premortem-to-fmea-pipeline

name	premortem-to-fmea-pipeline
description	Tactic: Pre-mortem rapid screening feeds high-risk items into full FMEA analysis. Bridges fast intuitive generation with systematic structured analysis.
type	tactic
strategies	["prospective-hindsight","risk-prioritization"]
dependencies	{"sops":["action-priority-matrix","detection-scoring","failure-chain-construction","failure-mode-extraction","function-analysis","occurrence-scoring","premortem-facilitation","severity-scoring"]}

Pre-Mortem to FMEA Pipeline Tactic

Rapid pre-mortem screening identifies candidate failures; high-severity items trigger full FMEA deep-dive.

Orchestration

1. premortem-facilitation generates failure scenarios (fast, intuitive)
2. failure-mode-extraction structures scenarios into failure mode list
3. severity-scoring performs rapid severity screen (1-10)
4. Items scoring >= threshold pass to FMEA pipeline:
   • function-analysis → failure-chain-construction
   • occurrence-scoring + detection-scoring
   • action-priority-matrix classifies H/M/L
5. Low-severity items documented but not analyzed further

Threshold Logic

• Budget S: threshold = 7 (only critical items get FMEA)
• Budget M: threshold = 5 (moderate and above)
• Budget L: threshold = 3 (comprehensive coverage)

Subagents Dispatched

• premortem-facilitation (scenario generation)
• failure-mode-extraction (structuring)
• severity-scoring (screening gate)
• function-analysis, failure-chain-construction (FMEA deep-dive)
• occurrence-scoring, detection-scoring (full scoring)
• action-priority-matrix (classification)

Termination Conditions

• All generated scenarios have been screened
• High-severity items have completed full FMEA cycle
• Action priority assigned to all items above threshold

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOP	When to use
action-priority-matrix	Compute Risk Priority Number (RPN = S x O x D), classify failure modes into H/M/L action priority per AIAG-VDA tables.
detection-scoring	Rate detectability 1-10 (inverted: 10 = hardest to detect). Estimates how likely current controls would catch the failure before impact.
failure-chain-construction	Build cause-mode-effect chains tracing upstream root causes and downstream cascading effects for each failure mode.
failure-mode-extraction	Extract structured failure mode list from raw scenarios or artifact analysis. Produces standardized failure mode records.
function-analysis	FMEA Step 3: Decompose artifact into function tree — identify what each component is supposed to do before analyzing how it can fail.
occurrence-scoring	Rate failure mode occurrence probability 1-10. Estimates how likely each failure mode is to manifest during research execution.
premortem-facilitation	Execute Klein pre-mortem protocol — assume failure has occurred, generate plausible failure scenarios through prospective hindsight.
severity-scoring	Rate failure mode severity 1-10 based on end-effect impact. Follows AIAG-VDA severity scale calibrated for research artifacts.