57-next-ads-plan-global

name	57-next-ads-plan-global
description	Use when the next period ADS plan must be built from last period results — read the report and the audit, keep and scale winners, stop or fix losers, set new test hypotheses, split budget, plan three budget scenarios, and schedule the creative pipeline. Trigger on 'next month ads plan', 'plan ads from the report', 'what should we run next month', 'Q4 ads plan', 'next quarter media plan', 'the month ended, now what'. Also use when a report and an audit both exist and no decisions have been made. Not for — the first media plan before any data, see `54-media-plan-global`; scoring the account, see `21-ads-audit-global`; the next period CONTENT plan, see `40-next-content-plan-global`.
metadata	{"version":"1.0.1","category":"performance"}
license	MIT
triggers	["next month ads plan","next ads plan","plan ads for next period","plan from the ads report","what should we run next month","Q4 ads plan","next quarter media plan"]
output	File .md — evidence-based ads plan for the next period: prior-period review, winners to scale, losers to stop or fix, new hypotheses, budget split, three scenarios, creative pipeline, and a weekly schedule
related	["product-marketing-context-global","07-marketing-report-global","21-ads-audit-global","03-performance-eval-global","54-media-plan-global","52-account-structure-global","19-ab-test-setup-global","10-reverse-kpi-global"]

Next Ads Plan (Global)

A plan without last period's data is guesswork, and guesswork is expensive. The order never changes: read the data, scale the winners, fix or stop the losers, then test something new. This is the last skill in the performance chain and the first skill of the next cycle.

Information gathering

Step 0 — always read the previous period first (mandatory input)

Before writing a single line of plan, you need:

1. Previous period performance report from 07-marketing-report-global or the tracking dashboard: spend, CPA, ROAS, leads, orders, broken out by channel, campaign, creative, and market.
2. Audit findings from 21-ads-audit-global or 03-performance-eval-global if the previous period had problems.
3. KPI target for the new period — unchanged or changed? If changed, recalculate with 10-reverse-kpi-global.
4. New period budget and any new offer or product entering the mix.

Missing the report means stop and either request the data or run 07-marketing-report-global first. If only part is missing, write the assumption explicitly into the plan.

Principles

1. Data before opinion. Never plan from a feeling that something "seemed fine".
2. Scale proven winners before funding new ideas. Capital goes first to what is already working; new tests get the 30% testing slice.
3. Maximum 2-3 new hypotheses per period. More than that and no test reaches significance.
4. Every keep/stop/fix decision carries a number. "Creative A at $42 CPA against a $30 target, frequency 3.1" — never "it was performing badly".
5. Plan three budget scenarios. Commit to the base case; keep prepared actions for the other two.
6. Adjust for the calendar. Per references/benchmarks-global.md, Q4 CPM runs about 26% above Q1, November peaks around 27% above average, and January is the cheapest month at roughly 21% below. A flat month-over-month plan across a seasonal boundary is already wrong.

Workflow

1. Review the previous period

Worked (KEEP)	Did not work (STOP/FIX)	Untested (ADD)
[winning creative/audience/channel with numbers]	[losing ad set with numbers and cause]	[new hypothesis from observation]