| name | china-catalyst-calendar |
| description | Track upcoming catalysts for A-share coverage universe — earnings dates, regulatory announcements, sector conferences, product launches, and policy events relevant to Chinese equities. Adapted from the original catalyst-calendar skill for A-share market conventions. Triggers on "A股催化剂日历", "事件日历", "财报日历", "earnings calendar A-share", "upcoming catalysts China", or "what's coming up for [company]". |
china-catalyst-calendar
Purpose
Build and maintain a A股催化剂日历 tracking upcoming events that could materially impact stock prices within a coverage universe.
Catalyst Types (A-share Specific)
1. Earnings & Financial Reports
| Event | Typical Timing | Notes |
|---|
| 业绩预告 (earnings preview) | 1-4 weeks before | Mandatory if variance >50% from prior |
| 季报 (quarterly report) | 1 month after quarter-end | 10-day grace period possible |
| 中报 (semi-annual report) | 2 months after H1 | 15-day grace period |
| 年报 (annual report) | 4 months after year-end | Most important event of the year |
| 业绩说明会 (earnings call) | Same day or next trading day | 上证e互动 / 深交所互动易 |
2. Regulatory & Policy Events
| Event | Impact | Typical Timing |
|---|
| 央行MLF/LPR操作 | High (liquidity, rates) | 15th of each month (MLF) |
| 央行降准/降息 | Very high | Ad-hoc, 国新办发布会 |
| 国务院政策发布 | Sector-specific | Ad-hoc |
| 部委监管政策 (NMPA, MIIT, etc.) | Industry-specific | Ad-hoc |
| 集采结果 (volume-based procurement) | Pharma/medtech | Quarterly cycles |
| 行业准入政策变化 | Sector-specific | Ad-hoc |
| 反垄断调查 | Specific companies | Ad-hoc |
3. Corporate Events
| Event | Impact | Notes |
|---|
| 股东大会 (AGM) | Low-medium | Voting on key items |
| 分红/送股/转增 (dividend/rights) | Medium | Ex-dividend date matters |
| 限售股解禁 (lock-up expiry) | Medium-high | Watch large blocks |
| 增减持公告 (shareholder transactions) | Low-medium | 5% threshold triggers disclosure |
| 回购 (share buyback) | Low-medium | Implementation tracking |
| 并购重组 (M&A announcements) | High | 停牌 until announcement |
| 增发/配股 (seasoned equity) | High | Dilution impact |
| 可转债发行/转股 | Medium | Conversion tracking |
4. Sector / Industry Events
| Event | Example Sectors | Notes |
|---|
| 行业展会/论坛 | 新能源, 半导体, 医药 | Networking, product announcements |
| 政策研讨会 | 环保, 教育, 互联网 | Policy direction signals |
| 行业协会数据发布 | 汽车, 光伏, 风电 | Monthly/quarterly stats |
| 国际展会 (CES, IFA, etc.) | 消费电子 | New product launches |
5. Macro Data Releases
| Indicator | Frequency | Impact |
|---|
| PMI (制造业/非制造业) | Monthly (1st) | Market-wide |
| CPI / PPI | Monthly (9-10th) | Rates, commodities |
| 社会融资规模 / M2 | Monthly (10-15th) | Liquidity |
| 外汇储备 | Monthly | FX sentiment |
| 工业增加值 | Monthly | Growth indicator |
| 零售数据 | Monthly | Consumption |
| 就业数据 | Quarterly | Labor market |
Data Sources (Multi-Tier)
Tier 0 — 万得 Wind（最全面付费数据）
Tier 1 - Tonghuashun iFind (paid)
ifind_get_stock_events(query) -> Key corporate events, dividends, buybacks
ifind_search_notice(query) -> Announcement search
ifind_search_news(query) -> Related news
ifind_get_stock_info(ticker) -> Company profile, share structure
Tier 2 - AkShare (free, fallback)
Company-Specific
get_financials(ticker, "income", "annual") → Historical earnings pattern
get_quote(ticker) → Current trading status
get_stock_info(ticker) → Company basic info
Market-Wide
get_index_data("000001")
get_stock_news(ticker="")
Data source mode: IFIND_DATA_SOURCE_MODE=ifind-only for iFind-only mode.
