15-min-btc

# 15-Minute BTC Sentiment ## Trigger Conditions Use this skill any time the user asks for 15-minute Bitcoin sentiment, direction, Kalshi bet, or short-term outlook. Common phrases include: - "15 min BTC" - "15 minute bitcoin" - "15min BTC sentiment" - "15 minute kalshi" - "btc 15 min buy / sell / bullish" ## Core Workflow (always follow) 1. Call the `sentiment` skill with a tightly focused query on current 15-minute BTC action. 2. Run a supporting `x_search` for the latest real-time chatter (use recent time filters). 3. Check current BTC price level if available. 4. Synthesize into a **very concise** response. ## Required Output Format **15-Min BTC Sentiment** **Summary**: [1-2 sentence bias + reasoning] **Key Themes**: - Bullet 1 - Bullet 2 **Bias**: Bullish / Bearish / Neutral / Choppy **Confidence**: High / Medium / Low **Kalshi Angle**: [Quick note on whether a 15-min bet looks +EV right now] ## Rules - Keep entire response under 150 words when possible. - Be ruthless about noise — 15-minute moves are mostly random. Only call real edge when it actually appears. - Never sugarcoat weak signals. - This skill exists to give the user a fast second opinion before placing (or not placing) a Kalshi 15-minute bet. This skill works alongside the general `sentiment` skill but is hyper-optimized for 15-minute BTC decision speed. ## Bankroll & Discipline Rules (Permanent) - Starting bankroll: $100 on Kalshi - Max bet size: $12 (12% of bankroll) - Minimum bet size: $5 - Max 8 open positions at once - Only bet on Medium confidence or higher from this skill - Target win rate: 57%+ to overcome fees - Track every bet: market, odds, confidence, size, outcome, running win rate - This is a test wallet. Scale only after proving 57%+ over 50+ bets. - No content/clicks/virality work. Pure gambling focus for Axel Speech Project.