research and produce explicit probability forecasts and fair-odds views for current events, elections, policy outcomes, company metrics, mergers, regulatory approvals, and other uncertain questions. use when the user asks for odds, fair value, probability distributions, scenario weights, stress tests, or pricing for a prediction market or other yes/no or multi-outcome event. especially use for deadline-driven questions, election markets, quarterly company forecasts, and requests to compare market price versus fair probability without using market prices as evidence.
2026-04-07