| name | regulatory-monitor |
| title | Thesis |
| description | Track legislation, regulatory actions, and legal developments affecting prediction markets, crypto, and AI agents — triaged by stage × impact for decision-ready output |
| author | aaronjmars |
| author_url | https://github.com/aaronjmars/aeon/tree/main/skills/reg-monitor |
| license | MIT |
| version | 0.1.0 |
| execution_mode | open |
| jurisdiction | us |
| practice | regulatory |
| language | en |
| tags | ["crypto","research"] |
${var} — Specific regulatory topic to narrow focus (e.g. prediction-markets, stablecoins, ai-agents). If empty, scans all tracked domains.
Read memory/MEMORY.md for context on current positions and interests.
Read the last 2 days of memory/logs/ entries for this skill to avoid repeating items.
Read memory/topics/reg-monitor-seen.md (create if missing) for persistent URL dedup across all prior runs.
Thesis
Original skill produced news-shaped output (HIGH PRIORITY / NOTABLE / WATCH LIST) with soft ranking and no deadlines. Reg-monitor's real value is decisions — file a comment, prepare for a ban, short a market, brief counsel. Rank items by stage × impact, surface deadlines, drop filler buckets, and distinguish "quiet week" from "monitor failure" via source-status observability.
Steps
1. Load inputs (structured primary sources first, WebSearch as gap-filler)
Set today=$(date -u +%F), year=$(date +%Y), since=$(date -u -d '7 days ago' +%F).
Fetch from each source below. Track which succeed/fail — you'll emit a source_status footer. Treat each as independent; any single failure is non-fatal.
A. Federal Register (authoritative US rulemakings, notices, enforcement) — public, no auth:
WebFetch: https://www.federalregister.gov/api/v1/documents.json?conditions[publication_date][gte]=${since}&conditions[term]=prediction+market+OR+digital+asset+OR+stablecoin+OR+cryptocurrency+OR+AI+agent&per_page=40&order=newest
Extract per item: title, publication_date, type (Rule / Proposed Rule / Notice), agencies, document_number, html_url, comments_close_on (critical — drives ACT bucket), abstract.
B. SEC press releases (RSS) — authoritative enforcement + guidance:
WebFetch: https://www.sec.gov/news/pressreleases.rss
Keep only items published on/after ${since}. Match titles against keywords: crypto, digital asset, stablecoin, token, DeFi, prediction, event contract, AI.
C. CFTC press releases (RSS) — authoritative prediction market + derivatives actions:
