القائمة
Apply Kahneman's outside view — define the reference class, look up the historical base rate, and benchmark the inside-view prediction against it. Produces a 0-100 score.
التثبيت باستخدام Codex أو Claude انسخ هذا Prompt والصقه في Codex أو Claude أو مساعد آخر ليراجع صفحة Skill ويثبّتها لك.
استنادا إلى تصنيف SOC المهني
Orchestrator — analyze a decision through multiple frameworks in parallel. Reads a decision file, fans out to N framework subagents simultaneously (one per selected framework), each produces a structured analysis fragment, then synthesis aggregates the results. Use this when the user wants a multi-lens evaluation of a major decision rather than running individual frameworks.
List, create, edit, or delete named lens-bundles (saved framework groupings) used by /decision:analyze. Bundles let the user predefine "for career decisions, run these five frameworks" without typing the list each time.
Apply Cost-Benefit Analysis to a single decision — quantify costs and benefits per option over a stated time horizon, run sensitivity, and produce a 0-100 score. Use when the user wants just this one lens, or as a building block called by /decision:analyze.
Apply Snowden's Cynefin frame — classify the decision domain (Clear, Complicated, Complex, Chaotic, Confused) and prescribe domain-appropriate action. Produces a 0-100 score.
Build a decision tree with probabilities and payoffs, roll back expected values, and report EV and variance per option. Produces a 0-100 score.
Classify decision items by urgency and importance on the 2x2 matrix and prescribe quadrant-appropriate action. Produces a 0-100 score.
| name | base-rates |
| description | Apply Kahneman's outside view — define the reference class, look up the historical base rate, and benchmark the inside-view prediction against it. Produces a 0-100 score. |
Single-framework analysis. Use when the user wants this lens specifically, or when called as a building block by /decision:analyze.
/decision:new-decision first.Locate the framework guide at the plugin install dir's frameworks/base-rates.md. Read it fully.
Read the decision file fully.
Apply the framework exactly as the guide specifies. Don't invent additional structure. Don't merge in other frameworks — that's the orchestrator's job.
Output destination:
/decision:analyze, write to the fragment path the orchestrator provides (fragments/base-rates.md).End with the score line ## Score: <0-100> per the guide's scoring rubric.
## Cross-framework note) but don't switch lenses.