confidence-calibration

name	confidence-calibration
description	Calibrates confidence scores based on debate progression. Determines whether to escalate, continue, or terminate based on cumulative evidence.
execution	subagent
prompt	./prompt.md
input	round_verdicts (string), confidence_history (string), budget_remaining (string)
dependencies	{"sops":["spawn-agent"]}

Confidence Calibration

Calibrates confidence based on debate progression.

Execution

Subagent — spawned via subagent-spawning/spawn-agent.

Why Subagent

Calibration requires meta-analysis of debate trajectory without being anchored to any single round's outcome. Isolated context enables objective trend assessment.

Input

• round_verdicts: All judge verdicts so far
• confidence_history: Confidence scores from each round
• budget_remaining: Rounds/searches remaining in budget

Output

• calibrated_confidence: Updated confidence in artifact viability (0.0–1.0)
• decision: escalate / continue / terminate
• reasoning: Why this decision given the trajectory
• saturation_flag: Whether debate is producing diminishing returns

Budget

One unit = one calibration assessment per round.

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOP	When to use
spawn-agent	Spawn a customized CC subagent with full MCP tool access. Used by SOPs that declare execution: subagent.