quick or --fast → Quick Mode
--full or --deep → Full Mode
No flag → Ask User

1.2 Ask User (if no flag)

Use the AskUserQuestion tool:

question: "Quick lookup or Full analysis for {TICKER}?"
header: "Analysis Mode"
options:
  - label: "Quick lookup"
    description: "Key metrics and fundamentals only (~30 seconds)"
  - label: "Full analysis"
    description: "All 9 guru perspectives + consolidation (~3-5 minutes)"

1.3 Mode Comparison

Aspect	Quick Mode	Full Mode
Data Fetched	Metrics, prices, company_facts	ALL data for all experts
Expert Analyses	None	All 9 gurus in parallel
13-F Holdings	None	6 investors
News/Search	Basic context	Finance + news + risk searches
Output	Simple metrics table	Full report with all analyses
Approximate Time	30 seconds	3-5 minutes

STEP 2: DATA ROUTING LOGIC

2.1 Expert Data Requirements Matrix

Each expert needs specific data. Fetch the UNION once, then route SUBSETS to each expert.

┌──────────────────┬────┬────┬────┬────┬────┬────┬────┬────┬────┐
│ Data Type        │ WB │ BG │ PL │ CW │ GS │ RD │ MB │ JS │ RS │
├──────────────────┼────┼────┼────┼────┼────┼────┼────┼────┼────┤
│ income_statements│ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │    │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │
│ balance_sheets   │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │    │
│ cash_flows       │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │    │
│ financial_metrics│ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │
│ company_facts    │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │    │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │
│ prices (stock)   │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │
│ prices (SPY)     │    │    │    │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │
│ prices (sector)  │    │    │    │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │
│ prices (VIX)     │    │    │    │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │
│ insider_trades   │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │    │
│ sec_filings      │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │    │
│ 13f_berkshire    │ ✓  │    │    │    │    │    │    │    │    │
│ 13f_ark          │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │    │    │    │    │
│ 13f_soros        │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │    │    │    │
│ 13f_bridgewater  │    │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │    │    │
│ 13f_scion        │    │    │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │    │
│ 13f_renaissance  │    │    │    │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │    │
│ news_finance     │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │
│ news_recent      │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │ ✓  │
│ news_risks       │    │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │ ✓  │    │    │
│ analyst_estimates│    │    │    │    │    │    │    │    │ ✓  │
└──────────────────┴────┴────┴────┴────┴────┴────┴────┴────┴────┘

Legend: WB=Buffett, BG=Graham, PL=Lynch, CW=Wood, GS=Soros, RD=Dalio, MB=Burry, JS=Simons, RS=Shiller

2.2 Data Windows (Extended)

Extended data windows for full business cycle coverage:

Data Type	Window	Rationale
Income Statements (Annual)	15 years	Full business cycle + multiple recessions
Income Statements (Quarterly)	20 quarters	Seasonal patterns + recent trend analysis
Balance Sheets (Annual)	15 years	Long-term capital structure evolution
Cash Flow Statements (Annual)	15 years	Cash generation consistency
Price History	5 years	Medium-term technical context
13-F Holdings	3 years (12 quarters)	Position building/reduction patterns
Insider Trades	100 records	Recent management sentiment

2.3 Data Fetch Sequence (Full Mode)

Execute these MCP tool calls to gather the full data union:

# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
# PHASE 1: Financial Data (financialdatasets-mcp)
# Extended windows for professional analysis
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

# Financial Statements - fetch in parallel (extended windows)
get_income_statements(ticker="{TICKER}", period="annual", limit=15)      # 15 years
get_income_statements(ticker="{TICKER}", period="quarterly", limit=20)   # 20 quarters
get_balance_sheets(ticker="{TICKER}", period="annual", limit=15)         # 15 years
get_cash_flows(ticker="{TICKER}", period="annual", limit=15)             # 15 years

# Metrics & Market Data - fetch in parallel
get_financial_metrics(ticker="{TICKER}", period="ttm", limit=8)          # 8 TTM periods
get_company_facts(ticker="{TICKER}")
get_prices(ticker="{TICKER}", start_date="{FIVE_YEARS_AGO}", end_date="{TODAY}", interval="day")  # 5 years
get_prices(ticker="SPY", start_date="{FIVE_YEARS_AGO}", end_date="{TODAY}", interval="day")     # S&P 500 benchmark
get_prices(ticker="{SECTOR_ETF}", start_date="{FIVE_YEARS_AGO}", end_date="{TODAY}", interval="day")  # Sector ETF
# SECTOR_TO_ETF mapping: XLK=tech, XLF=financials, XLV=healthcare, XLE=energy, XLY=consumer disc,
#   XLP=consumer staples, XLI=industrials, XLB=materials, XLRE=real estate, XLC=communication, XLU=utilities
get_prices(ticker="^VIX", start_date="{FIVE_YEARS_AGO}", end_date="{TODAY}", interval="day")    # VIX volatility (fallback: VIXY)
get_insider_trades(ticker="{TICKER}", limit=100)                         # 100 records

# SEC Filings
get_sec_filings(ticker="{TICKER}", limit=20)

# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
# PHASE 2: 13-F Holdings (financialdatasets-mcp)
# Investor-first approach: Query each investor's full portfolio,
# then filter for target ticker. Also get all owners of ticker.
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

# Calculate 3-year lookback date
report_period_gte = "{THREE_YEARS_AGO}"  # e.g., "2022-01-01"

# Step 1: Fetch each guru's full portfolio (investor-first)
get_institutional_ownership(
    investor="BERKSHIRE_HATHAWAY_INC",
    limit=500,
    report_period_gte=report_period_gte
)  # Buffett - large portfolio

get_institutional_ownership(
    investor="ARK_INVESTMENT_MANAGEMENT_LLC",
    limit=300,
    report_period_gte=report_period_gte
)  # Wood

get_institutional_ownership(
    investor="SOROS_FUND_MANAGEMENT_LLC",
    limit=300,
    report_period_gte=report_period_gte
)  # Soros

get_institutional_ownership(
    investor="BRIDGEWATER_ASSOCIATES_LP",
    limit=500,
    report_period_gte=report_period_gte
)  # Dalio - large portfolio

get_institutional_ownership(
    investor="SCION_ASSET_MANAGEMENT_LLC",
    limit=200,
    report_period_gte=report_period_gte
)  # Burry - concentrated portfolio

get_institutional_ownership(
    investor="RENAISSANCE_TECHNOLOGIES_LLC",
    limit=300,
    report_period_gte=report_period_gte
)  # Simons - quant strategies

# Step 2: Get ALL institutional owners of target ticker
get_institutional_ownership(ticker="{TICKER}", limit=100)

# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
# PHASE 3: News & Context (tavily-mcp)
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

# Finance-specific search
search_finance(query="{TICKER} stock analysis valuation", ticker="{TICKER}", max_results=10)

# Recent news
search_news(query="{TICKER} earnings revenue", ticker="{TICKER}", max_age_days=14, max_results=10)

# Risk-focused search
search_news(query="{TICKER} risks concerns problems", ticker="{TICKER}", max_age_days=30, max_results=10, use_trusted_domains=True)

STEP 2B: PYTHON PROCESSING LAYER

After fetching raw data, run the Python processing layer to pre-calculate professional metrics.

