ab-test-generator

name	ab-test-generator
description	Reads page analytics and click data from Humblytics, generates A/B test hypotheses with element selectors, and launches no-code split tests via the Humblytics MCP. Use when creating A/B tests, split tests, multivariate tests, or when you need to test headlines, CTAs, layouts, or pricing. Triggers: A/B test, split test, experiment, test hypothesis, launch test, variant.
metadata	{"version":"1.0.0","author":"Humblytics"}

A/B Test Generator

Purpose

Generate data-driven A/B test configurations from Humblytics analytics and heatmap data. This skill creates complete test definitions including hypotheses, variant specifications with CSS/element selectors, success metrics, sample size requirements, and can launch tests directly through the Humblytics MCP.

Live data comes from the Humblytics MCP (server humblytics) — read tools like get_page_details, get_clicks_details, and get_split_test_recommendations, and write tools like create_split_test, update_split_test, and stop_split_test.

When to Use

• Creating A/B tests from conversion data or heatmap insights
• Generating test hypotheses for a specific page or funnel step
• Launching no-code split tests via the Humblytics MCP
• Calculating required sample size and test duration
• Designing multivariate test matrices
• Reviewing and iterating on existing test results

Setup

This skill calls the Humblytics MCP (server humblytics) for all live data and test launches — connect it once and the MCP handles auth, base URL, and property resolution. See the repo README for connection steps. The skill then calls mcp__humblytics__* tools directly; there is no per-run key to export.

Keep the security ethos: never paste API keys directly into chat and never commit a .env — the key now lives in the MCP connection headers, set once. For a single-property key the MCP auto-resolves the property; for a multi-property key call list_properties and pass the propertyId you want.

Before You Start

1. Confirm property and page — Which page URL to test (the MCP resolves the property; use list_properties only for multi-property keys)
2. Pull current data — Retrieve page analytics, click data, and current conversion rate via the MCP
3. Check existing tests — Look for any running tests to avoid conflicts (list_split_tests)
4. Understand the goal — What is the primary conversion action on this page?
5. Verify traffic volume — Ensure enough traffic for statistical significance within a reasonable timeframe
6. Check for context — Look for product briefs, AGENTS.md, or existing CRO documents that inform test direction

Core Workflow

Step 1: Gather Page Intelligence

Pull data from Humblytics:

• Page analytics: Traffic volume, bounce rate, time on page, scroll depth
• Heatmap data: Click maps, scroll maps, attention maps
• Event data: CTA clicks, form interactions, video plays
• Device split: Mobile vs desktop behavior differences
• Source split: How different traffic sources behave on this page

MCP tools (analytics reads take start, end (ISO-8601), and timezone):

• get_page_details (page param) — Single-page deep dive (UTM, device, country, scroll depth, bounce)
• get_clicks_details (page param) — Click data with UTM attribution (there is no heatmap endpoint; click data is the closest analogue)
• get_forms_details (page param) — Form submissions and conversion rates for that page (no generic events tool exists)
• list_split_tests — List existing experiments. Optionally filter by status (active/complete)

Step 2: Identify Test Opportunities

Analyze the data for signals:

High-value signals from heatmaps:

• Users clicking non-clickable elements (rage clicks) — make them clickable or remove confusion
• Low scroll depth — critical content is below the fold, move it up
• CTA getting few clicks despite visibility — copy, color, or placement issue
• Form field abandonment — simplify or reorder fields
• Dead zones — large page areas with no interaction

High-value signals from analytics:

• High bounce rate from specific sources — message mismatch
• Mobile conversion significantly lower than desktop — responsive layout issue
• High time-on-page but low conversion — users are interested but not persuaded
• Low time-on-page and low conversion — page fails to engage

Step 3: Formulate Hypotheses

For each opportunity, create a structured hypothesis:

Test Name: [descriptive-slug]
Page: [URL]
Hypothesis: IF we [specific change], THEN [primary metric] will [direction]
            BECAUSE [evidence from data]

Control: [current state description]
Variant: [proposed change description]

Primary Metric: [conversion event or goal]
Secondary Metrics: [engagement metrics to monitor]

Element Selector: [CSS selector for the element to modify]
Change Type: [text | style | visibility | layout | redirect]

Step 4: Calculate Sample Size and Duration

For each test, calculate statistical requirements:

Inputs needed:

• Baseline conversion rate (from current analytics)
• Minimum detectable effect (MDE) — typically 10-20% relative lift
• Statistical significance level — default 95%
• Statistical power — default 80%

Sample size formula (per variant):

n = (Z_alpha/2 + Z_beta)^2 * (p1(1-p1) + p2(1-p2)) / (p2 - p1)^2

Duration estimate:

Days = (n * number_of_variants) / daily_traffic_to_page

Present this clearly:

• Required sample per variant
• Total sample needed
• Estimated days to reach significance at current traffic
• Recommendation: proceed, increase traffic first, or test a larger change

Step 5: Define Test Configuration

Create the test spec and pass it as the create_split_test tool input. The required shape is:

{
  "name": "descriptive-test-name",
  "page": "/pricing",
  "type": "a_b",
  "variants": [
    { "label": "control", "is_control": true, "changes": [] },
    {
      "label": "variant-a",
      "changes": [
        {
          "selector": "#hero-cta",
          "attribute": "textContent",
          "value": "See Your Analytics"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "goal" 
   

Required fields: name, page, type (use "a_b" for selector-based tests; valid enum: a_b, component_a_b, multivariate, component_multivariate), variants (each with label + changes). Mark the control variant with is_control: true rather than relying on a magic label value like "control". Optional: goal (primary conversion event), auto_stop_days (auto-end the test after N days, 1–30).

goal enum: click_through, form_submission, bounce_rate, session_time, destination_page, external_destination, revenue. A plain "conversion" goal maps to form_submission. The revenue goal requires a connected revenue source (e.g. a Stripe/revenue connector) — don't select it unless revenue tracking is live for the property.

