jfe-topic-selection

name	jfe-topic-selection
description	Use when scoping or framing a topic for a Journal of Financial Economics (JFE) manuscript and you need to test fit and contribution before investing in data work. Pressure-tests the question and contribution; it does not write the literature review or design the empirics.

Topic Selection & Fit (jfe-topic-selection)

When to trigger

• You have data or a setting but no sharp economic question yet
• You are unsure whether the idea clears the JFE contribution bar
• You cannot state in one sentence what is new relative to existing finance papers
• You are choosing between JFE, JF, and RFS as the target outlet

What JFE rewards

JFE (Elsevier; North-Holland; ISSN 0304-405X; founded 1974 by Michael C. Jensen) is one of the top-3 finance journals and publishes rigorous, methodologically demanding empirical corporate finance and asset pricing, plus the financial-economics theory that supports them. Its stated scope centers on capital markets, financial institutions, corporate finance, corporate governance, and the economics of organizations. The durable preference: a clean economic question, answered with a credible design and exhaustive evidence.

The two JFE best-paper prizes signal the two halves of the journal's taste: the Jensen Prize (best corporate-finance / organizations paper) and the Fama-DFA Prize (best asset-pricing / capital-markets paper). Aim a JFE submission at the kind of paper that could plausibly compete for one of them. (Editor-in-Chief Toni M. Whited, Michigan, since 2021; verify current scope on jfinec.com.)

Fit test — answer all four before proceeding:

1. Economic question. Is there a real financial-economics question, not just a correlation you can run? "Does X cause Y, and through what channel?" beats "X is associated with Y."
2. Contribution. Can you name the specific result that is new — a new fact, a new mechanism, a new identification, or overturning a believed result? Incremental "X in a new sample" rarely clears the bar.
3. Credible answer. Is there a plausible path to identification or to disciplined inference (see jfe-identification, jfe-empirical-design)? If the honest answer is "OLS with controls," the topic is not ready.
4. Depth. Can the result survive the robustness and referee culture JFE is known for? If one alternative explanation sinks it, reconsider.

Contribution framing (draft early, refine often)

State the contribution as 2–4 explicit sentences for the introduction:

• The gap: what the literature currently believes or has not established.
• The move: the setting, design, or data that lets you resolve it credibly.
• The finding: the headline result, with direction and rough magnitude.
• Why it matters: for theory, for other empirical work, or for policy/practice.

Corporate finance vs. asset pricing framing

• Corporate finance (Jensen-Prize territory): lead with the causal question and the identifying variation (a shock, a discontinuity, an instrument). The contribution is usually "credible causal effect of X on corporate outcome Y, plus mechanism." The agency-cost lens of Jensen & Meckling (1976, JFE) is the lineage your governance/financing question sits in.
• Asset pricing (Fama-DFA territory): lead with the economic source of the return pattern and how you discipline inference. The contribution is usually "a return predictor/factor that is real after correct standard errors, out-of-sample, and multiple-testing scrutiny," or a mechanism for a known anomaly. The factor-model tradition of Fama & French (1993, JFE) and Banz (1981, JFE, the size effect) sets the bar a new factor must clear.

Reminder: a famous result is not automatically a JFE result. Carhart (1997) momentum-persistence is a Journal of Finance paper, not JFE — do not position against it as if it were the JFE house lineage.

Checklist

• One-sentence economic question written down
• Headline contribution stated in 2–4 sentences (gap / move / finding / why)
• Named the closest 3–5 papers this would sit beside and how it differs
• Plausible identification or inference path exists (not "OLS + controls")
• The result would survive an exhaustive robustness battery
• The paper could credibly compete in its Jensen-Prize (corp fin) or Fama-DFA (asset pricing) lane
• Honest read on whether JFE, JF, or RFS is the best home — and worth the non-refundable US$850 submission fee

Anti-patterns

• A "kitchen-sink regression" with no economic question behind it
• "First paper to study X in country/sample Z" with no methodological or conceptual advance
• A correlation dressed as a finding, with identification deferred to "future work"
• An asset-pricing predictor pitched without any awareness of multiple-testing concerns
• Picking JFE because it is prestigious rather than because the design depth fits

Output format

【Question】one-sentence economic question
【Contribution】gap / move / finding / why-it-matters
【Field】corporate finance | asset pricing | financial-economics theory
【Closest papers】[...] and how this differs
【Identification path】sketch (or "not yet — see jfe-identification")
【Fit verdict】JFE | JF | RFS | not ready
【Next】jfe-literature-positioning