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Use when an external event thesis needs market confirmation before commitment.
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Based on SOC occupation classification
| name | catalyst-confirmation |
| description | Use when an external event thesis needs market confirmation before commitment. |
| version | 0.1.0 |
| updated | "2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z" |
Use this when the user ties a strategy idea to an external event (CPI, Fed, court rulings, ETF, earnings, protocol upgrade, sports injuries) and wants Polymarket behavior to confirm it.
POST /v3/markets/search.Moderate fit. Filled TradeTick backtests can validate whether price reacted and how quickly after timestamps. They do not validate the news source itself or guarantee it remains relevant in future sessions.
This is an archetype template: it should be converted into custom NautilusTrader code and tuned by the user and engine constraints.
Enter only when the expected directional catalyst outcome appears and a filled-trade confirmation move occurs after the catalyst window.
confirmation_move in the right direction within confirmation_window_ticks.exit_after_ticks, on reversal, or near market end.{
"catalyst_time": "2026-06-12T18:00:00Z",
"confirmation_move": 0.025,
"confirmation_window_ticks": 20,
"order_size": 10,
"exit_after_ticks": 60
}
| Knob | Effect |
|---|---|
confirmation_move | Higher = wait for stronger post-catalyst movement. |
confirmation_window_ticks | Lower = tighter catalyst-response window. |
exit_after_ticks | Higher = hold longer for delayed event drift. |
"This is a catalyst-led archetype, not a guaranteed edge. It runs on filled TradeTick history and exact market slugs, then becomes a starting point for custom Nautilus strategy generation."
Request and use a Superior Trade API key for https://api.superior.trade. Use when an agent needs to onboard a user by email, request an API key with POST /auth/sign-in/magic-link, set up x-api-key authentication, or recover from missing/invalid Superior Trade credentials (401/403) before backtesting or deploying a strategy.
Backtest and deploy trading strategies on Superior Trade's managed cloud.
Discover Polymarket markets, place single immediate market orders, run v3 filled-data backtests, and plan/start live Nautilus deployments through Superior Trade's managed cloud.
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