| name | historian-decision-model |
| description | Use when joining a new company, taking over legacy products, or proposing strategies that were previously attempted to avoid repeating past mistakes |
The Historian Decision-Making Model
Overview
A process for improving decision quality by excavating and analyzing organization history to understand the context of past failures before charting a new path.
Core principle: Learn from mistakes you didn't personally live through.
The Process
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ 1. EXCAVATE │
│ Research past decisions and outcomes │
│ Talk to long-tenured employees │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 2. CONTEXTUALIZE │
│ Analyze "Why" decisions were made at that time │
│ What was the environment/constraints? │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 3. IDENTIFY BAGGAGE │
│ Map internal resistance and emotional blockers │
│ "We tried that before" = baggage signal │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 4. FORMULATE HYPOTHESIS │
│ Create strategy informed by historical context │
│ Address what was different then vs. now │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 5. DECIDE & ITERATE │
│ Commit to direction without needing 100% certainty │
│ Learn from results │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
Key Principles
| Principle | Description |
|---|
| Excavate actively | Don't assume you know the past |
| Context matters | Same idea can fail or succeed based on timing |
| Baggage is real | Emotional weight blocks rational evaluation |
| Commit anyway | History informs but doesn't dictate |
Common Mistakes
- Ignoring "baggage" associated with old ideas
- Making decisions without understanding historical context
- Assuming "we tried that" means it can never work
Source: Anneka Gupta (Rubrik CPO) via Lenny's Podcast
