austrian-judgment-protocol

name	austrian-judgment-protocol
description	Judgment protocol (production-grade): a unified Austrian-school decision framework for entrepreneurs, CEOs, and CTOs — Kirzner (opportunity discovery/alertness), Packard (demand-side entrepreneurship), Rumelt (strategy diagnosis), Hayek (knowledge problem), Foss & Klein (judgment authority), Mises/Taleb/O'Driscoll-Rizzo (uncertainty). Use when evaluating opportunities, strategic challenges, capital commitments, delegation decisions, organization design, or why innovation stalls. Invocation: (1) load without arguments for the routing table; (2) with a scenario ('analyze this competitive threat'); (3) with a topic (alertness/case probability/strategy kernel/man on the spot/original judgment/three-stage process).
version	1.0.0

Austrian Judgment Protocol

A unified judgment framework built from six protocols, each compressing one theorist's core insights into executable decision procedures. The protocols are designed to be used together: they form a judgment chain, and their claims cross-reference each other (see claims.yaml).

The Judgment Chain

1. Opportunity discovery — Kirzner: opportunities are discovered through alertness, not created by plans (discovery-alertness)
2. Demand validation — Packard: discovered opportunities must pass the three-stage demand-side test (consumer sovereignty)
3. Strategy diagnosis — Rumelt: diagnose the challenge before setting goals; build the kernel (diagnosis → guiding policy → coherent action)
4. Knowledge distribution — Hayek: decide who holds the decision — time-and-place knowledge cannot be centralized
5. Judgment authority — Foss & Klein (+ Christensen): allocate decision rights — original judgment stays with the owner; derived judgment is delegated with monitoring; check the capability boundary (what can we actually execute?) before committing resources
6. Uncertainty design — Mises/Taleb/O'Driscoll-Rizzo: classify uncertainty, reject pseudo-prediction, design for optionality and reversibility

Routing Table

If you face...	Use protocol	Key procedures
Market signal / new business / competitive change	discovery-alertness	search → weak signals → equilibration → demand validation
Evaluate whether a business is worth pursuing / why innovation stalls	consumer-sovereignty-and-entrepreneurship	three-stage check → knowledge-intersection audit → three judgments
Competitive threat / strategy review / goal setting	strategy-diagnosis	symptom vs challenge → kernel → bad-strategy filter → asymmetry audit
Should this decision be delegated / org design / reporting chains	hayek-knowledge-problem	time-and-place? → aggregable? → delegate + coordinate → sample raw periphery
Who should decide / delegation design / agency conflicts	entrepreneurial-judgment-authority	original vs derived → authority-knowledge match → constraints + monitoring
Capital commitment / pricing / pivot under uncertainty	uncertainty-management	classify → pseudo-prediction check → narrative audit → barbell design → reversibility

How to Use

• Without arguments: this routing table is the entry point; load the relevant protocol from references/protocols/.
• With a scenario: e.g. "analyze this market signal" → route to the protocol, run its decision procedures, check its anti-patterns.
• With a topic: alertness / case probability / strategy kernel / man on the spot / original judgment / three-stage process → read the corresponding claims in claims.yaml and the glossary.

Terminology

Terms fall into three classes (marked in the source files):

• standard term — established in the discipline (e.g. consumer sovereignty, contract incompleteness, lead users)
• author-specific term — the theorist's own term, kept verbatim (e.g. man on the spot, Einstellung effect, triad, case probability)
• framework-specific term — this framework's own terms, defined at first use (e.g. central impossibility — no single mind can possess all dispersed knowledge; local judgment allocation; information anti-filtering; reversibility assessment)

Provenance

• claims.yaml: 90 claims, each with author + book title. claim_type marks: source-derived (author's text) / agent-derived (framework inference, dependencies marked) / cross-source-derived (cross-book combination).
• Sources: Kirzner, Competition and Entrepreneurship; Mises, Human Action; Ekelund & Saurman, Advertising and the Market Process; Taleb, The Black Swan & Antifragile; O'Driscoll & Rizzo, The Economics of Time and Ignorance; Rumelt, Good Strategy, Bad Strategy; Hayek, "The Use of Knowledge in Society"; Foss & Klein, Organizing Entrepreneurial Judgment; Packard, Consumer Sovereignty and Entrepreneurship.

Files

• claims.yaml — merged claim ledger (90 claims, ID prefixes: K/KX, AD, M/B/AF/TI/UX, R/RX, H/HX, FK/FA/FX, CH, P/A)
• references/protocols/ — six protocol files (full decision procedures, anti-patterns, scenario translations)
• references/glossary.md — terms
• references/patterns.md — 10 reusable decision patterns
• references/cheatsheet.md — decision rules