一键导入
systematic-debugging
Use when encountering any bug, test failure, or unexpected behavior, before proposing fixes
用 Codex 或 Claude 帮你安装 复制这段 Prompt,粘贴到 Codex、Claude 或其他助手里,让它检查 Skill 页面并帮你完成安装。
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Use when encountering any bug, test failure, or unexpected behavior, before proposing fixes
用 Codex 或 Claude 帮你安装 复制这段 Prompt,粘贴到 Codex、Claude 或其他助手里,让它检查 Skill 页面并帮你完成安装。
基于 SOC 职业分类
Route prediction and forecasting problems to the right method. Covers 7 families: Monte Carlo simulation, statistical forecasting (ARIMA/exponential smoothing), machine learning, Bayesian inference, crowd aggregation, causal inference, and first-principles modeling. Use when you need to predict a future outcome, quantify uncertainty, forecast time-series, update a belief with evidence, infer a cause, or synthesize expert opinions. Combines Monte Carlo Predictor, bootstrap, Bayesian update, and exponential smoothing as callable tools; routes to external methods (ML, markets, causal, physics) when those are the right fit.
Monte Carlo prediction framework for evaluating any project, with a real simulation engine. Use when the user wants to validate decisions, predict outcomes, find optimal paths, detect design divergences, or stress-test a project's direction. Activates on: 'predict', 'Monte Carlo', 'scenario analysis', 'what could go wrong', 'best path', 'validate direction', 'risk analysis', 'forecast', 'project trajectory', 'stress test', 'decision matrix', 'should I migrate', 'compare options'.
Your personal AI operating system — a digital twin that advocates for your interests 24/7. Orchestrates sub-agents, maintains persistent memory, forecasts opportunities, guards against threats, and never gives up on finding answers. Built on OpenClaw. Activates on: 'orchestrator', 'my AI', 'digital twin', 'second brain', 'spin up agent', 'find me', 'watch for', 'optimize my', 'what should I do'.
Universal AI Harness — a meta-framework that wraps any AI model to reduce token waste, ensure spec-driven thinking, maintain persistent memory, and produce calibrated, high-accuracy outputs. Combines BMAD spec-driven methodology, Deep Confidence reasoning, Monte Carlo validation, ReAct execution, and continuous learning. Use for any complex task, decision, or build. Activates on: 'think first', 'harness mode', 'spec-driven', 'BMAD', 'deep reasoning', 'plan before acting', 'structured thinking', 'truth-seeking'.
Deep Confidence Harness — a thinking, planning, and execution framework that forces structured reasoning before acting. Combines Monte Carlo scenario analysis, calibrated confidence, multi-perspective debate, and optimal path planning. Use before any complex decision, build, or task. Activates on: 'deep confidence', 'think before you act', 'plan first', 'Atlas mode', 'reason through this', 'what should I do', 'think this through', 'best approach', 'reason carefully', 'plan and execute'.
OpenClaw personal AI assistant configuration for life organization and income generation. Use when setting up, configuring, or instructing an OpenClaw agent named Henry to manage daily life, finances, tasks, calendar, and money-making activities. Activates on: 'Henry', 'OpenClaw Henry', 'my AI assistant', 'organize my life', 'make money with AI', 'set up Henry', 'Henry config'.
| name | systematic-debugging |
| description | Use when encountering any bug, test failure, or unexpected behavior, before proposing fixes |
Random fixes waste time and create new bugs. Quick patches mask underlying issues.
Core principle: ALWAYS find root cause before attempting fixes. Symptom fixes are failure.
Violating the letter of this process is violating the spirit of debugging.
NO FIXES WITHOUT ROOT CAUSE INVESTIGATION FIRST
Production/High-Severity Incident? Read this first.
If you haven't completed Phase 1, you cannot propose fixes.
Use for ANY technical issue:
Use this ESPECIALLY when:
Don't skip when:
You MUST complete each phase before proceeding to the next.
