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statistical-method-design

Design statistical methods, baselines, diagnostics, variants, and ablations that directly address a formal problem formulation.

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aiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw
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May 20, 2026 at 04:39
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name
statistical-method-design
description
Design statistical methods, baselines, diagnostics, variants, and ablations that directly address a formal problem formulation.
metadata
{"category":"domain","trigger-keywords":"method proposal,estimator,algorithm,baseline,ablation,diagnostic,statistical method","applicable-stages":"3,4,5,6,7,8","priority":"1"}
# Statistical Method Design ## Overview Use this skill after formal problem formulation. The method should be a response to the formal target and assumptions, not a generic collection of techniques. ## Required Method Proposal For each method: - Name - Problem it solves - Formula or algorithm - Inputs and outputs - Tuning parameters - Required assumptions - Diagnostics - Expected failure modes - Computational cost - Relation to baselines ## Baselines and Ablations Always define meaningful baselines: - Classical or standard method - Naive or unadjusted method - Oracle or idealized reference when available - Robust variant - Ablation removing the key design feature ## Method-to-Claim Map Every method must connect to at least one claim: ```yaml method_to_claim_map: proposed_method: claims: [C1, C2] expected_evidence: "lower risk under stress condition" theory_target: "consistency under assumptions A1-A3" ```
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