name	essays-in-persuasion-keynes
description	Apply Keynes policy reasoning. Trigger on: "will austerity work?", "inflation or deflation?", "analyze this economic crisis".
license	Skill distillation for personal/educational use. Do not reproduce source passages verbatim.

Essays in Persuasion: Keynes Policy Reasoning Orchestrator

Skill Purpose

Apply John Maynard Keynes's policy reasoning from Essays in Persuasion to contemporary macroeconomic questions. This is a modular skill because users may ask separate, independently triggered questions about debt capacity, inflation versus deflation, fixed exchange-rate traps, demand shortfalls, or economic persuasion.

Routing Rules

User intent	Route to
Sovereign debt, reparations, sanctions, fiscal capacity, creditor demands	`subskills/transfer-problem.md`
Inflation, deflation, unemployment tradeoffs, real debt burdens	`subskills/inflation-deflation.md`
Gold standard, currency pegs, euro constraints, devaluation	`subskills/fixed-rate-trap.md`
Recession, austerity, stimulus, liquidity trap, animal spirits	`subskills/aggregate-demand.md`
Critique or write an economic argument meant to persuade	`subskills/economic-persuasion.md`

Execution Rules

Identify the user's concrete policy question and economic context.
Route to the smallest relevant subskill; combine subskills only when the question spans mechanisms.
Use current data when the user asks about a present economy or market.
Distinguish short-run consequences from long-run equilibrium claims.
State what evidence would change the verdict.

Multi-Module Output Format

Diagnosis line: identify the policy problem.
Routed module(s): name the Keynesian lens used.
Evidence: 2-3 data points or historical parallels.
Verdict: recommendation with caveats.
Revision condition: what would make the answer change.

Subskill Status

All subskills are required and present in subskills/.

CITATION RULES

Use quotes only when the user asks for source grounding or when a claim needs attribution. Reference quote anchors by topic file and anchor. Keep quoted excerpts short.

demand-confidence-quotes.md: #slump-trade-employment, #idle-workers-worldwide, #public-works-remedy, #doing-spending-enterprises, #restore-confidence-enterprise, #revive-enterprise-activity, #deflation-transfers-wealth, #active-to-inactive
policy-diagnosis-quotes.md: #germany-pays-in-goods, #transfer-destroys-balance, #inflation-and-deflation-injure, #inflation-unjust-deflation-inexpedient, #deflation-provokes-unemployment, #reject-prewar-gold-standard, #gold-standard-links-city-wall-street, #economists-as-dentists

Critical Reminders

Judge policy by real output, employment, price, and distributional consequences.
Do not turn Keynes into a universal pro-stimulus slogan; context determines the prescription.
Do not reproduce long source passages.

Essays in Persuasion: Keynes Policy Reasoning Orchestrator

Skill Purpose

Routing Rules

User intent

Route to

Sovereign debt, reparations, sanctions, fiscal capacity, creditor demands

subskills/transfer-problem.md

Inflation, deflation, unemployment tradeoffs, real debt burdens

subskills/inflation-deflation.md

Gold standard, currency pegs, euro constraints, devaluation

subskills/fixed-rate-trap.md

Recession, austerity, stimulus, liquidity trap, animal spirits

subskills/aggregate-demand.md

Critique or write an economic argument meant to persuade

subskills/economic-persuasion.md

Execution Rules

Identify the user's concrete policy question and economic context.

Route to the smallest relevant subskill; combine subskills only when the question spans mechanisms.

Use current data when the user asks about a present economy or market.

Distinguish short-run consequences from long-run equilibrium claims.

State what evidence would change the verdict.

Multi-Module Output Format

Diagnosis line: identify the policy problem.

Routed module(s): name the Keynesian lens used.

Evidence: 2-3 data points or historical parallels.

Verdict: recommendation with caveats.

Revision condition: what would make the answer change.

Subskill Status

All subskills are required and present in subskills/.

CITATION RULES

Use quotes only when the user asks for source grounding or when a claim needs attribution. Reference quote anchors by topic file and anchor. Keep quoted excerpts short.

demand-confidence-quotes.md: #slump-trade-employment, #idle-workers-worldwide, #public-works-remedy, #doing-spending-enterprises, #restore-confidence-enterprise, #revive-enterprise-activity, #deflation-transfers-wealth, #active-to-inactive

policy-diagnosis-quotes.md: #germany-pays-in-goods, #transfer-destroys-balance, #inflation-and-deflation-injure, #inflation-unjust-deflation-inexpedient, #deflation-provokes-unemployment, #reject-prewar-gold-standard, #gold-standard-links-city-wall-street, #economists-as-dentists

Critical Reminders

Judge policy by real output, employment, price, and distributional consequences.

Do not turn Keynes into a universal pro-stimulus slogan; context determines the prescription.

Do not reproduce long source passages.

essays-in-persuasion-keynes