2B.1 Processing Layer Location

/processing/
├── __init__.py              # Main exports
├── orchestrator.py          # Entry point: run_analysis()
├── data_extractor.py        # Maps API responses to Python objects
├── metrics_calculator.py    # All composite score calculations
└── financial_metrics.py     # Legacy calculations (backwards compat)

2B.2 Processing Layer Usage

from processing import run_analysis, format_for_expert

# Run full analysis pipeline
result = run_analysis(
    ticker="{TICKER}",
    income_statements=income_statements_response,
    balance_sheets=balance_sheets_response,
    cash_flows=cash_flows_response,
    metrics=metrics_response,
    price_data=price_response,
    holdings_by_investor={
        "BERKSHIRE_HATHAWAY_INC": berkshire_holdings,
        "ARK_INVESTMENT_MANAGEMENT_LLC": ark_holdings,
        "SOROS_FUND_MANAGEMENT_LLC": soros_holdings,
        "BRIDGEWATER_ASSOCIATES_LP": bridgewater_holdings,
        "SCION_ASSET_MANAGEMENT_LLC": scion_holdings,
        "RENAISSANCE_TECHNOLOGIES_LLC": renaissance_holdings,
    },
    insider_trades=insider_trades_response,
    company_facts=company_facts_response,
    wacc=0.10,  # Default WACC for EVA calculation
)

# Get LLM-ready context
llm_context = result.to_llm_context()

# Get expert-specific context
buffett_context = format_for_expert(result, "buffett")
burry_context = format_for_expert(result, "burry")
simons_context = format_for_expert(result, "simons")
shiller_context = format_for_expert(result, "shiller")

2B.3 Metrics Calculated (NOT from API)

The processing layer calculates metrics that financialdatasets.ai does NOT provide:

Category	Metrics	Primary Users
Composite Scores
Piotroski F-Score	9-point financial strength (0-9)	Graham, Buffett, Dalio, Burry
Altman Z-Score	Bankruptcy prediction (zones)	Graham, Dalio, Burry
Ohlson O-Score	Bankruptcy probability (0-1)	Dalio, Burry
Beneish M-Score	Earnings manipulation (-2.22 threshold)	Burry
Magic Formula	Greenblatt ROIC + Earnings Yield	Buffett
Quality Metrics
Sloan Accrual Ratio	Earnings quality (-10% to +10% safe)	Burry
Gross Profitability	Novy-Marx GP/Assets	Wood
FCF Conversion	FCF/EBITDA (>80% healthy)	Buffett
Value Creation
Owner Earnings	Buffett's true cash to owners	Buffett
EVA	NOPAT - (IC × WACC)	Dalio
Decomposition
DuPont 5-Factor	ROE breakdown (tax, interest, margin, turnover, leverage)	All
Growth
Sustainable Growth Rate	ROE × Retention Ratio	Lynch, Wood
Trend Analysis	Accelerating/Decelerating patterns	Lynch, Wood
Shareholder Returns
Total Shareholder Yield	Dividend + Buyback + Debt Paydown	Buffett

2B.4 Metrics FROM API (Don't Recalculate)

financialdatasets.ai already provides these 48+ metrics - use directly:

Valuation: P/E, P/B, P/S, EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, PEG
Profitability: ROE, ROA, ROIC, Gross Margin, Operating Margin, Net Margin
Liquidity: Current Ratio, Quick Ratio, Cash Ratio
Leverage: Debt/Equity, Debt/Assets, Interest Coverage
Efficiency: Asset Turnover, Inventory Turnover, DSO
Growth: Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, FCF Growth
Per Share: EPS, Book Value, FCF, Dividends

2B.5 Processing Layer Output Structure

@dataclass
class AnalysisResult:
    ticker: str
    company_name: str
    analysis_date: str

    # Complete extracted company data
    company_data: CompanyData

    # All calculated metrics
    comprehensive_analysis: ComprehensiveAnalysis

    # Quick reference summary
    summary: Dict[str, Any]

    # Data quality notes
    data_quality_notes: List[str]

    def to_llm_context(self) -> str:
        """Format all metrics as LLM-ready text context."""

    def to_dict(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
        """Convert to dictionary for JSON serialization."""

@dataclass
class ComprehensiveAnalysis:
    ticker: str

    # Composite Scores
    piotroski: MetricResult      # F-Score (0-9)
    altman_z: MetricResult       # Z-Score with zone
    ohlson_o: MetricResult       # O-Score probability
    beneish_m: MetricResult      # M-Score with flags
    magic_formula: MetricResult  # Combined rank

    # Quality Metrics
    sloan_accrual: MetricResult
    gross_profitability: MetricResult
    fcf_conversion: MetricResult

    # Shareholder Returns
    shareholder_yield: MetricResult

    # Value Creation
    eva: MetricResult
    owner_earnings: MetricResult

    # Decomposition
    dupont: MetricResult

    # Growth
    sustainable_growth: MetricResult
    revenue_trend: MetricResult
    earnings_trend: MetricResult

    # Summary
    red_flags: List[str]
    green_flags: List[str]
    overall_quality_score: float  # 0-100

@dataclass
class MetricResult:
    value: float
    interpretation: str
    components: Dict[str, Any]
    flags: List[str]
    data_quality: float  # 0-1

2B.6 Example LLM Context Output

# Pre-Calculated Metrics for AAPL
Company: Apple Inc
Analysis Date: 2026-01-23

## Composite Scores
### Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Interpretation: Very Strong - High quality, consider buying
Components: ROA+, CFO+, ΔROA+, Accruals+, ΔLeverage+, ΔLiquidity+, NoDilution+, ΔMargin+, ΔTurnover-

### Altman Z-Score: 4.52
Interpretation: Safe Zone - Low bankruptcy risk

### Beneish M-Score: -2.85
Interpretation: Unlikely Manipulator (M=-2.85)

## Quality Metrics
### Sloan Accrual Ratio: -3.2%
Interpretation: Safe Zone - Quality earnings backed by cash

### FCF Conversion: 95.2%
Interpretation: Healthy - Strong cash conversion

### Gross Profitability (GP/Assets): 38.5%
Interpretation: Excellent gross profitability

## Value Creation
### Owner Earnings: $98.5B
Per Share: $6.42
Interpretation: Owner earnings exceed net income - high quality

### Economic Value Added (EVA): $72.3B
Interpretation: Creating value: $72.3B above cost of capital

## Shareholder Returns
### Total Shareholder Yield: 4.8%
  - Dividend Yield: 0.5%
  - Buyback Yield: 4.1%
  - Debt Paydown Yield: 0.2%

## ROE Decomposition (DuPont 5-Factor)
ROE: 147.2%
  - Tax Burden: 0.84
  - Interest Burden: 0.99
  - EBIT Margin: 30.1%
  - Asset Turnover: 1.15
  - Leverage: 5.12x
Analysis: ROE driven by strong margins, efficient asset use, leverage

## Sustainable Growth
Sustainable Growth Rate: 143.2%
Interpretation: High sustainable growth - can grow rapidly internally

## ✓ GREEN FLAGS
- Very strong Piotroski F-Score (8/9)
- Safe Altman Z-Score zone
- Low manipulation risk (Beneish < -2.22)
- Excellent FCF conversion (>80%)
- Positive EVA - creating shareholder value

## Overall Quality Score: 87/100

2.3 Data Fetch Sequence (Quick Mode)

Minimal data for quick lookup:

# Quick mode - only essential metrics
get_financial_metrics(ticker="{TICKER}", period="ttm", limit=1)
get_company_facts(ticker="{TICKER}")
get_prices(ticker="{TICKER}", start_date="{90_DAYS_AGO}", end_date="{TODAY}", interval="day")

# Optional context
search_finance(query="{TICKER} stock", ticker="{TICKER}", max_results=3)

2.5 Data Subset Routing

After fetching raw data and running Python processing, route pre-calculated metrics to each expert:

// Pre-calculated metrics from Python processing layer
const calculated = {
  piotroski: calculate_piotroski(financials),           // F-Score (0-9)
  altman: calculate_altman_z(financials, market_data),  // Z-Score
  beneish: calculate_beneish_m(financials),             // M-Score
  owner_earnings: calculate_owner_earnings(financials), // Buffett method
  roic: calculate_roic(financials),                     // Return on Invested Capital
  graham: calculate_graham_valuation(financials, price), // Graham Number, NCAV
  valuation: calculate_valuation_metrics(financials, market_data), // PEG, EV/EBITDA, etc.
  growth: calculate_growth_analysis(financials)         // CAGR, trends
};

const dataSubsets = {
  warren_buffett: {
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary)
    owner_earnings: calculated.owner_earnings,
    roic: calculated.roic,
    piotroski: calculated.piotroski,
    valuation: calculated.valuation,
    growth: calculated.growth,
    // Context data
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    filings_content: sec_filings,
    news_items: [...news_finance, ...news_recent],
    holdings_json: berkshire_holdings.filter(h => h.ticker === ticker)
  },

  ben_graham: {
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary)
    graham: calculated.graham,           // Graham Number, NCAV
    piotroski: calculated.piotroski,     // Quality screen
    altman: calculated.altman,           // Bankruptcy risk
    valuation: calculated.valuation,
    growth: calculated.growth,
    // Context data
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    filings_content: sec_filings,
    news_items: news_recent
    // No 13-F for Graham (historical reference)
  },

  peter_lynch: {
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary)
    valuation: calculated.valuation,     // PEG ratio is key
    growth: calculated.growth,           // Growth trajectory
    piotroski: calculated.piotroski,     // Quality check
    // Context data
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    filings_content: sec_filings,
    news_items: [...news_finance, ...news_recent],
    insider_trades: insider_trades
    // No 13-F for Lynch (historical reference)
  },

  cathie_wood: {
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary)
    growth: calculated.growth,           // Revenue CAGR critical
    valuation: calculated.valuation,
    // Context data
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    filings_content: sec_filings,
    news_items: [...news_finance, ...news_recent],
    holdings_json: ark_holdings.filter(h => h.ticker === ticker)
  },

  george_soros: {
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary)
    valuation: calculated.valuation,
    // Context data (Soros focuses on price action & sentiment)
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    price_history: prices,  // Full 5-year price history for reflexivity analysis
    filings_content: null,
    news_items: [...news_finance, ...news_recent],
    holdings_json: soros_holdings.filter(h => h.ticker === ticker)
  },

  ray_dalio: {
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary)
    altman: calculated.altman,           // Z-Score for stress testing
    roic: calculated.roic,
    piotroski: calculated.piotroski,
    valuation: calculated.valuation,
    growth: calculated.growth,
    // Context data
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    filings_content: sec_filings,
    news_items: [...news_recent, ...news_risks],
    holdings_json: bridgewater_holdings.filter(h => h.ticker === ticker)
  },

  michael_burry: {
    // Burry gets EVERYTHING - he's the forensic analyst
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary - forensic focus)
    beneish: calculated.beneish,         // M-Score for manipulation detection
    piotroski: calculated.piotroski,     // F-Score quality check
    altman: calculated.altman,           // Z-Score bankruptcy risk
    owner_earnings: calculated.owner_earnings, // Cash flow quality
    valuation: calculated.valuation,
    growth: calculated.growth,
    // Context data (full access for forensic analysis)
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    filings_content: sec_filings,  // Full filings for forensic analysis
    news_items: [...news_finance, ...news_recent, ...news_risks],
    insider_trades: insider_trades,  // Critical for Burry
    holdings_json: scion_holdings.filter(h => h.ticker === ticker)
  },

  jim_simons: {
    // Simons focuses on quantitative factor analysis and statistical patterns
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary - quant focus)
    valuation: calculated.valuation,
    // Context data (price/volume driven)
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    price_history: prices,           // Full 5-year stock price history
    spy_prices: spy_prices,          // S&P 500 benchmark for beta/correlation
    sector_prices: sector_prices,    // Sector ETF for relative strength
    vix_data: vix_data,              // VIX for volatility regime detection
    filings_content: null,           // Quant approach doesn't use filings
    news_items: null,                // Quant approach doesn't use news
    holdings_json: renaissance_holdings.filter(h => h.ticker === ticker)
  },

  robert_shiller: {
    // Shiller focuses on behavioral economics and long-term valuation cycles
    // Pre-calculated metrics (primary - behavioral/valuation focus)
    valuation: calculated.valuation,
    growth: calculated.growth,
    // Context data (macro + sentiment driven)
    current_price: latest_price,
    market_cap: company_facts.market_cap,
    price_history: prices,           // For long-term valuation context
    filings_content: null,           // Academic approach doesn't use filings
    news_items: [...news_finance, ...news_recent],  // Sentiment analysis
    analyst_estimates: analyst_estimates,  // Consensus expectations for contrarian view
    holdings_json: null              // Academic - no 13-F holdings
  }
};

// Expert-to-Metric Mapping Summary:
// ┌─────────────┬───────────┬─────────┬──────────┬────────┬──────┬────────┬───────┬────────┐
// │ Expert      │ Piotroski │ Altman  │ Beneish  │ Owner  │ ROIC │ Graham │ Val.  │ Growth │
// ├─────────────┼───────────┼─────────┼──────────┼────────┼──────┼────────┼───────┼────────┤
// │ Buffett     │     ✓     │         │          │   ✓    │  ✓   │        │   ✓   │   ✓    │
// │ Graham      │     ✓     │    ✓    │          │        │      │   ✓    │   ✓   │   ✓    │
// │ Lynch       │     ✓     │         │          │        │      │        │   ✓   │   ✓    │
// │ Wood        │           │         │          │        │      │        │   ✓   │   ✓    │
// │ Soros       │           │         │          │        │      │        │   ✓   │        │
// │ Dalio       │     ✓     │    ✓    │          │        │  ✓   │        │   ✓   │   ✓    │
// │ Burry       │     ✓     │    ✓    │    ✓     │   ✓    │      │        │   ✓   │   ✓    │
// │ Simons      │           │         │          │        │      │        │   ✓   │        │
// │ Shiller     │           │         │          │        │      │        │   ✓   │   ✓    │
// └─────────────┴───────────┴─────────┴──────────┴────────┴──────┴────────┴───────┴────────┘

STEP 3: SUBAGENT DISPATCH SYSTEM

3.1 Dispatch Pattern

CRITICAL: Spawn ALL 9 experts in a SINGLE message with multiple Task tool calls for true parallelism.

Use Task tool with:
  subagent_type: "general-purpose"
  description: "{Guru Name} analysis of {TICKER}"
  prompt: [Constructed from expert template + injected data]

3.2 Expert Prompt Construction

For each expert, construct the prompt by:

Load the expert template from experts/{guru_id}.md
Replace template variables with pre-calculated data:
- {TICKER} → actual ticker symbol
- {COMPANY_NAME} → from company_facts
- {current_price} → latest price
- {market_cap} → formatted market cap
Pre-calculated Metrics (from Python processing layer):
- {piotroski_json} → Piotroski F-Score with component breakdown
- {altman_json} → Altman Z-Score with zone classification
- {beneish_json} → Beneish M-Score with red flags
- {owner_earnings_json} → Owner Earnings calculation
- {roic_json} → ROIC with interpretation
- {graham_json} → Graham Number and NCAV
- {valuation_json} → PEG, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, etc.
- {growth_json} → CAGR, trends, acceleration
Context Data:
- {filings_content} → formatted SEC filings
- {news_items} → formatted news items
- {holdings_json} → 13-F holdings for this guru (with 3-year history)

3.3 Parallel Dispatch Call

Execute this SINGLE message with 9 Task tool invocations:

// DISPATCH ALL 9 EXPERTS IN PARALLEL - SINGLE MESSAGE

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "Warren Buffett analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedBuffettPrompt
})

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "Ben Graham analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedGrahamPrompt
})

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "Peter Lynch analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedLynchPrompt
})

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "Cathie Wood analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedWoodPrompt
})

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "George Soros analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedSorosPrompt
})

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "Ray Dalio analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedDalioPrompt
})

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "Michael Burry analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedBurryPrompt
})

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "Jim Simons analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedSimonsPrompt
})

Task({
  subagent_type: "general-purpose",
  description: "Robert Shiller analysis of {TICKER}",
  prompt: constructedShillerPrompt
})

3.4 Response Collection

After parallel dispatch:

Collect all 9 responses
Parse JSON from each expert's response
Validate schema compliance
Handle any failures gracefully (continue with N-1 experts)

STEP 4: DRIVER WORKFLOW EXECUTION

4.1 [DISCOVER] Phase

Output to user:

═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[DISCOVER] Starting analysis for {TICKER}
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

[DISCOVER] Fetching financial statements (15 years)...
[DISCOVER] Fetching metrics and market data...
[DISCOVER] Fetching SEC filings...
[DISCOVER] Fetching 13-F institutional holdings (3 years)...
[DISCOVER] Fetching news and market context...
[DISCOVER] Data collection complete.

