| name | macro-dashboard |
| description | Build a comprehensive macroeconomic dashboard covering rates, inflation, labor, yield curve, and market sentiment to identify the current macro regime. |
Macro Dashboard
Overview
Act as a macro strategist. Collect key economic indicators, yield curve data, inflation metrics, labor market signals, market breadth, and market sentiment to produce a unified macro picture. Cross-reference all data points to classify the current economic regime.
Prerequisite: This skill requires FRED_API_KEY to be configured. Without it, only market indices and sentiment data are available.
Announce at start: "Building macro dashboard -- collecting economic indicators, yield curve, inflation, labor, breadth, and sentiment data."
Data Collection
Wave 1 -- ALL calls in parallel
| Tool | Parameters | Priority |
|---|
fred_indicator | series_id=fed_funds | REQUIRED |
fred_indicator | series_id=cpi | REQUIRED |
fred_indicator | series_id=core_pce | REQUIRED |
fred_indicator | series_id=unemployment | REQUIRED |
fred_indicator | series_id=treasury_10y | REQUIRED |
fred_indicator | series_id=treasury_2y | REQUIRED |
fred_indicator | series_id=gdp (quarterly, may be 1-3 months stale) | ENRICHMENT |
fred_indicator | series_id=initial_claims | ENRICHMENT |
fred_economic_calendar | limit=15 | REQUIRED |
tradingview_market_indices | (default) | REQUIRED |
market_breadth | universe=major_us | ENRICHMENT |
sentiment_fear_greed | (default) | ENRICHMENT |
DO NOT proceed to analysis until ALL REQUIRED calls return. ENRICHMENT failures are acceptable.
Analysis
Cross-reference the collected data across five dimensions:
- Yield Curve -- Compute 10Y minus 2Y spread. Flag inversion (negative spread) as recession signal. Note steepening or flattening trend.
- Inflation Trajectory -- Compare CPI and Core PCE to the Fed's 2% target. Determine if inflation is accelerating, decelerating, or anchored.
- Labor Market Health -- Assess unemployment rate direction and initial claims trend. Rising claims with rising unemployment = deterioration.
- Fed Policy Stance -- Current Fed Funds rate vs inflation readings. Is policy restrictive (rate > inflation) or accommodative?
- Market Pricing of Risk -- Extract VIX from market indices. Combine with Fear & Greed score and breadth. Elevated VIX (>25) with extreme fear and weak breadth = stress.
Synthesize all five dimensions into a single macro regime classification.
DO NOT reproduce raw tool output. Synthesize and interpret.
Output Format
Economic Dashboard
| Indicator | Latest | Prior | Trend |
|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | x.xx% | x.xx% | STEADY / UP / DOWN |
| CPI (YoY) | x.x% | x.x% | ... |
| Core PCE (YoY) | x.x% | x.x% | ... |
| Unemployment | x.x% | x.x% | ... |
| GDP (QoQ ann.) | x.x% | x.x% | ... |
| Initial Claims | xxxK | xxxK | ... |
Yield Curve
- 10Y Yield: x.xx% | 2Y Yield: x.xx% | Spread: +/-xx bps
- Interpretation: Normal / Flat / Inverted -- what it signals
Inflation vs Fed Target (2%)
- CPI trajectory and distance from target
- Core PCE trajectory and distance from target
- Assessment: ABOVE TARGET / AT TARGET / BELOW TARGET
Labor Market
- 2-3 sentence assessment of employment conditions
Market Risk Gauges
- VIX level and interpretation
- Fear & Greed score and classification
- Market breadth: advance/decline ratio, % above SMA50/SMA200, and new highs/lows if available
Upcoming Releases (Next 2 Weeks)
List the most market-moving releases from the economic calendar with dates.
Macro Regime
Classification: EXPANSION / SLOWDOWN / CONTRACTION / RECOVERY
Provide 3-4 sentences of reasoning tying the data dimensions together.
Limitations
Data from TradingView and Yahoo Finance is 15-minute delayed. CBOE and sentiment data is end-of-day. Verify critical levels with real-time data before executing trades.
Common Mistakes
- Reporting raw JSON from tool responses instead of synthesized values
- Forgetting to compute the yield curve spread (just listing 2Y and 10Y separately)
- Classifying regime based on a single indicator instead of cross-referencing all five dimensions
- Ignoring the direction/trend of indicators and only reporting the latest snapshot value
- Ignoring market breadth when market indices and sentiment disagree
