Skip to main content سوق المهارات اكتشف واستكشف مهارات الذكاء الاصطناعي التي بناها المجتمع.
التثبيت باستخدام Codex أو Claude انسخ هذا Prompt والصقه في Codex أو Claude أو مساعد آخر ليراجع صفحة Skill ويثبّتها لك.
عرض تفاصيل Prompt يتجاوز الأمر المباشر Prompt المخصّص للمراجعة. افحص المصدر قبل تشغيله.
npx skills add https://github.com/xjtulyc/awesome-rosetta-skills --skill options-pricingيبقى الأمر في سطر واحد. مرّر أفقيًا لمراجعته كاملًا قبل النسخ.
تفضّل نسخة محلية؟ نزّل الملفات المتاحة حاليًا لدى SkillsMP.
تحميل Zip جاري التحميل... المزيد من هذا المستودع Astronomical data analysis with astropy and astroquery — FITS I/O, WCS transforms, catalog cross-matching, aperture photometry, and CMB power spectra.
Seismological data analysis with ObsPy — FDSN waveform download, response removal, phase picking, moment tensor inversion, and seismicity mapping.
Download and analyze oceanographic data from Copernicus Marine Service and Argo floats using copernicusmarine, gsw, and xarray.
المهن ذات الصلة SOC
استنادا إلى تصنيف SOC المهني
name options-pricing description Use this Skill for option valuation: Black-Scholes pricing, Monte Carlo simulation with variance reduction, binomial tree, Greeks computation, and implied volatility surface.
tags ["finance","options","Black-Scholes","Monte-Carlo","Greeks","implied-volatility"] version 1.0.0 authors [{"name":"awesome-rosetta-skills contributors","github":"@xjtulyc"}] license MIT platforms ["claude-code","codex","gemini-cli","cursor"] dependencies {"python":["numpy>=1.23","scipy>=1.9","matplotlib>=3.6","pandas>=1.5"]} last_updated 2026-03-18 status stable
Options Pricing
TL;DR — Price European and American options using Black-Scholes analytics,
Monte Carlo simulation with antithetic variates and control variates, and CRR
binomial trees. Compute all Greeks, extract implied volatility with Brent's method,
and visualize the implied volatility surface and smile.
When to Use
Situation Recommended Method European call/put, closed-form price Black-Scholes formula All five Greeks for a European option Analytical BS Greeks Confidence interval around MC price Monte Carlo + standard error Reduce MC variance Antithetic variates / control variate American option (early exercise) Binomial CRR tree (backward induction) Extract market-implied vol from option price Brent root-finding on BS formula Visualize vol smile/surface Plot IV by strike and maturity
Background
Black-Scholes-Merton Model (1973)
Assumes the underlying S_t follows GBM:
dS_t = μ S_t dt + σ S_t dW_t
European call price:
C = S N(d₁) - K e^{-rT} N(d₂)
d₁ = [ln(S/K) + (r + σ²/2)T] / (σ√T)
d₂ = d₁ - σ√T
European put: P = K e^{-rT} N(-d₂) - S N(-d₁)
Greeks
Greek Definition Formula Delta ∂C/∂S N(d₁) (call) Gamma ∂²C/∂S² φ(d₁)/(S σ √T) Vega ∂C/∂σ S φ(d₁) √T Theta ∂C/∂t -(S φ(d₁) σ)/(2√T) - rK e^{-rT} N(d₂) Rho ∂C/∂r K T e^{-rT} N(d₂) (call)
Monte Carlo Variance Reduction
Antithetic variates : For each path ε_t, also simulate -ε_t. Pair estimates and
average. Reduces variance by exploiting negative correlation between paired paths.
Control variate : Use BS analytical price as control:
C_CV = C_MC + β (C_BS - E[C_BS])
where β = Cov(C_MC, C_control) / Var(C_control) ≈ 1 for European options.
Effective variance reduction factor can be 5–50x depending on the payoff.
CRR Binomial Tree Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (1979) recombining tree:
Up factor: u = e^{σ√Δt}
Down factor: d = 1/u
Risk-neutral probability: p = (e^{rΔt} - d) / (u - d)
American option: at each node, take the maximum of intrinsic value and continuation
value (backward induction). European option: only backward induction without early
exercise check.
Implied Volatility Given observed market price C_mkt, find σ_IV such that:
BS(S, K, T, r, σ_IV) = C_mkt
Solved numerically via scipy.optimize.brentq (Brent's method) over σ ∈ (0.001, 10).