Data Summary:
- Financial Statements: {N} annual + {N} quarterly periods
- Metrics: {N} metrics available
- Price History: {N} days (5 years)
- SEC Filings: {N} filings
- 13-F Holdings: {N} relevant positions found
- News Articles: {N} items

Actions:

Execute data fetch sequence based on mode
Store all data in structured format
Log any missing data points
Calculate data quality score

4.2 [PROCESS] Phase ⭐ NEW

Output to user:

═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[PROCESS] Calculating professional metrics
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

[PROCESS] Running Python processing layer...
[PROCESS] Calculating composite scores:
         ├─ Piotroski F-Score: {X}/9 ({interpretation})
         ├─ Altman Z-Score: {X} ({zone})
         ├─ Beneish M-Score: {X} ({interpretation})
         └─ Ohlson O-Score: {X}% probability

[PROCESS] Calculating quality metrics:
         ├─ Sloan Accrual: {X}%
         ├─ FCF Conversion: {X}%
         └─ Gross Profitability: {X}%

[PROCESS] Value creation analysis:
         ├─ Owner Earnings: ${X}
         └─ EVA: ${X}

[PROCESS] Generating expert contexts...
[PROCESS] Pre-calculation complete.

Quality Summary:
- Overall Quality Score: {X}/100
- Red Flags: {N}
- Green Flags: {N}

Actions:

Call run_analysis() from processing layer
Extract composite scores and quality metrics
Identify red/green flags
Generate expert-specific contexts using format_for_expert()
Log any calculation warnings

Python Code:

from processing import run_analysis, format_for_expert

# Run full processing pipeline
result = run_analysis(
    ticker=ticker,
    income_statements=income_statements,
    balance_sheets=balance_sheets,
    cash_flows=cash_flows,
    metrics=metrics,
    price_data=price_data,
    holdings_by_investor=holdings_by_investor,
    insider_trades=insider_trades,
    company_facts=company_facts,
)

# Extract key metrics for display
analysis = result.comprehensive_analysis
print(f"Piotroski F-Score: {analysis.piotroski.value}/9")
print(f"Altman Z-Score: {analysis.altman_z.value}")
print(f"Overall Quality: {analysis.overall_quality_score}/100")

# Generate expert contexts
# Note: Processing layer also calculates quant_metrics (factor exposures,
# statistical arbitrage signals) for Simons and behavioral_metrics
# (CAPE ratio, sentiment indicators, mean reversion signals) for Shiller
expert_contexts = {
    "buffett": format_for_expert(result, "buffett"),
    "graham": format_for_expert(result, "graham"),
    "lynch": format_for_expert(result, "lynch"),
    "wood": format_for_expert(result, "wood"),
    "soros": format_for_expert(result, "soros"),
    "dalio": format_for_expert(result, "dalio"),
    "burry": format_for_expert(result, "burry"),
    "simons": format_for_expert(result, "simons"),
    "shiller": format_for_expert(result, "shiller"),
}

4.4 [REPRESENT] Phase

Output to user:

═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[REPRESENT] Planning analysis approach
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

[REPRESENT] Mode: {FULL|QUICK}
[REPRESENT] Company: {COMPANY_NAME} ({TICKER})
[REPRESENT] Market Cap: ${MARKET_CAP}
[REPRESENT] Current Price: ${CURRENT_PRICE}

Pre-Calculated Metrics Summary:
  ├─ Piotroski F-Score: {X}/9 ({interpretation})
  ├─ Altman Z-Score: {X} ({zone})
  ├─ Quality Score: {X}/100
  └─ Red Flags: {N} | Green Flags: {N}

Experts to dispatch:
  ├─ Warren Buffett  (moat, owner earnings, FCF conversion)
  ├─ Ben Graham      (margin of safety, Z-Score, NCAV)
  ├─ Peter Lynch     (PEG, sustainable growth, trends)
  ├─ Cathie Wood     (disruption, gross profitability)
  ├─ George Soros    (reflexivity, sentiment)
  ├─ Ray Dalio       (cycles, stress testing, EVA)
  ├─ Michael Burry   (M-Score, accruals, forensics)
  ├─ Jim Simons      (quant factors, statistical patterns)
  └─ Robert Shiller  (CAPE, behavioral economics)

[REPRESENT] Expert contexts prepared from processing layer.

Actions:

Validate ticker and data availability
Use format_for_expert() to prepare expert-specific contexts
Build the expert prompts with pre-calculated metrics
Log the analysis plan

4.5 [IMPLEMENT] Phase (Full Mode Only)

Output to user:

═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[IMPLEMENT] Dispatching expert analysts (parallel execution)
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Warren Buffett analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Ben Graham analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Peter Lynch analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Cathie Wood analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning George Soros analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Ray Dalio analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Michael Burry analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Jim Simons analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Robert Shiller analysis...

[IMPLEMENT] All 9 experts dispatched. Awaiting results...

Actions:

Send single message with 9 parallel Task calls
Wait for all responses
Log progress as each completes

Post-dispatch output:

[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Warren Buffett complete (signal: {SIGNAL})
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Ben Graham complete (signal: {SIGNAL})
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Peter Lynch complete (signal: {SIGNAL})
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Cathie Wood complete (signal: {SIGNAL})
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ George Soros complete (signal: {SIGNAL})
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Ray Dalio complete (signal: {SIGNAL})
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Michael Burry complete (signal: {SIGNAL})
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Jim Simons complete (signal: {SIGNAL})
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Robert Shiller complete (signal: {SIGNAL})

[IMPLEMENT] All expert analyses received.

4.6 [VALIDATE] Phase

Output to user:

═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[VALIDATE] Cross-checking expert outputs
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

[VALIDATE] Checking JSON schema compliance... {N}/9 valid
[VALIDATE] Checking for missing required fields... OK
[VALIDATE] Identifying contradictory assumptions...

Assumption Check:
  - Growth rate assumptions: Range {X%} to {Y%}
  - Valuation method disagreements: {N} found
  - Risk assessment divergence: {HIGH|MEDIUM|LOW}

[VALIDATE] Consensus strength: {STRONG|MODERATE|WEAK|DIVIDED}

Actions:

Validate each expert's JSON output
Check for required fields
Identify contradictory assumptions
Flag if consensus is suspiciously uniform (potential groupthink)

4.7 [EVOLVE] Phase

Output to user:

═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[EVOLVE] Consolidating insights
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

[EVOLVE] Signal distribution:
         Bullish:  {N} experts ({X}%)
         Neutral:  {N} experts ({X}%)
         Bearish:  {N} experts ({X}%)

[EVOLVE] Computing confidence-weighted consensus...
[EVOLVE] Building agreement matrix...
[EVOLVE] Aggregating risk factors...
[EVOLVE] Extracting common themes...
[EVOLVE] Computing price target consensus...

[EVOLVE] Consolidation complete.

Actions:

Step 1: Tally Signals

const signalTally = {
  bullish: experts.filter(e => e.signal === "bullish").length,
  neutral: experts.filter(e => e.signal === "neutral").length,
  bearish: experts.filter(e => e.signal === "bearish").length
};

const bullishExperts = experts.filter(e => e.signal === "bullish").map(e => e.expert);
const neutralExperts = experts.filter(e => e.signal === "neutral").map(e => e.expert);
const bearishExperts = experts.filter(e => e.signal === "bearish").map(e => e.expert);

Step 2: Compute Confidence-Weighted Signal

// Weight each signal by confidence
const weightedScore = experts.reduce((sum, e) => {
  const signalValue = { bullish: 1, neutral: 0, bearish: -1 }[e.signal];
  return sum + (signalValue * e.confidence);
}, 0) / experts.reduce((sum, e) => sum + e.confidence, 0);

// Convert to 0-100 scale (50 = neutral)
const confidenceWeightedScore = Math.round((weightedScore + 1) * 50);

// Determine overall signal
const confidenceWeightedSignal =
  confidenceWeightedScore > 60 ? "bullish" :
  confidenceWeightedScore < 40 ? "bearish" : "neutral";

Step 3: Build Agreement Matrix

Track which experts mentioned which themes and whether positively or negatively.

