prediction-market-risk-review

name	prediction-market-risk-review
description	Use when review prediction-market, basket, oracle, and trading-agent workflows for compliance, safety, data quality, privacy, and execution risk. Use only before any workflow handles venue auth, user portfolio data, API keys, or trade planning.

Prediction Market Risk Review

Adapted from ECC's prediction-market-risk-review skill (MIT).

Use this skill before a prediction-market workflow touches user financial context, venue authentication, portfolio data, automation, or execution-capable tools.

Review Gates

Advice Boundary

• Confirm the output is informational.
• Remove buy/sell/hold/size recommendations.
• Keep manual user decision points explicit.

Venue And Regulatory Boundary

• Identify venue terms, geography restrictions, account limits, and API rules.
• Flag betting, derivatives, securities, or commodities ambiguity for legal review when relevant.
• Do not bypass venue restrictions or rate limits.

Data Quality

• Check market liquidity, spread, resolution rules, stale prices, and source timestamps.
• Separate public venue data from Itô gated data.
• Do not mix public and private sources without labels.

Security

• Do not request or store private keys, seed phrases, or passwords.
• Keep ITO_API_KEY and venue API keys out of logs and docs.
• Use read-only scopes by default.
• Require circuit breakers, spend limits, dry runs, and human approval before any private implementation adds execution.

Privacy

• Minimize user portfolio, financial, and knowledge-base data.
• Redact private sources in public artifacts.
• Preserve only the fields needed for the review.

Output Contract

Return:

1. scope reviewed
2. pass/warn/fail findings
3. blocked actions
4. required mitigations
5. safe next step

If any execution-capable step is requested, require a separate implementation plan and explicit user approval.