Environment Setup conda create -n options python=3.11 -y
conda activate options
pip install numpy>=1.23 scipy>=1.9 matplotlib>=3.6 pandas>=1.5
python -c "import numpy, scipy, matplotlib; print('All packages OK')"
No external financial data API required. All examples use synthetic parameters.
Core Workflow
Step 1 — Black-Scholes Pricing and All Greeks import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from scipy.stats import norm
from scipy.optimize import brentq
import warnings
def bs_price (
S: float ,
K: float ,
T: float ,
r: float ,
sigma: float ,
option_type: str = "call" ,
) -> float :
"""
Black-Scholes-Merton European option price.
Args:
S: Current underlying price.
K: Strike price.
T: Time to expiry in years.
r: Continuously compounded risk-free rate.
sigma: Implied/historical volatility (annualized).
option_type: 'call' or 'put'.
Returns:
Option price.
"""
if T <= 0 :
if option_type == "call" :
return max (S - K, 0 )
return max (K - S, 0 )
d1 = (np.log(S / K) + (r + 0.5 * sigma**2 ) * T) / (sigma * np.sqrt(T))
d2 = d1 - sigma * np.sqrt(T)
if option_type == "call" :
return S * norm.cdf(d1) - K * np.exp(-r * T) * norm.cdf(d2)
elif option_type == "put" :
return K * np.exp(-r * T) * norm.cdf(-d2) - S * norm.cdf(-d1)
else :
raise ValueError(f"option_type must be 'call' or 'put', got '{option_type} '" )
def bs_greeks (
S: float ,
K: float ,
T: float ,
r: float ,
sigma: float ,
option_type: str = "call" ,
) -> dict :
"""
Compute all five Black-Scholes Greeks analytically.
Args:
S: Underlying price.
K: Strike price.
T: Time to expiry in years.
r: Risk-free rate (continuously compounded).
sigma: Volatility (annualized).
option_type: 'call' or 'put'.
Returns:
Dictionary with keys: delta, gamma, vega, theta, rho.
Theta is per calendar day (divided by 365).
"""
d1 = (np.log(S / K) + (r + 0.5 * sigma**2 ) * T) / (sigma * np.sqrt(T))
d2 = d1 - sigma * np.sqrt(T)
phi_d1 = norm.pdf(d1)
gamma = phi_d1 / (S * sigma * np.sqrt(T))
vega = S * phi_d1 * np.sqrt(T)
if option_type == "call" :
delta = norm.cdf(d1)
theta = (-(S * phi_d1 * sigma) / (2 * np.sqrt(T))
- r * K * np.exp(-r * T) * norm.cdf(d2)) / 365
rho = K * T * np.exp(-r * T) * norm.cdf(d2)
elif option_type == "put" :
delta = norm.cdf(d1) - 1
theta = (-(S * phi_d1 * sigma) / (2 * np.sqrt(T))
+ r * K * np.exp(-r * T) * norm.cdf(-d2)) / 365
rho = -K * T * np.exp(-r * T) * norm.cdf(-d2)
else :
raise ValueError(f"option_type must be 'call' or 'put'" )
return {"delta" : delta, "gamma" : gamma, "vega" : vega,
"theta" : theta, "rho" : rho}
def print_greeks_table (
S: float = 100.0 ,
K: float = 100.0 ,
T: float = 1.0 ,
r: float = 0.05 ,
sigma: float = 0.20 ,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Print a formatted table of BS prices and Greeks for call and put.
Args:
S, K, T, r, sigma: Standard Black-Scholes parameters.
Returns:
DataFrame with rows for call and put, columns for price and Greeks.
"""
call_price = bs_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, "call" )
put_price = bs_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, "put" )
call_greeks = bs_greeks(S, K, T, r, sigma, "call" )
put_greeks = bs_greeks(S, K, T, r, sigma, "put" )
parity_check = call_price - put_price - (S - K * np.exp(-r * T))
print (f"Put-Call Parity check: {parity_check:.2 e} (should be ~0)" )
rows = []
for opt_type, price, greeks in [("call" , call_price, call_greeks),
("put" , put_price, put_greeks)]:
rows.append({
"type" : opt_type,
"price" : round (price, 4 ),
"delta" : round (greeks["delta" ], 4 ),
"gamma" : round (greeks["gamma" ], 4 ),
"vega" : round (greeks["vega" ], 4 ),
"theta (per day)" : round (greeks["theta" ], 4 ),
"rho" : round (greeks["rho" ], 4 ),
})
df = pd.DataFrame(rows)
print (f"\nBS Option Parameters: S={S} , K={K} , T={T} y, r={r:.2 %} , σ={sigma:.2 %} " )
print (df.to_string(index=False ))
return df
Step 2 — Monte Carlo with Antithetic and Control Variates def mc_option_price (
S: float ,
K: float ,
T: float ,
r: float ,
sigma: float ,
option_type: str = "call" ,
n_paths: int = 100_000 ,
n_steps: int = 1 ,
use_antithetic: bool = True ,
use_control_variate: bool = True ,
seed: int = 42 ,
) -> dict :
"""
Monte Carlo European option pricing with variance reduction.