Workflow
Step 1: Define Coverage Universe
Identify the stocks and sectors to track. Typical A-share coverage universe:
- 50-200 names
- Organized by sector/industry
- Priority tiers (P1 = must-track, P2 = watchlist)
Step 2: Build Calendar Entries
For each catalyst, record:
{
"date": "2024-04-25",
"type": "earnings",
"subtype": "季报",
"ticker": "{{TICKER}}",
"company": "{{COMPANY_NAME}}",
"importance": "high",
"notes": "Q1 2024 results; watch 批价 and inventory",
"status": "confirmed"
}
Catalyst types in JSON:
earnings — quarterly/semi/annual reportsearnings_call — 业绩说明会regulatory — 监管政策发布policy — 宏观政策 (央行, 国务院)corporate — 公司事件 (分红, 解禁, M&A)macro_data — 经济数据发布sector_event — 行业展会/论坛lockup_expiry — 限售股解禁
Step 3: Prioritize Catalysts
Importance levels:
- Critical: Likely to move stock >10% (earnings, M&A, major policy)
- High: Likely to move stock 5-10% (regulatory decisions, industry data)
- Medium: Watch item, context-setting (dividend, conference participation)
- Low: Background noise (routine filings, minor announcements)
Step 4: Pre-Catalyst Preparation
1 week before critical catalysts:
- Pull latest data and consensus
- Prepare scenario analysis
- Draft preliminary positioning note
- Alert stakeholders if high-impact
1 day before critical catalysts:
- Final data check
- Confirm release timing (morning vs afternoon)
- Prepare pre-market positioning note
- Set monitoring alerts
Step 5: Post-Catalyst Update
After catalyst passes:
- Record actual outcome
- Compare vs scenario framework
- Update price target / thesis if material
- Move to "completed" section
- Flag next catalyst in queue
Calendar Format
Weekly View
【本周催化剂日历】[YYYY-MM-DD 至 YYYY-MM-DD]
周一 [Date]
- [Time] [Ticker] [Company] — [Event type] — [Importance]
- [Time] [Macro event] — [Impact assessment]
周二 [Date]
...
本周重点：
- [Top 2-3 catalysts to watch]
- [Market-wide risk events]
Monthly View
【X月重要事件日历】
财报窗口:
- [Week 1]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]
- [Week 2]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]
政策窗口:
- [Date]: [Policy event] — [Expected impact]
解禁窗口:
- [Date]: [Ticker] — [Amount] shares unlocking — [Risk assessment]
宏观数据:
- [Date]: [Indicator] — [Consensus] — [Previous]
Upcoming Catalysts Table
| Date | Company | Event | Importance | Watch Item |
|---|
| {{DATE}} | {{COMPANY_NAME}} ({{TICKER}}) | {{EVENT_TYPE}} | {{IMPORTANCE}} | {{WATCH_ITEMS}} |
| Example | 贵州茅台 (600519) | Q1 年报 | Critical | 批价, 动销 |
| 04-30 | 工信部 | 新能源车月度数据 | Medium | 销量, 渗透率 |
China-Specific Considerations
Earnings Calendar Patterns
| Season | Months | Key Notes |
|---|
| Q1 earnings | Late April | 年报 + Q1季报 叠加, 信息密集 |
| H1 earnings | Late August | 中报窗口, 分红预案公布 |
| Q3 earnings | Late October | 三季报, 全年预测调整 |
| Annual earnings | Jan-April | 年报密集发布, 分红方案 |
Lock-up Expiry (限售股解禁)
- 首发限售股 (IPO lock-up): typically 12 months
- 定增限售股 (private placement): typically 6-18 months
- 股权激励限售股: varies by plan
- High lock-up expiry → potential selling pressure
Risk assessment:
- Large percentage of float unlocking (>5%) → high risk
- Concentrated holders (single entity) → higher impact
- Company in downtrend → higher probability of sale
Regulatory Calendar
Recurring policy events:
- 中央经济工作会议 (Central Economic Work Conference): Dec
- 两会 (Two Sessions / NPC & CPPCC): Mar
- 政治局会议 (Politburo meeting): Monthly (economics discussed ~quarterly)
- 国新办发布会 (State Council Info Office presser): Ad-hoc
- 央行货币政策执行报告: Quarterly
Dividend Calendar
- 股权登记日 (record date): critical for dividend capture
- 除权除息日 (ex-dividend date): price adjusts
- 分红实施公告: typically 2-4 weeks after AGM approval
- 高送转 (high bonus issue): historically market-positive event
Integration with Other Skills
| Related Skill | Integration Point |
|---|
| china-earnings-analysis | Post-earnings catalyst review |
| china-earnings-preview | Pre-earnings scenario setup |
| china-thesis-tracker | Catalyst milestone tracking |
| china-morning-note | Daily catalyst briefing |
| china-market-researcher | Sector catalyst themes |
Quality Checks
Before delivering:
