hypothesis-synthesis

name	hypothesis-synthesis
description	SOP: synthesize all intermediate products into a final structured hypothesis set
version	1.0.0
category	hypothesis-formation
type	sop
campaign	hypothesis-formulation
input	All intermediate products (theories, mechanisms, variables, relationships, boundary conditions, falsifiability, competing hypotheses, comparison matrix)
output	Final hypothesis document (complete 6-component structure + ranking + relationship notes)
dependencies	{"skills":["subagent-spawning"]}

Hypothesis Synthesis

Collect and integrate all intermediate products to produce a complete, deduplicated, ranked final hypothesis set.

HARD-GATE

Preconditions (all must hold before starting): 1. There are ≥2 hypothesis candidates (from any upstream step) 2. Each hypothesis has at least statement + mechanism + falsification_scenario

Not met → stop, return error: insufficient hypothesis candidates or missing required components.

Pipeline

1. Precondition check: verify completeness of all intermediate products
2. Collect all hypothesis candidates: aggregate every hypothesis from the deductive/inductive/abductive paths
3. Deduplication and merging: identify and merge hypotheses with the same mechanism (keep the most complete version)
4. Completeness check: ensure each hypothesis contains all 6 components (statement/variables/mechanism/boundary_conditions/falsification/measurability)
5. Ranking: rank comprehensively by evidence support + testability + theoretical importance
6. Relationship notes: annotate the relationships between hypotheses (complementary/competing/independent/hierarchical)
7. Format and output the final hypothesis document

Output Format

{
  "summary": {
    "total_hypotheses": 3,
    "primary_hypothesis": "H1",
    "reasoning_path": "deductive | inductive | abductive | mixed"
  },
  "hypotheses": [
    {
      "hypothesis_id": "H1",
      "priority": 1,
      "statement":