Args:
S: Initial underlying price.
K: Strike price.
T: Time to expiry (years).
r: Risk-free rate.
sigma: Volatility.
option_type: 'call' or 'put'.
n_paths: Number of GBM simulation paths.
n_steps: Time steps per path (1 = log-normal terminal price).
use_antithetic: Apply antithetic variates variance reduction.
use_control_variate: Apply control variate (BS price).
seed: Random seed.
Returns:
Dictionary with keys: price, se, ci_lower, ci_upper, bs_price, variance_reduction.
"""
rng = np.random.default_rng(seed)
dt = T / n_steps
if use_antithetic:
half = n_paths // 2
Z = rng.standard_normal((half, n_steps))
Z_all = np.vstack([Z, -Z])
else :
Z_all = rng.standard_normal((n_paths, n_steps))
log_S = np.log(S) + np.cumsum(
(r - 0.5 * sigma**2 ) * dt + sigma * np.sqrt(dt) * Z_all, axis=1
)
S_T = np.exp(log_S[:, -1 ])
if option_type == "call" :
payoffs = np.maximum(S_T - K, 0 )
else :
payoffs = np.maximum(K - S_T, 0 )
payoffs_disc = np.exp(-r * T) * payoffs
price_plain = float (np.mean(payoffs_disc))
if use_control_variate:
bs_ref = bs_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, option_type)
cov_matrix = np.cov(payoffs_disc, payoffs_disc)
s_t_disc = np.exp(-r * T) * S_T
beta = np.cov(payoffs_disc, s_t_disc)[0 , 1 ] / np.var(s_t_disc)
payoffs_cv = payoffs_disc - beta * (s_t_disc - S)
price_cv = float (np.mean(payoffs_cv))
se_cv = float (np.std(payoffs_cv) / np.sqrt(n_paths))
var_reduction = float (np.var(payoffs_disc) / np.var(payoffs_cv))
price_final = price_cv
se_final = se_cv
else :
bs_ref = bs_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, option_type)
var_reduction = 1.0
price_final = price_plain
se_final = float (np.std(payoffs_disc) / np.sqrt(n_paths))
ci_lower = price_final - 1.96 * se_final
ci_upper = price_final + 1.96 * se_final
print (f"\nMC {option_type.upper()} Price: {price_final:.4 f} SE: {se_final:.4 f} " )
print (f" 95% CI: [{ci_lower:.4 f} , {ci_upper:.4 f} ]" )
print (f" BS price: {bs_ref:.4 f} | Variance reduction factor: {var_reduction:.2 f} x" )
return {"price" : price_final, "se" : se_final,
"ci_lower" : ci_lower, "ci_upper" : ci_upper,
"bs_price" : bs_ref, "variance_reduction" : var_reduction}
Step 3 — Implied Volatility Surface def implied_vol (
market_price: float ,
S: float ,
K: float ,
T: float ,
r: float ,
option_type: str = "call" ,
tol: float = 1e-8 ,
) -> float :
"""
Extract implied volatility from an observed market price using Brent's method.
Args:
market_price: Observed option price in the market.
S: Current underlying price.
K: Strike.
T: Time to expiry.
r: Risk-free rate.
option_type: 'call' or 'put'.
tol: Solver tolerance.
Returns:
Implied volatility, or np.nan if no solution found.
"""
intrinsic = max (S - K * np.exp(-r * T), 0 ) if option_type == "call" else max (K * np.exp(-r * T) - S, 0 )
if market_price < intrinsic:
return np.nan
def objective (sigma ):
return bs_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, option_type) - market_price
try :
iv = brentq(objective, 1e-4 , 10.0 , xtol=tol, full_output=False )
return float (iv)
except (ValueError, RuntimeError):
return np.nan
def implied_vol_surface (
S: float = 100.0 ,
r: float = 0.03 ,
strikes: list = None ,
maturities: list = None ,
sigma_atm: float = 0.20 ,
skew: float = -0.02 ,
term_slope: float = 0.01 ,
output_path: str = None ,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Generate a synthetic implied vol surface and plot as heatmap.
Synthetic IV surface: σ(K, T) = σ_ATM + skew × moneyness + term_slope × T
Args:
S: Current price.
r: Risk-free rate.
strikes: List of strikes. Default: S × [0.8, 0.85, ..., 1.2].
maturities: List of maturities in years. Default: [0.25, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0].
sigma_atm: ATM implied vol level.
skew: Slope of vol smile with moneyness (ln(K/S)).
term_slope: Term structure slope per year.
output_path: If provided, save heatmap.
Returns:
DataFrame of implied vols: rows = maturities, columns = strikes.
"""
if strikes is None :
strikes = [round (S * m, 1 ) for m in np.arange(0.80 , 1.21 , 0.05 )]
if maturities is None :
maturities = [0.25 , 0.5 , 1.0 , 1.5 , 2.0 ]
iv_matrix = {}
for T in maturities:
row = {}
for K in strikes:
moneyness = np.log(K / S)
iv_synth = sigma_atm + skew * moneyness + term_slope * T
iv_synth = max (0.05 , iv_synth)
mkt_price = bs_price(S, K, T, r, iv_synth, "call" )
iv_rec = implied_vol(mkt_price, S, K, T, r, "call" )
row[K] = round (iv_rec if not np.isnan(iv_rec) else iv_synth, 4 )
iv_matrix[T] = row
iv_df = pd.DataFrame(iv_matrix).T
iv_df.index.name = "Maturity"
fig, axes = plt.subplots(1 , 2 , figsize=(15 , 5 ))
im = axes[0 ].imshow(iv_df.values, aspect="auto" , cmap="RdYlGn_r" ,
vmin=iv_df.values.min () * 0.95 , vmax=iv_df.values.max () * 1.05 )
axes[0 ].set_xticks(range (len (strikes)))
axes[0 ].set_xticklabels([str (k) for k in strikes], rotation=45 , fontsize=8 )
axes[0 ].set_yticks(range (len (maturities)))
axes[0 ].set_yticklabels([f"{m} y" for m in maturities])
axes[0 ].set_xlabel("Strike" )
axes[0 ].set_ylabel("Maturity" )
axes[0 ].set_title("Implied Volatility Surface (Heatmap)" )
plt.colorbar(im, ax=axes[0 ])
for T in maturities:
axes[1 ].plot(strikes, iv_df.loc[T].values, "o-" , label=f"T={T} y" , linewidth=1.5 )
axes[1 ].set_xlabel("Strike" )
axes[1 ].set_ylabel("Implied Volatility" )
axes[1 ].set_title("Implied Volatility Smile by Maturity" )
axes[1 ].legend(fontsize=8 )
fig.tight_layout()
if output_path:
fig.savefig(output_path, dpi=150 )
print (f"Saved IV surface to {output_path} " )
plt.show()
return iv_df
Advanced Usage
CRR Binomial Tree for American Options def binomial_tree_price (
S: float ,
K: float ,
T: float ,
r: float ,
sigma: float ,
n_steps: int = 200 ,
option_type: str = "call" ,
american: bool = True ,
) -> float :
"""
CRR binomial tree pricing for European and American options.
Args:
S: Underlying price.
K: Strike.
T: Time to expiry.
r: Risk-free rate.
sigma: Volatility.
n_steps: Number of time steps (higher = more accurate).
option_type: 'call' or 'put'.
american: If True, allow early exercise (American option).
Returns:
Option price.
"""
dt = T / n_steps
u = np.exp(sigma * np.sqrt(dt))
d = 1.0 / u
p = (np.exp(r * dt) - d) / (u - d)
disc = np.exp(-r * dt)
j = np.arange(n_steps + 1 )
S_T = S * u ** (n_steps - 2 * j)
if option_type == "call" :
V = np.maximum(S_T - K, 0 )
else :
V = np.maximum(K - S_T, 0 )
for i in range (n_steps - 1 , -1 , -1 ):
V = disc * (p * V[:-1 ] + (1 - p) * V[1 :])
if american:
j_i = np.arange(i + 1 )
S_node = S * u ** (i - 2 * j_i)
if option_type == "call" :
intrinsic = np.maximum(S_node - K, 0 )
else :
intrinsic = np.maximum(K - S_node, 0 )
V = np.maximum(V, intrinsic)
return float (V[0 ])
def early_exercise_premium (
S: float = 100.0 ,
K: float = 100.0 ,
T: float = 1.0 ,
r: float = 0.05 ,
sigma: float = 0.20 ,
) -> dict :
"""
Compute early exercise premium: American price - European price.
