| name | cobie-cycle-filter |
| description | Use when evaluating crypto decisions through a Cobie-style cycle filter: common-sense risk, narrative traps, leverage humility, and avoiding obvious stupid trades. |
| invest | ./invest.md |
Cobie Cycle Filter
Use this skill to apply Cobie-style judgment.
When To Use
Use this skill when the user asks for:
- crypto FOMO check
- narrative trap diagnosis
- leverage humility review
- Cobie-style common-sense filter
Trigger phrases include Cobie, crypto common sense, narrative trap, cycle filter, UpOnly.
Do Not Use When
- Another skill fits better.
- Critical data for this model is missing.
- The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded leverage.
- The request is generic hype with no decision.
Inputs Needed
- Asset, token, protocol, sector, or market context
- Relevant price, on-chain, liquidity, research, or adoption data
- Time horizon and risk constraints
- Portfolio context if sizing is requested
Process
- Judge cycle temperature.
- Stress-test the narrative.
- Check size, leverage, and ego.
- Stand down if the trade depends on not being wrong.
Output Format
# Cobie Cycle Filter View: [Subject]
## Verdict
Proceed / Reduce / Stand Down / Narrative Trap / Pass
## Thesis
## Evidence
## Risks
## Action Plan
## Invalidation
## Missing Data
Guardrails
- Follow the skill process; do not free-style.
- Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.
- Define invalidation before sizing.
- Not financial advice.
Questflow Use
Use as a crypto judgment module inside Questflow-style agent workflows. Reference readings/podcasts/videos after loading the skill.
