secular-trends

name	secular-trends
multi_ticker_semantics	target_with_optional_peers
description	Secular technology trends, technology adoption cycle, disruption risk, AI impact analysis, digital transformation, industry 4.0 trends, technology moat, innovation trajectory, R&D effectiveness, tech competitive positioning
temporal_scope	{"default_quarters":4,"max_quarters":12,"description":"Typical lookback: 4 quarters, max: 12"}
allowed_tools	["search_companies","search_xbrl_facts","search_documents","search_sec_filings","get_company_financials","list_coverage","search_unified","read_source_outline","read_source_deep_outline","list_xbrl_concepts","read_source_pages","search_keyword_in_source"]
retrieval_scope	unstructured_document_search
min_tool_diversity	10

Preflight

Run the canonical pre-flight sequence — MCP health probe, ticker resolution, workspace style.md override, memory load, and coverage check. See contracts/preflight.md.

Include the X-Agentii-Trace header on every tool call per contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md.

Triggers

• analyze dim secular tech trends
• run dim secular tech trends analysis
• produce dim secular tech trends report
• dim secular tech trends breakdown
• dim secular tech trends deep dive
• build a dim secular tech trends
• assess dim secular tech trends
• quantify dim secular tech trends
• compare dim secular tech trends across peers
• review dim secular tech trends for
• generate dim secular tech trends on
• dim secular tech trends for investment decision

Defaults

Parameter	Default	Notes
lookback_years	3	Historical data window
include_peers	false	Whether to surface a peer comparison block

Methodology

Retrieval Scope

This skill performs unstructured document search at scale (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K filings spanning multiple fiscal periods). The three-layer agent-use-ready retrieval protocol (Document Discovery → Page Map → Deep Read) applies to all unstructured document search at scale.

Retrieval Strategy

Follow the retrieval strategy decision tree in contracts/retrieval.md. This skill uses:

• Branch (a) for structured financial metrics via search_xbrl_facts with list_xbrl_concepts pre-condition for unfamiliar concepts.
• Branch (c) for single-period document queries via direct read_source_outline → read_source_pages.
• Branch (d) for simple lookups via get_company_profile / search_earnings_calendar.

**Layer 1 secondary_label allowlist **: prefer ?secondary_label=other_events_8_01 to surface trend-related 8-Ks (technology disruption, regulatory shifts, demographic events) before Layer 2.

Temporal Scope

Default: 12 fiscal quarters (max 20). Secular tech trends: 12 quarters (3 fiscal years) for long-range technology adoption cycles

Tool Allowlist

See frontmatter allowed_tools.

Protocol

This skill delivers analyst-grade output via 8 addressable mode(s); invoke with --mode=<slug> / --modes=<slug1>,<slug2> / --mode=all (see Mode syntax. The default invocation (no flag) runs the essentials_modes subset declared in this skill's frontmatter.

Analyst Modes

This skill exposes addressable analysis modes (--mode=<slug> / --modes=<s1>,<s2> / --mode=all; see Mode syntax). The full mode definitions and their output templates live in references/modes.md. The default invocation runs the essentials subset.

Tool Fallbacks

Per-tool failure modes and fallback actions are tabulated in references/tool-fallbacks.md.

Output File

Write the final deliverable to {ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_secular-trends_tech-trends.md .

Output Structure

The deliverable is a structured markdown report written to the path in ## Output File. Full section-by-section template (headings, tables, and field definitions) lives in references/output-structure.md. Required elements:

1. Executive Summary — headline conclusions (≤200 words).
2. Core analysis sections — per this skill's methodology and analyst modes.
3. Data classification — tag findings [FACT] / [DEDUCTED] / [VIEW] per contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md.
4. Coverage Gaps & Citations — inline /v/ citations are PRIMARY (immediately after each fact); the bottom Citations section is a non-duplicative roll-up index.
5. Output frontmatter — emit the FR-090 structured block per contracts/output-frontmatter-schema.md.

Citations & memory: follow contracts/citation-and-memory.md — ≥1 citation per 200 words; every material fact, table row, and metric is immediately followed by its inline clickable https://agentii.ai/v/{ticker}/{citation_id}/{N} link; a bottom Citations section provides a non-duplicative roll-up index; the closing TUI reply includes a compact Key Citations list (headline 5–10 facts) of clickable /v/ URLs; and append the run to agentii.md per contracts/agentii-md-schema.md.

Memory & Snapshot

• Memory load (pre-flight): load prior workspace context for the ticker before retrieval — see contracts/memory-load.md.
• Structured output frontmatter: emit the FR-090 block (key_metrics, conclusions, facts_count, deducted_count, views_count, citation_count) per contracts/output-frontmatter-schema.md.
• Snapshot synthesis: after writing the deliverable, update the two-tier snapshot and classify findings as [FACT]/[DEDUCTED]/[VIEW] — see contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md.
• Session archival: record the run under sessions/{YYYY-MM-DD}/ and update sessions/INDEX.md per contracts/session-format.md.

Final Summary (TUI)

End the closing chat reply with a compact Key Citations list (headline 5–10 facts), each a clickable https://agentii.ai/v/{ticker}/{citation_id}/{N} link, so the user can cmd+click straight to the exact SEC page. See contracts/citation-and-memory.md.

Error Handling

Failure Mode	Detection	Action	User-Facing Message
Missing data	Data API returns empty result set	Widen date range and retry once	"No data available for {ticker} in requested window."
Partial data	Data API returns <80% expected records	Proceed with coverage gaps section	"Analysis based on partial data; see Coverage Gaps section."
Sector mismatch	Peer sector != target sector	Filter out mismatched peers	"Removed {n} peer(s) due to sector mismatch."
Insufficient history	Ticker <3 years on public markets	Downgrade to limited-history profile	"Limited historical data; analysis adjusted accordingly."
MCP unreachable	Preflight probe fails	Halt with actionable error	"agentii data plane unreachable; check connection."