For calls on non-dividend paying stocks, this should be ~0 (no early exercise).
For puts, the premium is positive.
Args:
S, K, T, r, sigma: Standard option parameters.
Returns:
Dictionary with european_call, american_call, european_put, american_put,
call_premium, put_premium.
"""
eur_call = bs_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, "call" )
eur_put = bs_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, "put" )
amer_call = binomial_tree_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, n_steps=300 , option_type="call" , american=True )
amer_put = binomial_tree_price(S, K, T, r, sigma, n_steps=300 , option_type="put" , american=True )
call_prem = amer_call - eur_call
put_prem = amer_put - eur_put
print (f"\nEarly Exercise Premiums (S={S} , K={K} , T={T} , r={r:.1 %} , σ={sigma:.1 %} ):" )
print (f" Call: European={eur_call:.4 f} American={amer_call:.4 f} Premium={call_prem:.4 f} " )
print (f" Put: European={eur_put:.4 f} American={amer_put:.4 f} Premium={put_prem:.4 f} " )
return {"european_call" : eur_call, "american_call" : amer_call,
"european_put" : eur_put, "american_put" : amer_put,
"call_premium" : call_prem, "put_premium" : put_prem}
Troubleshooting Error / Issue Cause Resolution brentq raises ValueErrorMarket price below intrinsic or above S Check arbitrage: intrinsic ≤ mkt_price ≤ S IV = NaN for deep OTM options Very low market price, solver loses bracket Widen sigma bounds to (1e-5, 20.0) MC price converges slowly Too few paths Use n_paths=500_000 or apply variance reduction Binomial tree slow for large n_steps O(n²) computation Reduce to n_steps=200 for daily practice BS Theta > 0 for deep ITM put Theta can be positive for deep ITM puts This is mathematically correct; not an error Gamma → ∞ as T → 0 at-the-money Near-expiry ATM option Clip T at minimum 1e-6; expected behavior
External Resources
Black, F., Scholes, M. (1973). "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities."
Journal of Political Economy , 81(3), 637–654.
Merton, R.C. (1973). "Theory of Rational Option Pricing." Bell Journal of Economics , 4(1), 141–183.
Cox, J., Ross, S., Rubinstein, M. (1979). "Option Pricing: A Simplified Approach."
Journal of Financial Economics , 7(3), 229–263.
Hull, J.C. (2022). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives , 11th Edition. Pearson.
Glasserman, P. (2004). Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering . Springer.
Examples
Example 1 — BS Price + Greeks Parameter Table greeks_df = print_greeks_table(S=100 , K=105 , T=0.5 , r=0.04 , sigma=0.25 )
spots = np.linspace(60 , 140 , 100 )
deltas_call = [bs_greeks(s, 100 , 0.5 , 0.04 , 0.25 , "call" )["delta" ] for s in spots]
deltas_put = [bs_greeks(s, 100 , 0.5 , 0.04 , 0.25 , "put" )["delta" ] for s in spots]
plt.figure(figsize=(9 , 4 ))
plt.plot(spots, deltas_call, label="Call Delta" , color="#2980B9" )
plt.plot(spots, deltas_put, label="Put Delta" , color="#E74C3C" )
plt.axvline(100 , color="gray" , linestyle=":" , linewidth=1 , label="ATM" )
plt.xlabel("Spot Price" )
plt.ylabel("Delta" )
plt.title("Delta Profile vs Spot" )
plt.legend()
plt.tight_layout()
plt.savefig("delta_profile.png" , dpi=150 )
plt.show()
Example 2 — MC vs BS with Variance Reduction + IV Surface
mc_result = mc_option_price(
S=100 , K=100 , T=1.0 , r=0.05 , sigma=0.20 , option_type="call" ,
n_paths=100_000 , use_antithetic=True , use_control_variate=True ,
)
print (f"BS price: {mc_result['bs_price' ]:.4 f} | MC price: {mc_result['price' ]:.4 f} " )
premium = early_exercise_premium(S=100 , K=110 , T=1.0 , r=0.05 , sigma=0.25 )
iv_df = implied_vol_surface(
S=100 , r=0.03 , sigma_atm=0.20 , skew=-0.03 , term_slope=0.01 ,
output_path="iv_surface.png"
)
print ("\nIV Surface (maturity × strike):" )
print (iv_df.round (4 ))
Changelog Version Date Change 1.0.0 2026-03-18 Initial release — BS pricing, Greeks, MC variance reduction, CRR tree, IV surface
