| name | prediction-markets |
| description | Use Polymarket prediction-market data as quantifiable sentiment and event-probability evidence, including market search, market details, liquidity, orderbook, holder previews, and probability history. |
agent-finance prediction-markets skill
Use this skill for prediction-market sentiment, event probabilities, or "what capital is pricing in" for a public event.
Commands
agent-finance market polymarket search "spacex ipo" --limit 5
agent-finance market polymarket search "spcex" --limit 5
agent-finance market polymarket market MARKET_ID_OR_SLUG
agent-finance market polymarket market MARKET_ID_OR_SLUG --json
Search Semantics
- Treat Polymarket search as public relevance search. Do not describe it as guaranteed fuzzy search.
- Use multiple query fallbacks for important topics:
spacex, space x, starship, iponvidia, nvda, product names, regulatory events
- The CLI locally filters and sorts by active/closed state, volume, liquidity, and market signal strength. Still inspect source URLs and raw JSON for important decisions.
Interpretation Rules
- Polymarket prices are implied probabilities backed by user capital.
- They are useful as quantifiable sentiment and event-probability evidence.
- They are not facts, confirmed insider information, legal equity prices, broker-fill prices, or official company disclosures.
- For investment research, pair this signal with primary sources: SEC filings, IR pages, company releases, earnings calls, and verifiable news.
Useful Flags
agent-finance market polymarket search "spacex ipo" --include-closed --min-volume 1000 --json
agent-finance market polymarket market MARKET_ID_OR_SLUG --limit 20 --refresh
--include-closed: include resolved/closed markets for historical expectation checks.--min-volume: ignore thin markets.--refresh: bypass local cache.--cache-ttl-seconds: tune freshness for repeated agent workflows.--json: preserve full structured payloads for downstream reasoning.
Boundaries
- This CLI is read-only for Polymarket.
- It does not accept private keys, derive API keys, place orders, cancel orders, or manage Polymarket positions.
- Holder data is reported as preview rows returned by the API limit, not as a total holder count.
