القائمة
Check for obvious bad outcomes that are being ignored, minimized, or rationalized away.
يُحدَّد Prompt الذي يراجع المصدر أولًا بشكل افتراضي. يمكنك التبديل إلى أمر مباشر أو تنزيل نسخة محلية.
اقرأ SKILL.md وأي ملفات مرافقة يعرضها SkillsMP قبل أن تقرر التثبيت.
التثبيت باستخدام Codex أو Claude انسخ هذا Prompt والصقه في Codex أو Claude أو مساعد آخر ليراجع صفحة Skill ويثبّتها لك.
يتجاوز الأمر المباشر Prompt المخصّص للمراجعة. افحص المصدر قبل تشغيله.
npx skills add https://github.com/benjam3n/reasoningtool --skill obo-obvious-bad-outcomesيبقى الأمر في سطر واحد. مرّر أفقيًا لمراجعته كاملًا قبل النسخ.
تفضّل نسخة محلية؟ نزّل الملفات المتاحة حاليًا لدى SkillsMP.
Route any input through a branching question tree to narrow down the optimal response strategy before writing. Two stages — PERCEIVE (classify input) then ACT (select response). Covers all prompt types.
Generate exhaustive guesses about user input using ALL search methods with coverage tracking. Guessing is SEARCH through possibility space. Tracks space created vs space covered to ensure comprehensive exploration.
Systematically evaluate and select from a set of guesses, options, or possibilities. Combines ARAW analysis with prioritization to determine which guesses are strong, weak, actionable, or eliminable.
استنادا إلى تصنيف SOC المهني
عرض SKILL.md
| name | obo - Obvious Bad Outcomes |
| description | Check for obvious bad outcomes that are being ignored, minimized, or rationalized away. |
| output | {"format":"prose"} |
Input: $ARGUMENTS
The most dangerous risks aren't the subtle ones — they're the obvious ones that everyone sees but nobody says out loud. Optimism bias, groupthink, and sunk costs cause people to rationalize away clear dangers. This skill forces the uncomfortable obvious onto the table.
What is being analyzed?
SUBJECT: [one sentence]
For each category, identify what bad thing is obviously true or obviously likely:
Ask directly:
If this goes wrong in the most obvious way, and someone asks "didn't anyone see this coming?" — what would the answer be?
If the answer is "yes, everyone saw it coming" — that's the finding.
OBVIOUS BAD OUTCOMES:
Elephant in the room:
- [the thing everyone knows but isn't saying]
Most likely failure:
- [the obvious way this goes wrong]
Predictable pattern:
- [how this type of thing usually fails]
Who gets hurt:
- [who bears the downside]
Most dangerous overlooked risk: [the one being actively rationalized away]
What honest acknowledgment changes: [how the analysis shifts when you stop ignoring this]
Use with:
/ogo -> Balance with obvious good outcomes/saf -> Full safety analysis/obv -> General obvious check/oba -> Obvious everything scan/prm -> Pre-mortem for detailed failure analysis