// Themes to track across experts
const TRACKED_THEMES = [
  "Strong moat / Competitive advantage",
  "Management quality",
  "Valuation attractive",
  "Growth potential",
  "Balance sheet strength",
  "Cash flow quality",
  "Accounting concerns",
  "Macro/cycle headwinds",
  "Disruption risk",
  "Insider activity signal"
];

// Build matrix: theme -> expert -> positive/negative/not_mentioned
const agreementMatrix = {};
for (const theme of TRACKED_THEMES) {
  agreementMatrix[theme] = {};
  for (const expert of experts) {
    // Analyze expert's thesis, analysis, and key_risks for theme mentions
    const sentiment = analyzeThemeSentiment(expert, theme);
    agreementMatrix[theme][expert.expert] = sentiment; // "positive", "negative", "not_mentioned"
  }
}

// Extract agreement themes (3+ experts positive on same theme)
const agreementThemes = TRACKED_THEMES.filter(theme =>
  Object.values(agreementMatrix[theme]).filter(s => s === "positive").length >= 3
).map(theme => ({
  theme,
  experts_agreeing: Object.entries(agreementMatrix[theme])
    .filter(([_, s]) => s === "positive")
    .map(([e, _]) => e),
  count: Object.values(agreementMatrix[theme]).filter(s => s === "positive").length
}));

// Extract divergence themes (some positive, some negative)
const divergenceThemes = TRACKED_THEMES.filter(theme => {
  const sentiments = Object.values(agreementMatrix[theme]);
  return sentiments.includes("positive") && sentiments.includes("negative");
}).map(theme => ({
  theme,
  bull_view: synthesizeBullView(experts, theme),
  bear_view: synthesizeBearView(experts, theme),
  experts_split: {
    bullish_on_theme: Object.entries(agreementMatrix[theme])
      .filter(([_, s]) => s === "positive").map(([e, _]) => e),
    bearish_on_theme: Object.entries(agreementMatrix[theme])
      .filter(([_, s]) => s === "negative").map(([e, _]) => e)
  }
}));

Step 4: Aggregate Risks

Union all key_risks arrays, deduplicate similar risks, track attribution.

// Collect all risks with attribution
const allRisksRaw = experts.flatMap(e =>
  e.key_risks.map(risk => ({ risk, expert: e.expert }))
);

// Deduplicate similar risks (fuzzy matching on key terms)
const allRisks = deduplicateRisks(allRisksRaw);

// Sort by number of experts flagging (severity proxy)
allRisks.sort((a, b) => b.flagged_by.length - a.flagged_by.length);

// Assign severity based on expert count
allRisks.forEach(r => {
  r.severity = r.flagged_by.length >= 4 ? "high" :
               r.flagged_by.length >= 2 ? "medium" : "low";
});

function deduplicateRisks(risks) {
  const deduplicated = [];
  for (const { risk, expert } of risks) {
    // Check if similar risk already exists
    const existing = deduplicated.find(r =>
      similarityScore(r.risk, risk) > 0.7  // 70% similarity threshold
    );
    if (existing) {
      if (!existing.flagged_by.includes(expert)) {
        existing.flagged_by.push(expert);
      }
    } else {
      deduplicated.push({ risk, flagged_by: [expert] });
    }
  }
  return deduplicated;
}

Step 5: Compute Price Target Consensus

// Parse price targets from experts
const priceTargets = experts.map(e => ({
  expert: e.expert,
  buy_at: parsePriceString(e.would_buy_at),
  target: parsePriceFromOutlook(e.forward_outlook.price_target),
  sell_at: parsePriceString(e.would_sell_at)
})).filter(p => p.target !== null);

// Calculate consensus (median to avoid outlier skew)
const consensusPriceTargets = {
  consensus_buy_below: median(priceTargets.map(p => p.buy_at).filter(Boolean)),
  consensus_target: median(priceTargets.map(p => p.target).filter(Boolean)),
  consensus_sell_above: median(priceTargets.map(p => p.sell_at).filter(Boolean)),
  range_low: Math.min(...priceTargets.map(p => p.target).filter(Boolean)),
  range_high: Math.max(...priceTargets.map(p => p.target).filter(Boolean))
};

Step 6: Synthesize Bull and Bear Cases

// Bull case: Synthesize from bullish experts
const bullCaseSummary = bullishExperts.length > 0 ?
  synthesizeCaseFromExperts(
    experts.filter(e => bullishExperts.includes(e.expert)),
    "bullish"
  ) : "No experts are currently bullish on this stock.";

// Bear case: Synthesize from bearish experts
const bearCaseSummary = bearishExperts.length > 0 ?
  synthesizeCaseFromExperts(
    experts.filter(e => bearishExperts.includes(e.expert)),
    "bearish"
  ) : "No experts are currently bearish on this stock.";

// Neutral case (if any)
const neutralCaseSummary = neutralExperts.length > 0 ?
  synthesizeCaseFromExperts(
    experts.filter(e => neutralExperts.includes(e.expert)),
    "neutral"
  ) : "No experts are currently neutral on this stock.";

Step 7: Final Consolidation Object

const consolidation = {
  signal_tally: signalTally,
  confidence_weighted_signal: confidenceWeightedSignal,
  confidence_weighted_score: confidenceWeightedScore,
  agreement_themes: agreementThemes,
  divergence_themes: divergenceThemes,
  all_risks: allRisks,
  bull_case_summary: bullCaseSummary,
  bear_case_summary: bearCaseSummary,
  neutral_case_summary: neutralCaseSummary,
  price_targets: consensusPriceTargets,
  agreement_matrix: agreementMatrix
};

4.8 [REFLECT] Phase

Output to user:

═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[REFLECT] Generating final report
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

[REFLECT] Formatting markdown report...
[REFLECT] Populating executive summary...
[REFLECT] Formatting 9 expert analyses...
[REFLECT] Building agreement matrix visualization...
[REFLECT] Saving JSON to ./reports/{TICKER}_{DATE}.json
[REFLECT] Analysis complete.

═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

Actions:

Step 1: Format Expert Signal Table

const expertSignalTable = experts.map(e => {
  const signalEmoji = { bullish: "🟢", neutral: "🟡", bearish: "🔴" }[e.signal];
  const keyInsight = extractKeyInsight(e.thesis, 50); // First 50 chars of key insight
  return `| ${formatExpertName(e.expert)} | ${signalEmoji} ${e.signal} | ${e.confidence}% | ${keyInsight} |`;
}).join("\n");

// Sort by confidence for display
experts.sort((a, b) => b.confidence - a.confidence);

Step 2: Format Agreement Matrix Visualization

// ASCII matrix for markdown display
const matrixHeaders = ["Theme", "WB", "BG", "PL", "CW", "GS", "RD", "MB", "JS", "RS"];
const matrixDivider = "|" + matrixHeaders.map(h => "---").join("|") + "|";

const matrixRows = Object.entries(agreementMatrix).map(([theme, experts]) => {
  const cells = ["WB", "BG", "PL", "CW", "GS", "RD", "MB", "JS", "RS"].map(abbrev => {
    const expertId = abbreviationToExpertId(abbrev);
    const sentiment = experts[expertId];
    return sentiment === "positive" ? "✓" :
           sentiment === "negative" ? "✗" : "·";
  });
  return `| ${theme} | ${cells.join(" | ")} |`;
}).join("\n");

Step 3: Format Price Target Table

const priceTargetTable = experts.map(e => {
  const buy = e.would_buy_at || "N/A";
  const target = e.forward_outlook.price_target || "N/A";
  const sell = e.would_sell_at || "N/A";
  return `| ${formatExpertName(e.expert)} | ${buy} | ${target} | ${sell} |`;
}).join("\n");

Step 4: Generate Signal Distribution Bar

function generateSignalBar(count, total, char = "█") {
  const barLength = Math.round((count / total) * 20);
  return char.repeat(barLength);
}

const bullishBar = generateSignalBar(signalTally.bullish, 9);
const neutralBar = generateSignalBar(signalTally.neutral, 9);
const bearishBar = generateSignalBar(signalTally.bearish, 9);