BEFORE attempting ANY fix:
Read Error Messages Carefully
Reproduce Consistently (Script It!)
repro.py, repro.sh, or repro.js script.Check Recent Changes (Bisect)
git bisect is your best friend.Gather Evidence in Multi-Component Systems
WHEN system has multiple components (CI → build → signing, API → service → database):
BEFORE proposing fixes, add diagnostic instrumentation:
For EACH component boundary:
- Log what data enters component
- Log what data exits component
- Verify environment/config propagation
- Check state at each layer
Run once to gather evidence showing WHERE it breaks
THEN analyze evidence to identify failing component
THEN investigate that specific component
Example (multi-layer system):
# Layer 1: Workflow
echo "=== Secrets available in workflow: ==="
echo "IDENTITY: ${IDENTITY:+SET}${IDENTITY:-UNSET}"
# Layer 2: Build script
echo "=== Env vars in build script: ==="
env | grep IDENTITY || echo "IDENTITY not in environment"
# Layer 3: Signing script
echo "=== Keychain state: ==="
security list-keychains
security find-identity -v
# Layer 4: Actual signing
codesign --sign "$IDENTITY" --verbose=4 "$APP"
This reveals: Which layer fails (secrets → workflow ✓, workflow → build ✗)
Trace Data Flow
WHEN error is deep in call stack:
See root-cause-tracing.md in this directory for the complete backward tracing technique.
Quick version:
Find the pattern before fixing:
Find Working Examples
Compare Against References
Identify Differences
Understand Dependencies
Scientific method:
Form Single Hypothesis
Test Minimally
Verify Before Continuing
When You Don't Know
Fix the root cause, not the symptom:
Create Failing Test Case
superpowers:test-driven-development skill for writing proper failing testsImplement Single Fix
Verify Fix
If Fix Doesn't Work
If 3+ Fixes Failed: Question Architecture
Pattern indicating architectural problem:
STOP and question fundamentals:
Discuss with your human partner before attempting more fixes
This is NOT a failed hypothesis - this is a wrong architecture.
If you catch yourself thinking:
ALL of these mean: STOP. Return to Phase 1.
If 3+ fixes failed: Question the architecture (see Phase 4.5)
Watch for these redirections:
When you see these: STOP. Return to Phase 1.
| Excuse | Reality |
|---|---|
| "Issue is simple, don't need process" | Simple issues have root causes too. Process is fast for simple bugs. |
| "Emergency, no time for process" | Systematic debugging is FASTER than guess-and-check thrashing. |
| "Just try this first, then investigate" | First fix sets the pattern. Do it right from the start. |
| "I'll write test after confirming fix works" | Untested fixes don't stick. Test first proves it. |
| "Multiple fixes at once saves time" | Can't isolate what worked. Causes new bugs. |
| "Reference too long, I'll adapt the pattern" | Partial understanding guarantees bugs. Read it completely. |
| "I see the problem, let me fix it" | Seeing symptoms ≠ understanding root cause. |
| "One more fix attempt" (after 2+ failures) | 3+ failures = architectural problem. Question pattern, don't fix again. |
| Phase | Key Activities | Success Criteria |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Root Cause | Read errors, reproduce, check changes, gather evidence | Understand WHAT and WHY |
| 2. Pattern | Find working examples, compare | Identify differences |
| 3. Hypothesis | Form theory, test minimally | Confirmed or new hypothesis |
| 4. Implementation | Create test, fix, verify | Bug resolved, tests pass |
If systematic investigation reveals issue is truly environmental, timing-dependent, or external:
But: 95% of "no root cause" cases are incomplete investigation.
These techniques are part of systematic debugging and available in this directory:
root-cause-tracing.md - Trace bugs backward through call stack to find original triggerdefense-in-depth.md - Add validation at multiple layers after finding root causecondition-based-waiting.md - Replace arbitrary timeouts with condition pollingRelated skills:
From debugging sessions: