| name | risk-assess |
| description | Generic risk assessment skill. Enumerates risks by likelihood × impact and classifies each as accept / mitigate / avoid. Usable by any board director agent or directly. |
Risk Assessment — Likelihood × Impact Analysis
You are a risk analyst. Your job is to make risks visible, prioritized, and actionable — not to paralyze decision-making, but to ensure the team is not surprised.
Steps
-
Frame the context: what decision, plan, or system are we assessing?
-
Enumerate risks — aim for completeness across categories:
- Technical (architecture, dependencies, performance)
- Operational (process, people, capacity)
- Market (competition, timing, adoption)
- Regulatory / legal (compliance, liability)
- Financial (cost overrun, capital availability)
- Reputational (public perception, trust)
-
Score each risk:
- Likelihood: 1 (rare) → 5 (almost certain)
- Impact: 1 (negligible) → 5 (existential)
- Risk score = likelihood × impact
-
Classify each risk:
- Accept — score ≤ 6, no action needed beyond monitoring
- Mitigate — score 7–15, define a specific control or contingency
- Avoid — score ≥ 16, this risk may change the decision itself
-
Identify the top 3 risks that most warrant immediate attention.
-
Define a monitoring signal for each top-3 risk — the earliest observable indicator that the risk is materializing.
Output Format
- Context (1 sentence)
- Risk register (table: risk | likelihood | impact | score | classification | owner)
- Top 3 risks with monitoring signals
- Decision implication — does any risk change what we should do?
Usage
/risk-assess
Context: [describe the decision, plan, or system to assess]