Step 5: Format Each Expert Section

For each expert, format using this structure:

### {Expert Display Name}

**Signal:** {emoji} {signal} | **Confidence:** {confidence}%

> **Thesis:** {thesis}

#### Forward Outlook

| Aspect | Assessment |
|--------|------------|
| **Prediction** | {prediction} |
| **Timeline** | {timeline} |
| **Price Target** | {price_target} |
| **Catalyst** | {catalyst} |

#### Analysis Breakdown

{For each criterion in expert.analysis:}
**{Criterion Name}:** {summary with key data points}
- Score: {score}/10
- Key finding: {most important reasoning point}

#### Risk Assessment

**Key Risks Identified:**
1. {risk1}
2. {risk2}
3. {risk3}

**What Would Change This View:**
- {change1}
- {change2}

#### Holdings Context

| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| **Current Position** | {current_position} |
| **Recent Changes** | {recent_changes} |
| **Signal from Actions** | {signal_from_actions} |

#### Entry/Exit Levels

- **Would buy aggressively at:** {would_buy_at}
- **Would start selling at:** {would_sell_at}

#### Private Assessment

> *{private_assessment}*

Step 6: Assemble Final Report

Use the template from templates/consolidated_report_template.md and replace all placeholders:

const finalReport = reportTemplate
  .replace("{TICKER}", ticker)
  .replace("{DATE}", formatDate(new Date()))
  .replace("{MODE}", "Full")
  .replace("{VERSION}", "1.0.0")
  .replace("{BULLISH_COUNT}", signalTally.bullish)
  .replace("{NEUTRAL_COUNT}", signalTally.neutral)
  .replace("{BEARISH_COUNT}", signalTally.bearish)
  .replace("{WEIGHTED_SIGNAL}", confidenceWeightedSignal)
  .replace("{WEIGHTED_SCORE}", confidenceWeightedScore)
  .replace("{AGREEMENT_SUMMARY}", agreementThemes[0]?.theme || "No strong agreement")
  .replace("{DIVERGENCE_SUMMARY}", divergenceThemes[0]?.theme || "No major divergence")
  .replace("{CURRENT_PRICE}", currentPrice)
  .replace("{CONSENSUS_TARGET}", consensusPriceTargets.consensus_target)
  .replace("{BULL_CASE_SUMMARY}", bullCaseSummary)
  .replace("{BEAR_CASE_SUMMARY}", bearCaseSummary)
  .replace("{NEUTRAL_CASE_SUMMARY}", neutralCaseSummary)
  .replace("{BULLISH_EXPERTS}", bullishExperts.map(formatExpertName).join(", "))
  .replace("{BEARISH_EXPERTS}", bearishExperts.map(formatExpertName).join(", "))
  .replace("{NEUTRAL_EXPERTS}", neutralExperts.map(formatExpertName).join(", "))
  .replace("{EXPERT_SIGNAL_TABLE}", expertSignalTable)
  .replace("{AGREEMENT_MATRIX_ROWS}", matrixRows)
  .replace("{PRICE_TARGET_TABLE}", priceTargetTable)
  // ... etc for all placeholders
  ;

Step 7: Save JSON Output

// Construct full JSON report
const jsonReport = {
  meta: {
    ticker: ticker,
    company_name: companyName,
    generated_at: new Date().toISOString(),
    mode: "full",
    skill_version: "1.0.0",
    current_price: currentPrice,
    market_cap: marketCap
  },
  data_sources: {
    financial_data: { source: "financialdatasets.ai", retrieved_at: dataFetchTime },
    news: { source: "tavily", max_age_days: 14, article_count: newsCount },
    sec_filings: secFilingsSummary,
    thirteenf_holdings: holdingsSummary
  },
  experts: {
    warren_buffett: expertOutputs.warren_buffett,
    ben_graham: expertOutputs.ben_graham,
    peter_lynch: expertOutputs.peter_lynch,
    cathie_wood: expertOutputs.cathie_wood,
    george_soros: expertOutputs.george_soros,
    ray_dalio: expertOutputs.ray_dalio,
    michael_burry: expertOutputs.michael_burry,
    jim_simons: expertOutputs.jim_simons,
    robert_shiller: expertOutputs.robert_shiller
  },
  consolidation: consolidation,
  quick_metrics: quickMetrics
};

// Save to file
const reportPath = `./reports/${ticker}_${formatDateForFilename(new Date())}.json`;
// Use Write tool to save the JSON file

Step 8: Display Report to User

Output the formatted markdown report directly to the user. The report should:

Start with the executive summary
Show signal distribution visually
Include all 9 expert analyses in full
End with consolidation, risks, and methodology notes

STEP 5: OUTPUT GENERATION

5.1 Quick Mode Output

Quick mode still runs the Python processing layer but skips expert dispatch.

# {TICKER} Quick Lookup

**{COMPANY_NAME}** | ${CURRENT_PRICE} | Market Cap: ${MARKET_CAP}

## Composite Scores (Pre-Calculated)

| Score | Value | Interpretation |
|-------|-------|----------------|
| **Piotroski F-Score** | {X}/9 | {interpretation} |
| **Altman Z-Score** | {X} | {zone} |
| **Beneish M-Score** | {X} | {manipulation_risk} |
| **Overall Quality** | {X}/100 | {quality_interpretation} |

## Key Metrics (from API)

| Metric | Value | Assessment |
|--------|-------|------------|
| P/E Ratio | {PE} | {vs_sector} |
| P/B Ratio | {PB} | |
| PEG Ratio | {PEG} | |
| ROE | {ROE}% | |
| ROIC | {ROIC}% | |
| Debt/Equity | {DE} | |
| Revenue Growth | {RG}% | YoY |
| FCF Conversion | {FCF_CONV}% | |
| Free Cash Flow | ${FCF} | |

## Quality Indicators

### Green Flags ✓
{list of green_flags from processing layer}

### Red Flags ⚠️
{list of red_flags from processing layer}

## Price Context

- **Current:** ${CURRENT_PRICE}
- **52-week Range:** ${LOW} - ${HIGH}
- **Distance from High:** {X}%

## Quick Assessment

{2-3 sentence summary based on composite scores and flags}

---
*Quick lookup generated by financial-researcher v2.0.0*
*Processing layer: Piotroski, Altman, Beneish, Quality Score*
*For full 9-guru analysis, run with --full flag*

5.2 Full Mode Output

Use the template from templates/consolidated_report_template.md

Key sections:

Executive Summary with signal tally
Each of 9 expert analyses IN FULL
Consolidation with agreement matrix
All risks aggregated
Price target summary
Data sources and methodology

5.3 JSON Output Structure

Save to ./reports/{TICKER}_{YYYY-MM-DD}.json:

{
  "meta": {
    "ticker": "{TICKER}",
    "company_name": "{COMPANY_NAME}",
    "generated_at": "{ISO_DATETIME}",
    "mode": "full",
    "skill_version": "2.0.0",
    "processing_version": "2.0.0",
    "current_price": {PRICE},
    "market_cap": {MARKET_CAP}
  },
  "data_sources": {
    "financial_data": {
      "source": "financialdatasets.ai",
      "retrieved_at": "{ISO_DATETIME}",
      "periods_annual": 15,
      "periods_quarterly": 20
    },
    "news": {
      "source": "tavily",
      "max_age_days": 14,
      "article_count": {N}
    },
    "sec_filings": [
      {"type": "10-K", "period": "2025", "items_extracted": ["1", "1A", "7"]}
    ],
    "thirteenf_holdings": {
      "berkshire_hathaway": {"as_of_date": "2025-09-30", "has_position": true},
      "ark_invest": {"as_of_date": "2025-12-31", "has_position": false},
      "renaissance_technologies": {"as_of_date": "2025-09-30", "has_position": false}
    }
  },
  "processing_layer": {
    "composite_scores": {
      "piotroski_f_score": {
        "value": 8,
        "max": 9,
        "interpretation": "Very Strong - High quality",
        "components": {
          "f1_roa_positive": 1,
          "f2_cfo_positive": 1,
          "f3_roa_improving": 1,
          "f4_accruals_quality": 1,
          "f5_leverage_decreasing": 1,
          "f6_liquidity_improving": 1,
          "f7_no_dilution": 1,
          "f8_margin_improving": 1,
          "f9_turnover_improving": 0
        }
      },
      "altman_z_score": {
        "value": 4.52,
        "zone": "safe",
        "interpretation": "Safe Zone - Low bankruptcy risk",
        "components": {
          "x1_working_capital_ratio": 0.15,
          "x2_retained_earnings_ratio": 0.45,
          "x3_ebit_ratio": 0.22,
          "x4_market_to_liabilities": 2.8,
          "x5_asset_turnover": 1.1
        }
      },
      "ohlson_o_score": {
        "value": 0.02,
        "probability_percent": 2.0,
        "interpretation": "Lower bankruptcy risk (2%)"
      },
      "beneish_m_score": {
        "value": -2.85,
        "likely_manipulator": false,
        "interpretation": "Unlikely Manipulator",
        "red_flags": []
      },
      "magic_formula": {
        "combined_score": 45.2,
        "earnings_yield": 6.5,
        "roic": 38.7
      }
    },
    "quality_metrics": {
      "sloan_accrual_ratio": {
        "value": -3.2,
        "interpretation": "Safe Zone - Quality earnings backed by cash"
      },
      "gross_profitability": {
        "value": 38.5,
        "interpretation": "Excellent gross profitability"
      },
      "fcf_conversion": {
        "value": 95.2,
        "interpretation": "Healthy - Strong cash conversion"
      }
    },
    "value_creation": {
      "owner_earnings": {
        "value": 98500000000,
        "per_share": 6.42,
        "interpretation": "Owner earnings exceed net income - high quality"
      },
      "eva": {
        "value": 72300000000,
        "interpretation": "Creating value: $72.3B above cost of capital"
      }
    },
    "shareholder_returns": {
      "total_yield": 4.8,
      "dividend_yield": 0.5,
      "buyback_yield": 4.1,
      "debt_paydown_yield": 0.2
    },
    "dupont_analysis": {
      "roe": 147.2,
      "tax_burden": 0.84,
      "interest_burden": 0.99,
      "ebit_margin": 30.1,
      "asset_turnover": 1.15,
      "leverage": 5.12
    },
    "growth": {
      "sustainable_growth_rate": 143.2,
      "revenue_trend": "accelerating",
      "earnings_trend": "stable"
    },
    "summary": {
      "overall_quality_score": 87,
      "red_flags": [],
      "green_flags": [
        "Very strong Piotroski F-Score (8/9)",
        "Safe Altman Z-Score zone",
        "Low manipulation risk",
        "Excellent FCF conversion"
      ]
    }
  },
  "experts": {
    "warren_buffett": { /* complete expert output JSON */ },
    "ben_graham": { /* complete expert output JSON */ },
    "peter_lynch": { /* complete expert output JSON */ },
    "cathie_wood": { /* complete expert output JSON */ },
    "george_soros": { /* complete expert output JSON */ },
    "ray_dalio": { /* complete expert output JSON */ },
    "michael_burry": { /* complete expert output JSON */ },
    "jim_simons": { /* complete expert output JSON */ },
    "robert_shiller": { /* complete expert output JSON */ }
  },
  "consolidation": {
    "signal_tally": {"bullish": 5, "neutral": 3, "bearish": 1},
    "confidence_weighted_signal": "bullish",
    "confidence_weighted_score": 67,
    "agreement_themes": [
      {"theme": "Strong moat", "experts_agreeing": ["warren_buffett", "peter_lynch"], "count": 2}
    ],
    "divergence_themes": [
      {"theme": "Valuation", "bull_view": "...", "bear_view": "...", "experts_split": {...}}
    ],
    "all_risks": [
      {"risk": "China revenue exposure", "flagged_by": ["ray_dalio", "michael_burry"], "severity": "high"}
    ],
    "bull_case_summary": "...",
    "bear_case_summary": "...",
    "price_targets": {
      "consensus_buy_below": 150,
      "consensus_target": 195,
      "consensus_sell_above": 240,
      "range_low": 120,
      "range_high": 280
    }
  },
  "api_metrics": {
    "pe_ratio": 25.4,
    "pb_ratio": 8.2,
    "peg_ratio": 1.8,
    "roe": 42.1,
    "roic": 38.7,
    "debt_to_equity": 0.45,
    "current_ratio": 1.2,
    "revenue_growth": 8.5,
    "eps_growth": 12.3
  }
}

STEP 6: ERROR HANDLING

6.1 MCP Server Unavailable

[DISCOVER] ⚠️ financialdatasets-mcp not responding
[DISCOVER] Attempting WebFetch fallback...

Fallback: Use WebFetch to call API directly:

URL: https://api.financialdatasets.ai/{endpoint}
Headers: X-API-KEY: {from environment}

6.2 Expert Subagent Failure

[IMPLEMENT] ⚠️ {Guru Name} analysis failed: {error_message}
[IMPLEMENT] Continuing with remaining {N} experts...

Actions:

Log the error
Continue with remaining experts
Note missing expert in final output
Adjust consolidation to work with available data

6.3 Missing Data

[DISCOVER] ⚠️ 13-F data not available for SCION_ASSET_MANAGEMENT_LLC
[DISCOVER] Michael Burry will analyze without holdings context

Actions:

Pass null/empty for missing data
Experts should handle gracefully and note in their analysis
Adjust confidence accordingly

6.4 Invalid Ticker

[DISCOVER] ❌ Ticker "{X}" not found
[DISCOVER] Suggestions: Did you mean {SIMILAR_TICKER}?

Actions:

Inform user
Suggest similar tickers if possible
Ask user to confirm or provide correct ticker

6.5 Rate Limits

[DISCOVER] ⚠️ API rate limit reached for financialdatasets.ai
[DISCOVER] Waiting 60 seconds before retry...

Actions:

Implement exponential backoff
Inform user of delay
Continue when rate limit resets

THE 9 GURUS

Value Investors

Guru	Focus	Key Criteria	13-F Source
Warren Buffett	Moat, intrinsic value, owner earnings	Circle of competence, moat durability, margin of safety	BERKSHIRE_HATHAWAY_INC
Ben Graham	Margin of safety, asset values	7 defensive screens, NCAV, EPV	Historical reference

Growth Investors

Guru	Focus	Key Criteria	13-F Source
Peter Lynch	GARP, business story	PEG ratio, stock classification, tenbagger potential	Historical reference
Cathie Wood	Disruption, TAM expansion	Wright's Law, 5-year model, innovation platforms	ARK_INVESTMENT_MANAGEMENT_LLC

Macro/Cycles

Guru	Focus	Key Criteria	13-F Source
George Soros	Reflexivity, sentiment	Boom-bust stage, narrative momentum, feedback loops	SOROS_FUND_MANAGEMENT_LLC
Ray Dalio	Debt cycles, history	Cycle position, stress tests, historical templates	BRIDGEWATER_ASSOCIATES_LP

Contrarian/Risk

Guru	Focus	Key Criteria	13-F Source
Michael Burry	Forensics, bear case	Revenue/earnings quality, hidden liabilities, contrarian signals	SCION_ASSET_MANAGEMENT_LLC

Quant/Systematic

Guru	Nickname	Horizon	Key Output	Focus	13-F Source
Jim Simons	The Quant	Medium-term (1-6 months)	Probability of positive return	Quant factor analysis	RENAISSANCE_TECHNOLOGIES_LLC

Academic/Behavioral

Guru	Nickname	Horizon	Key Output	Focus	13-F Source
Robert Shiller	The Behavioral Economist	Long-term (5-10 years)	CAPE-implied return forecast	Behavioral economics	(none - academic)

KEY PRINCIPLES (NEVER DEVIATE)

Independent Analyses: Each guru forms their OWN thesis. No debate between them.
All Preserved: Consolidation ADDS synthesis, never REMOVES individual insights.
Bold Forward-Looking: Internal use only. Specific predictions, price targets, timelines.
Changes > Holdings: For 13-F data, recent changes matter more than static positions.
Visible DRIVER: Show all stage markers so user sees the methodology in action.
Parallel Dispatch: ALL 9 experts spawn in single message for true parallelism.
Expert-Driven Data: Each guru gets exactly what they need, fetched once as union.
Quality Over Speed: Flag missing data, don't hallucinate to fill gaps.
Graceful Degradation: If some experts fail, continue with available data.
Complete Output: Both markdown (displayed) and JSON (saved) for every analysis.
Pre-Calculate, Don't Duplicate: Use Python processing layer for composite scores. Don't recalculate what financialdatasets.ai provides.
Processing Layer First: ALWAYS run run_analysis() before expert dispatch. Experts receive pre-calculated metrics, not raw data.

