context-create

name	context-create
description	Create prediction markets from natural language on Context Markets

Create Skill

Design and submit prediction markets with precise questions, unambiguous resolution criteria, and appropriate evidence sources.

Prerequisites

• Context MCP server running (npx context-markets-mcp)
• CONTEXT_API_KEY — required for all submission methods
• CONTEXT_PRIVATE_KEY — required for on-chain market creation

Shared Foundations

How Resolution Works

Every market is resolved by an AI oracle that evaluates evidence strictly against your resolution criteria. The oracle cannot use outside knowledge — it can only use eligible evidence (social media posts, web sources) matched against your criteria. Your criteria are the oracle's only instructions.

Evidence Modes

• social_only — oracle resolves based on X/Twitter posts from specified accounts. Use when the event will be announced or discussed on X.
• web_enabled — oracle also searches authoritative web sources (official sites, news outlets). Use when the outcome depends on official data. Web evidence from authoritative sources overrides social media.

Claim Types

Type	Pattern	Resolution
Event-by-deadline	"Will X happen by Y?"	Can resolve YES early. Monotonic.
Threshold	"Will X reach N?"	Can resolve YES early. Monotonic.
Period-gated	"Will X be Y at end of Z?"	Must wait until period ends.
Durational	"Most/total over period"	Must wait until period ends.
None/never	"Will X not happen?"	YES requires full window without event.

Market Types

• OBJECTIVE — verifiable real-world event (sports, elections, prices). Most markets.
• SUBJECTIVE — depends on oracle judgment. Define judgment criteria clearly.

Question Rules

• Start with "Will..."
• Include a specific, measurable, binary outcome
• Include a deadline or timeframe
• Under 300 characters (aim for 150)
• Create a shortQuestion under 200 characters

Submission Methods

MCP (recommended for agents):

• context_agent_submit_market — full control over question, criteria, sources, end time. Takes 30–90 seconds.
• context_create_market — simple path. You provide a question, oracle generates everything.

SDK:

• ctx.questions.agentSubmitAndWait({ market: { ... } }) — full control, polls until complete
• ctx.questions.submitAndWait("question") — simple path

CLI:

• context questions agent-submit-and-wait --formatted-question "..." --resolution-criteria "..." ...
• context questions submit-and-wait "Will...?"

Available Workflows

Workflow	When to use
news-to-market	Turn a news headline into a well-formed market
diagnose-resolution	Troubleshoot rejected submissions or wrong resolutions

References

• Agent Submit API — Full endpoint schema, field reference, types
• Resolution Criteria Guide — Writing criteria the oracle can resolve