TBD — confirm the changes[] schema against a live create_split_test call. This skill documents attribute: "textContent", but some tooling uses op: "text". The exact shape (attribute vs op, and the allowed values) has not been verified against a live create here — treat it as unconfirmed and validate before relying on it.

Step 6: Launch or Document

To launch via the MCP:

• create_split_test — Create and start the test (input shape above)
• get_split_test (id) — Experiment details with per-variant metrics inline (no separate results call — variant metrics come back in the same response). Only act on a variant once its confidence is >= 70.
• update_split_test (id) — Update an active experiment. Input: { "name": "...", "auto_stop_days": N } (1–30)
• stop_split_test (id) — Stop a running experiment. Input: { "reason": "..." }
• get_split_test_recommendations (page param) — AI-generated split-test suggestions for a page

To document for manual launch:

• Output the full test specification
• Include screenshot annotations if click-data informed the test
• Provide the hypothesis document for the team

Test Type Selection Guide

Scenario	Test Type	Notes
One element change	A/B test	Fastest to significance
Two element changes	A/B/C test	Test both independently
Multiple interacting elements	Multivariate	Needs 4x+ traffic
Completely different page	Split URL test	Redirect-based
Copy variations only	A/B test	Quick wins
Layout restructure	Split URL test	Build separate variant page

Common Test Categories

Headlines and Copy

• Value prop rewording
• Specificity (add numbers, timeframes, outcomes)
• Emotional vs rational framing
• Length (short punchy vs detailed)

CTAs

• Button text (action verbs, benefit language, urgency)
• Button color and size
• Button placement (above fold, after social proof, sticky)
• Single CTA vs multiple CTAs

Social Proof

• Testimonials vs logos vs metrics
• Placement (near CTA vs header vs throughout)
• Specificity (named customers vs anonymous)

Layout and Structure

• Long page vs short page
• Information hierarchy reordering
• Form length and field order
• Navigation presence vs removal

Pricing

• Price anchoring (show higher price first)
• Plan naming
• Feature comparison layout
• Free trial vs freemium vs demo

Avoiding Common Mistakes

1. Testing too small a change — If your MDE requires 50,000 visitors per variant, the change is too subtle. Test bolder.
2. Running too many tests on one page — Interaction effects corrupt results. One test per page at a time.
3. Stopping early on positive results — Peeking inflates false positives. Commit to the sample size.
4. Ignoring secondary metrics — A variant that increases signups but increases churn is not a win.
5. Not segmenting results — A test can be flat overall but show strong wins on mobile. Always segment.

Output Format

For each generated test, present:

1. Hypothesis — One sentence: IF/THEN/BECAUSE
2. Evidence — What data supports this test
3. Variants — Control and variant descriptions
4. Selectors — CSS selectors and exact changes
5. Metrics — Primary and secondary goals
6. Duration — Estimated days to significance
7. Expected Impact — Projected conversion lift range

Related Skills

• cro-optimizer — Identify which pages and funnel steps need testing
• page-cro — Deep page-level audit to inform test hypotheses
• copywriting — Generate high-quality copy variants for tests
• funnel-reporter — Track how test results affect downstream funnel metrics

Shared Frameworks (REQUIRED reading)

Test design without grounding in base rates produces overconfident projections. Read these before generating test configs.

• _shared/frameworks/base-rate-priors.md — load-bearing for this skill. Anchor expected impact against:
  • Only ~14% of CTA tests reach significance (VWO/Wingify 2023 across thousands of tests)
  • ~31% of headline rewrites beat control (73-test study)
  • Avg lift when a test wins: +49% — but most tests don't win
  • If you propose 10 tests, expect 2–3 to win meaningfully. Frame the roadmap that way.
• _shared/frameworks/ice-confidence-rubric.md — anchor Confidence on evidence quality from _shared/benchmarks/patterns.json, not on test-designer enthusiasm. 9–10 requires ≥2 independent sources with n≥1000 in the target vertical.
• _shared/frameworks/anti-patterns.md — critical pitfalls when designing tests:
  • "Always multi-step" forms: Baymard 2024 — step count exerts substantially less impact than total field count. A 15-field three-step form is worse than an 11-field three-step. Reduce fields BEFORE proposing step splits.
  • Bundled changes masquerading as a single test: a "headline" test that also moves the sub-headline, image, and CTA isn't a headline test. Strict isolation matters when projecting future lift.
  • Underpowered tests stopped at the first peak: regression-to-mean is severe in low-sample tests. Hold to the pre-computed sample size.
• _shared/benchmarks/patterns.json — when generating a test config, find the matching pattern_id and use the evidence-backed lift_range_pct as the basis for the Expected Impact field. Don't quote the +260% Docsend outlier — quote the median.