END-TO-END TEST PROCEDURE

Test Command

/financial-researcher AAPL --full

Expected Flow

Mode Selection: Should detect --full flag and skip mode question

[DISCOVER] Phase (10-30 seconds):

Fetch financial statements (15 years annual, 20 quarters)
Fetch metrics and market data
Fetch SEC filings
Fetch 13-F holdings for 6 investors (3-year history)
Fetch news and context from Tavily

Expected output:

[DISCOVER] Fetching financial statements (15 years)...
[DISCOVER] Fetching metrics and market data...
[DISCOVER] Fetching SEC filings...
[DISCOVER] Fetching 13-F institutional holdings (3 years)...
[DISCOVER] Fetching news and market context...
[DISCOVER] Data collection complete.

Data Summary:
- Financial Statements: 15 annual + 20 quarterly periods
- Metrics: 48+ metrics available
- Price History: 1250+ days (5 years)
- SEC Filings: 20+ filings
- 13-F Holdings: X relevant positions found
- News Articles: 20+ items

[PROCESS] Phase (2-5 seconds):

Run Python processing layer
Calculate composite scores
Generate expert contexts

Expected output:

[PROCESS] Running Python processing layer...
[PROCESS] Calculating composite scores:
         ├─ Piotroski F-Score: 8/9 (Very Strong)
         ├─ Altman Z-Score: 4.52 (Safe Zone)
         ├─ Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (Unlikely Manipulator)
         └─ Ohlson O-Score: 2% probability

[PROCESS] Calculating quality metrics:
         ├─ Sloan Accrual: -3.2%
         ├─ FCF Conversion: 95.2%
         └─ Gross Profitability: 38.5%

[PROCESS] Value creation analysis:
         ├─ Owner Earnings: $98.5B
         └─ EVA: $72.3B

Quality Summary:
- Overall Quality Score: 87/100
- Red Flags: 0
- Green Flags: 4

[REPRESENT] Phase (1-2 seconds):

Validate ticker
Prepare data subsets with pre-calculated metrics
Build expert prompts using format_for_expert()

Expected output:

[REPRESENT] Mode: FULL
[REPRESENT] Company: Apple Inc (AAPL)
[REPRESENT] Market Cap: $X trillion
[REPRESENT] Current Price: $XXX.XX

Pre-Calculated Metrics Summary:
  ├─ Piotroski F-Score: 8/9 (Very Strong)
  ├─ Altman Z-Score: 4.52 (Safe Zone)
  ├─ Quality Score: 87/100
  └─ Red Flags: 0 | Green Flags: 4

Experts to dispatch:
  ├─ Warren Buffett  (moat, owner earnings, FCF conversion)
  ├─ Ben Graham      (margin of safety, Z-Score, NCAV)
  ...

[IMPLEMENT] Phase (60-180 seconds):

Spawn 9 Task subagents in parallel
Each expert receives pre-calculated metrics from processing layer
Wait for all to complete

Expected output:

[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Warren Buffett analysis...
[IMPLEMENT] → Spawning Ben Graham analysis...
...
[IMPLEMENT] All 9 experts dispatched. Awaiting results...

[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Warren Buffett complete (signal: bullish)
[IMPLEMENT] ✓ Ben Graham complete (signal: neutral)
...

[VALIDATE] Phase (2-5 seconds):

Check JSON schema compliance
Identify contradictions

Expected output:

[VALIDATE] Checking JSON schema compliance... 9/9 valid
[VALIDATE] Checking for missing required fields... OK
[VALIDATE] Consensus strength: MODERATE

[EVOLVE] Phase (5-10 seconds):

Tally signals
Build agreement matrix
Aggregate risks

Expected output:

[EVOLVE] Signal distribution:
         Bullish:  X experts (XX%)
         Neutral:  X experts (XX%)
         Bearish:  X experts (XX%)

[EVOLVE] Consolidation complete.

[REFLECT] Phase (5-10 seconds):
- Generate markdown report
- Save JSON file (includes processing_layer section)
- Display to user

Validation Checklist

After test completes, verify:

Processing Layer:

Piotroski F-Score calculated (0-9, with component breakdown)
Altman Z-Score calculated (with zone: safe/grey/distress)
Beneish M-Score calculated (with manipulation flags)
Overall Quality Score calculated (0-100)
Red/Green flags identified (not empty for AAPL)
Owner Earnings calculated (Buffett method)
DuPont 5-factor breakdown (ROE components)

Expert Outputs:

All 9 experts returned valid JSON
Each expert has unique signal/confidence (not identical outputs)
Experts reference pre-calculated metrics (F-Score, Z-Score mentioned)
Thesis text is substantial (3-5 sentences, not generic)
Forward outlook has specific predictions (prices, timelines, catalysts)
Holdings context reflects actual 13-F data (Berkshire owns AAPL)
Risks are specific to AAPL (not generic "market risk")
Agreement matrix shows variation (some ✓, some ✗, some ·)
Price targets vary by expert (different philosophies = different targets)

Output Files:

JSON file saved to ./reports/AAPL_{date}.json
JSON includes processing_layer section
JSON file matches full_report_schema.json

Known AAPL Facts for Validation

Use these to verify expert analyses are using real data:

Fact	Expected in Analysis
Berkshire ownership	Buffett should mention ~5-6% of Berkshire's portfolio
~$100B+ cash	Graham/Dalio should note fortress balance sheet
Services growth	Lynch/Wood should discuss recurring revenue shift
China exposure	Burry/Dalio should flag as risk
Buybacks	Buffett should mention capital allocation
Moat	Buffett should rate ecosystem moat highly
P/E ratio	Graham should compare to historical averages

Test Failure Modes

If test fails, check:

MCP servers not running: Ensure both financialdatasets-mcp and tavily-mcp are configured
API keys missing: Check .env for FINANCIAL_DATASETS_API_KEY and TAVILY_API_KEY
Expert timeout: Increase Task tool timeout or check for infinite loops
JSON parse error: Expert returned malformed JSON - check expert prompt
Missing holdings data: 13-F data may not be available for current quarter

Performance Benchmarks

Phase	Target Time	Notes
DISCOVER	< 30s	Parallel MCP calls
PROCESS	< 5s	Python processing layer
REPRESENT	< 2s	Data routing only
IMPLEMENT	< 180s	Parallel expert dispatch
VALIDATE	< 5s	Schema validation
EVOLVE	< 10s	Consolidation logic
REFLECT	< 10s	Report generation
Total	< 4 min	Full mode target

Processing Layer Test

Run standalone processing layer test:

cd /mnt/d/github/FAskills/financial-researcher
python3 -m processing.test_pipeline

Expected output:

All individual metric tests pass
Full pipeline test passes
Piotroski F-Score: 7/9 (test data)
Altman Z-Score: 7.79 (test data)
All calculations complete without errors

name	financial-researcher
description	Professional-grade autonomous financial analyst leveraging 9 legendary investor perspectives (Buffett, Graham, Lynch, Wood, Soros, Dalio, Burry, Simons, Shiller). Features Python processing layer for institutional-grade composite scores (Piotroski, Altman, Beneish). Guided by DRIVER methodology. For internal use - provides bold, forward-looking analysis.
version	2.0.0